Markets Unfiltered

Long-term growth investor sharing stock and market commentary to help guide your research. Not financial advice.

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$NOW has been building an enterprise workflow platform for over two decades

They dominate in:

- IT service management
- HR workflows
- Customer service
- Security operations
- CRM
- Enterprise knowledge

These are part of the day-to-day activity of every major company in the world

Now they want to layor in coordinations of these domains via AI agents and orchestration

It will be much easier for $NOW than other companies to execute this given they already own the workflows for all these domains and the large customer base

Productivity will vastly increase and I suspect they will charge a premium for this so I expect gross margins and revenue to tick upwards, while maintaining their monster 98% gross retention

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

COO of $AFRM Linford Michael
sold $8.00M/100,000 of his shares yeaterday

reducing his position by 46%

It’s worth noting this wasn’t a sudden open market sell because of some insider information he received

This was a pre-planned sale

He had deep in the money calls at $5.39 strike and sold those via 10b5-1 plan in December 2025

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$UBER and $GOOGL ending their robotaxi partnership with Waymo in Phoenix is bearish $UBER imho

This concluded three-year collaboration that allowed users to hail driverless vehicles via the Uber app

Waymo is now reintegrating everything in-house via their Waymo app

This means Waymo felt the network advantage that $UBER was peddling doesn’t seem to be that defensible and that they could compete head on with them just fine via Waymo Network

Customers may even pay a premium for Waymo given the added privacy - more margin to $GOOGL due to this pricing power and they don’t have to pay drivers as well

Nice positive catalyst for the stock trading higher in next 1-2 years

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

OpenAI delaying IPO is not a bullish signal for the market over the short-term

If they are not confident is raising the cash needed at the valuation they want - it means they are not confident in the market

OpenAI is not profitable and needs to raise cash to fund the next phase of growth and stay competitive in the LLM space

Delaying IPO is a strategic error on their part

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

DraftKings $DKNG post Covid always traded in the $35-$45 range

The fundamentals continuously improves but stock traded essentially sideways

There was no real catalyst to drive the stock higher but the rise of prediction markets was a negative catalyst that drove the stock past it’s historical support levels

Now hovering around $25, they just launched their in-house prediction markets product DKeX and the stock traded +11% higher on the news

Their niche focus in predictions markets within sports could the positive catalyst that the stock has needed to get them over the hump

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

@VJNCapital Yeah that’s why when a stock goes somewhat parabolic quickly - best to sell

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

The market is continuing to punish SaaS

All SaaS are being painted with same brush and getting crushed - even though there are SaaS companies that have continuously improved fundamentals year after year

$PLTR and $NOW continue to look interesting at these levels

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

@Brownmoose Elon the best at painting a lucrative narrative for the company - a lot of Optimus and Robotaxi baked into valuation

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

Maybe a $TSLA x $MU partnership in the near future for Optimus

[Polymarket Money @PolymarketMoney]

JUST IN: $MU said humanoid robots carry 10x more memory than the average L2+ vehicle, setting up a “sustained substantial multi-decade memory demand cycle” later this decade.

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$SPCX now down a considerable amount to $154 from their high of $225

It’s interesting that they issued debt to raise capital instead of equity

Which makes me think even at $154 with everyone saying their market equity value is too high, that $SPCX themselves think their stock is undervalued and it was better to raise the cash with debt

This truly is a one of kind company and I will be watching this one closely

It was especially telling when Blue Origin rocket blew up - showed they are miles behind SpaceX $SPCX

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$MU raising guidance for next quarter by a considerable amount over the street is a bullish sign that AI spend isn’t slowing down

$AVGO maintained their guidance for full year but their guidance for next quarter came in less than the street

If the same thing happened to $MU - the stock would be going the other way and it would set the tone for the AI market given two big players slowed down guidance

This $MU print will provide stability in market

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

@jrouldz @TrendSpider Exactly - more a chips play

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

@manly_mentor What about the interest you’re paying annually on that large amount?

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$NOW is investing aggressively in AI

The beautyof layoring this on top of SaaS and embedding it for enterprise workflows is that they can charge a higher price

The subscription model is the highest quality of revenue you can get

And with 98% gross retention… customer is paying you forever for the same product - only now you can charge more because you’re embedding AI to the service offering

I expect gross margins to go up over next 5 years

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$META is reportedly working on an a prediction markets app called Arena

If they really want to compete in the LLM business - they should have all hands on deck

Because the reality of the situation is they are lagging behind the others and have some catching up to do

It doesn’t make sense for Zuck to take time away from their LLM and allocate it to something they have no experience in just to compete with Polymarket

I’d rather they return the money to shareholders than gamble on another project like they did with the Metaverse

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$BAC expects the Fed to hike interest rates three times this year after guiding for no change this year

No once really knows what is going to happen

It’s all in the balance of what comes from the US-Iran war

The longer it continues the more CPI data won’t look pretty and as soon as this happens - FED won’t have a choice but to raise rates

But the war could end tomorrow or next year

We just don’t know

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

$SPCX already down from it’s $225 peak

IPOs are rarely bargains and the market usually gives you a cheaper price on these high ticket item companies if you’re patient and paying attention

We’re not even past the lockup period where insiders with a considerable amount of equity can’t sell their shares for a year

In 1-2 years the business will be much better than today and the stock price will be more attractive

You know what they say

IPO = It’s Probably Overvalued

[Markets Unfiltered @marketsUHQ]

@TheRabbitHole Will never understand this