Global_Macro

Chief Investment Officer, Fed Watcher, Author and TV/radio Contributor. Opinions are my own.

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

The market of 4-sigma assets

[Bloomberg TV @BloombergTV]

Former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said several of the task forces Fed Chair Kevin Warsh announced yesterday could be ways he tries to move the committee more into a direction of lowering rates https://t.co/CuTH7ayKG4

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

JPMorgan: "We estimate around $165bn of equity selling/bond buying due to quarter/month-end (June-end) rebalancing"

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

U.S. inflation expectations are collapsing

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

There is still war risk premium in crude

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

Curve flattening and lower oil prices: a bull case for stocks and bonds

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

@elinashirazi What's the food and beverage service like?

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

@Claudia_Sahm He did reference your newsletter on "family fight"

[Barchart @Barchart]

CTAs are projected to sell stocks in EVERY SINGLE SCENARIO over the next week 🚨🚨

[Phil Rosen @philrosenn]

The end of the Iran conflict unlocks specific stock picks that are now set to outperform.

I sat down with veteran investor Ben Emons (@Marcomadness2) to unpack the market impact of peace in the Middle East, what stocks he is betting on now, the new bear case for stocks, Kevin Warsh's Fed regime, and political volatility.

Ben has worked in markets for decades. This conversation is full of unique insight and specific trade ideas.

TIMESTAMPS:

0:00 - Iran peace deal rally
2:16 - The real bear case
2:53 - Kevin Warsh is hawkish
4:07 - Rate cuts vs. balance sheet
6:34 - New Fed regime
10:06 - Fertilizer shortage
12:07 - Parabolic 7
16:13 - When to sell winners
18:05 - Still bullish on Mag 7?
21:05 - Financial stocks
25:36 - Midterms blue sweep
28:53 - Political volatility
29:40 - Follow Ben

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Unprecedented surge in S&P funding costs by dealers lending out futures and Total Return Swaps (remember Archegos) to institutional clients. Think of it as lending costs for long positions.

[Emily Proud @emily_proud]

I think I’ve watched this no fewer than 10 times… it’s so, so good. Show this in every journalism class everywhere.

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

The bull case is firmly back

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

The incremental deal at the front-end of the oil price curve

[Empire State Building @EmpireStateBldg]

GAME 5 - LET’S GO!

Tonight, we’re shining orange and blue with the @NYKNICKS' logo rotating in the mast.

See the lights live: https://t.co/UpgXWiuhfx

Text CONNECT to 274-16 for real-time lighting alerts.

[FIFA World Cup 2026 @FIFAWC26Updates]

Brazilian football is pure art. 🙌⚽

#BRAZIL

[Ultras Clips @ultras_clips]

🇧🇷🟢🟡 Brazil has officially taken over Times Square! 👏

[FOX Sports @FOXSports]

LA brought the noise. USA brought the show 🇺🇸

[Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 @MikeZaccardi]

Timely inflation peaked two months ago... and now the lagging YoY rate is declining @augurinfinity

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

@SonnyCrockett92 "Have you heard of trust man? Oh yeah, I heard about it."

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

Space, the new frontier