Markus Gesmann

Making sense of data.

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

Registrations are now open for the 3rd Insurance Data Science Conference: https://t.co/Hpp73nHacG Keynotes by Thomas Wiecki (@twiecki) and Bettina Grün.
Thanks to our sponsors: @SwissRe, @MiraiSolutions
Reminder: Abstract submissions closes after the 12th March!

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

The London #Bayesian Mixer is back to its first in-person event post Covid, 24 Nov 2022. Mick Cooney (@kaybenleroll) will talk about customer life time models using @mcmc_stan. For more details and registration visit: https://t.co/awFOp594ig

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

The Bayesian Mixer is back! @djsyclik will talk about ODEs with @mcmc_stan on 10 March 2022: https://t.co/5cR9TEM5Fd

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

Registrations and abstract submissions are now open for the 4th Insurance Data Science Conference!
The conference returns as a hybrid event on 15-17 June 2022, hosted by Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore - Milan. For more visit: https://t.co/Hpp73nHacG

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

The Bayesian Mixer Meetup is back next Wednesday with a very timely talk by Marcus Groß: "Modelling German Elections with Stan". For more details and to register for the online event visit: https://t.co/sfSvcufB4m

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

Modelling incremental vs cumulative growth data - Does it matter? Well, if you are interested in the volatility it does! https://t.co/wn6mdO2Fzt

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

On Sunday the Tokyo #Olympics men sprint 100m final will take place. I use a #Bayesian non-linear regression model to predict the winning time. My prediction is 9.72s, with a 50% credible interval of 9.61s and 9.85s: https://t.co/EGmyrkOdjp

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

The 3rd Insurance Data Science conference was a blast! Notes and presentations are online now: https://t.co/Hpp73nHacG

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

RISX Index: more than just a benchmark. Our new article outlines some of the drivers behind the creation of the RISX index. We argue the RISX index helps in valuing performance at Lloyd’s and provides greater transparency: https://t.co/pOECnfJpDY

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

Hurry up! Registration for the 2021 Insurance Data Science Conference closes this Wednesday: https://t.co/Hpp73nHacG

[Ian Smith @iankmsmith]

NEW: Two former Lloyd's of London researchers have designed a proxy equity index that seeks to provide a benchmark for the specialist insurance market
https://t.co/eX5HBZ7oSJ

[Solomon Kurz @SolomonKurz]

With many thanks to @MarkusGesmann, we finally did it! Yes, you can use #brms to fit McElreath’s bivariate ODE model with measurement error. The next book update is gonna be hot!

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

New blog post: Fitting multivariate ODEs with #brms in #Rstats: https://t.co/dDMievIuXI Thanks to @paulbuerkner for the great @mcmc_stan interface

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

Abstract submissions are now open for the 3rd Insurance Data Conference, until 12 March! For details see: https://t.co/dAcRfF7ffL

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

My four big takeaways from my research with Jake Morris on Hierarchical Compartmental Reserving Models: https://t.co/KBiGTn80kI

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

This week we look at the combined ratio performance of Lloyd's and syndicates: https://t.co/YucWXbhWyS

The performance gap to Lloyd's industry peer group is closing, but only top quartile and very few second quartile performing syndicates achieved underwriting profits in 2019.

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

We have continued with our review of syndicates’ results, with our latest analysis including historical data from 2015:
https://t.co/86Y5tMNCof

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

We are taking another look at Lloyd's 2019 results. Today we are focusing on the syndicates' results. It seems bigger was better. As bonus we developed a little app.

https://t.co/ngIY35iQkk

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

At ICMR we looked at the 2019 Lloyd's results in the historical context. COVID-19 might result in a culture change not seen 2001: https://t.co/AE2RB6xPae

[Markus Gesmann @MarkusGesmann]

The abstract deadlines for the Insurance Data Science conferences are approaching fast!
Submission deadlines: Johannesburg: 29 Feb; London: 9 March.
This is your time to showcase your research and work. Don't miss out!
https://t.co/t3WaPFXsSd, https://t.co/Hpp73nHacG