Mark Galeotti

Mayak Intelligence, @UCLSSEES, @ConGeostrategy, @IIR_Prague, @GI_TOC. Analyst of murky topics from Russian politics to global crime. Views my own

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@x_swo10613 Really? A vatnik? Gosh. Do explain

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

Monday morning re-up: various stories, but I end with the thoroughly unscientific gut sense of endgames and even endtimes - for Putin, the war, whatever, I'm not sure. As I say, deeply unscientific.

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

In Moscow's Shadows 254: Endgames
A collection of stories, all coming down to endgames: the death of Sergei Ivanov, the "drone siege" of Crimea, the debate over the use of non-strategic nuclear weapons, and a shell-shocked soldier threatening mutiny.
https://t.co/qJnOwWSIqg

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

Sensible thread from @KristiRaik on the whole “will Russia attack NATO?” issue

[Kristi Raik @KristiRaik]

Will Russia escalate by attacking a NATO country, usually assumed to be a Baltic state? The question has come up in many conferences and discussions I’ve attended during the past months. Often the debate leaves many misperceptions to be corrected. Some points below 1/

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@TheSchommes His TG channel: https://t.co/qhZgsKwPwe, specifically https://t.co/cCKJOvj4Ql

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

In Moscow's Shadows 254: Endgames
A collection of stories, all coming down to endgames: the death of Sergei Ivanov, the "drone siege" of Crimea, the debate over the use of non-strategic nuclear weapons, and a shell-shocked soldier threatening mutiny.
https://t.co/qJnOwWSIqg

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

Lucky him. (irony)
Once, he was seen as a potential highflier... It was unclear whether Gladkov - who had the temerity to think his job meant standing up for his region, even challenging Moscow and the security interests - would be pushed up or out. Now we know.

[Meduza in English @meduza_en]

Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a decree appointing Vyacheslav Gladkov, the former governor of the Belgorod region, as Russia’s ambassador to the partially recognized republic of Abkhazia.
https://t.co/aVvu3YeJPN

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

If Putin fears he is losing Crimea, there’s no telling what he’ll do
Will the very effective "drone siege" of Crimea drive Putin to negotiate or escalate? My latest for @thetimes
https://t.co/PtvMK4opB1

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@markadamharold So you essentially think NATO is dead or a con?

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@shaunwalker7 One of the (many) issues I had with Masala's scenario is that nations do not need any kind of unanimous NATO mandate to act. If, say, Russia did attack the Baltic states, Poland would hardly sit back and await Article 5 and a NATO council meeting as it was being flanked...

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

IMS Special: "Wore a suit, loved tigers, and hated thieves"
Patrons, check your inboxes, for a brief retrospective on Sergei Ivanov, the man who was everything Putin wanted to be, but still lost out
https://t.co/0rcuBtIt1U

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@DoubleDerka @OspreyBooks There was no such thing as 'Ukraine' then. The Treaty of Küçük Kaynarca, signed in 1774, granted the Tatar Crimean Khanate autonomy from the Ottoman Empire, but coming under Russian influence

[Juraj Kríž @Quarrion87]

Ako vždy originálny, erudovaný a analyticky podkutý @MarkGaleotti.
Hovorili sme v akej fáze je vojna & prečo treba napriek nevraživosti s Rusmi hovoriť. Ďakujem
https://t.co/Ztfx62bD8s

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@vchorashniy @NChildersMEP I'm referring to a very specific false claim - I don't question for a minute that Putin had v unrealistic expectations

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@ScottLucas_EA 10 days active combat operations, followed by up to 6 months' "pacification" - but my point was about a v specific claim, not that Moscow didn't have unrealistic expectations

[Osprey Publishing @OspreyBooks]

'Forged in War: A military history of Russia from its beginnings to today' by @MarkGaleotti is out in paperback.

Packed with contemporary accounts, Forged in War strips away the myth to give an insider's view on Russia's past and present.

Find out more: https://t.co/XRMQvlRJoM

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

@vchorashniy @NChildersMEP Except that the Solovyov and the rest of the Russian media never repeated the 3-day line, that’s just something raised ad nauseam in western accounts

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

This one, too, on the Afghan War parallels and gangsters hiring veterans:

https://t.co/KJRsXhDxUw

[Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti]

A little while back I recorded for @GI_TOC answers to some questions about Russian organised crime and, especially, the impact of the Ukraine war. The latest has just dropped on whether the “wild 90s” could return. It really ought to be viewed alongside…
https://t.co/fPpyD0yso3

[IntelliNews @bneintellinews]

Doves and hawks vie for Putin's attention to end the Ukraine war, but the “wait-and-see” camp remains in charge: Tensions in the Kremlin are rising as the economy tanks and trust in the president is starting to wane. There is a growing… https://t.co/5gIrXBPNUP Follow for news