I think you can connect the decline on overall literacy and the return of 'orality' to the fact so many people presume every news story is explicitly moralistic and not just 'here is an interesting thing happening in the world today that you may not know about'
Ben Thompson said it well. Every 10-15 years people relearn the same lesson. The only consumer business model is ads and you cannot charge consumers for software.
scrolling Instagram. Wow a Man I betrayed got married. Good for Noah he got into grad school. He seems to have recovered from my betrayal. woah Mike just had a son. One day I will betray the boy. As I did his father
If Anthropic is right and distillation is impossible to prevent, it follows that the strategic value of anyone opening a lead on frontier model capabilities is short-lived, and national security arguments for protectionism fall apart. If china pulls ahead we can distill them!
@TheStalwart What unique data do they have other than search/chat? That doesn't really translate into a compounding advantage.
I also don't think they can be considered dominant when you include Google.
Timing of Argentina's winners in the knockout rounds:
vs. Cape Verde: 111th minute
vs. Egypt: 92nd minute (stoppage time)
vs. Switzerland: 112th minute
vs. England: 92nd minute (stoppage time)
They haven't led after 90 minutes of any knockout game. But they're in the final.