Im a Gangster since the start and would be in the end, i love the way that u build this community i meet some great people in Twitter just because of this.
Tonight? ETH Poker Party in the crib with @jokerspite https://t.co/XKquz38bk7 @gangsterallstar#GASisWATCHING
@noahONFIREE
The facts are that the loss of confidence in the "almighty" dollar is being reversed, theoretically, and historically, in times of crisis, the dollar has been favored over a basket of other currencies. But the important point is that this is not the case here.
( 1 / of many )
the enormous inflow of cash into europe, which is currently propelling the euro towards its former highs since its depreciation in 2021 and until 2024, is not insignificant and should not be ignored. ( 2 / of many )
If there is a response from some of the countries affected, what could the answers be? Intellectual property rights? Tax on gafam? European sanctions directly on the biggest American companies? A price increase to spread the impact? Much higher inflation,-> trade wars (4 of many)
And no answers from them? So there's acceptance of this fact? Until when? Decline? Recession? Economic/industrial/political pivot? This will also affect the United States, so how will they be impacted by their own measures? ( 5 of many )
Because the fact is that, for the time being, it won't be good for anyone, and maybe less so for the US. And if it does, then global capitulation to the dollar. In short, the spectrum is much wider than I could ever hope to cover on twitter.
( 6 of 7 many )
As a young trader, I'm very happy to have been born into this generation. We're experiencing extreme market volatility, and new fortunes are being created. Take advantage of this situation to get rich. We've got 4 years ahead of us.
The inverted yield curve: a key recession signal
An inverted yield curve occurs when interest rates on short-term government bonds exceed those on long-term bonds. Normally, a yield curve is upward, reflecting a risk premium for the long term.
Why is this important?
Current data (see image 1)
- The 2-year yield (3.815%) is lower than the 10-year yield (4.072%), suggesting gradual normalization after a period of inversion.
- The 10Y-1Y spread has risen to 0.07% (see image 2), a sign of stabilization.
Here are the changes in the main technology stocks before the markets opened:
📉 Apple (AAPL): -6.41%
📉 Amazon (AMZN): -5.04%
📉 Microsoft (MSFT): -1.8%
📉 Tesla (TSLA): -4%
📉 Meta (META): -2.88%
📉 Nvidia (NVDA): -3.29%
📉 Alphabet (GOOGL) : -2.41%
Hello, The Cac 40 fell 2% in the space of a few minutes, so there were no surprises at the opening, but I strongly suspect that at the US opening we'll see extreme volatility on the indexes. As I've been saying since before, give preference to "safe-haven" assets,
there are great opportunities with volatility at this level, and for long-term investors, I hope the cash reserves are there, because we're going to have to buy some dips over the next few months.
With the probability of a recession on the rise, will Trump press the "crisis" button during his first year in office? Maybe, and how will the market react?