Matt Sevenich

Trader sharing my market notes, stock setups, and lessons from the charts
Always learning. Always managing risk

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$ON

It has risen by more than 22% since this article was published 💵💵💵💵💵

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $ON — Buy ​​Watchlist

Stabilized after pullback to the uptrend line 📈

Price: $73.68 (+0.66%)

🔥 Resistance: $78 – $82

🎯 Target Price: $90 → $100 (Previous High $134.92)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $70 – $73

🛡️ Support: $68 – $70 (Blue Trend Line)

Price is consolidating near the Bollinger Band middle line (73.23), and the MACD histogram has turned positive (DIF -2.44 / DEA -3.11 / MACD +1.35). First, observe whether the trend line is valid; if the price breaks through $78 with significant volume, the rebound can be confirmed.

#ON #NASDAQ #Semiconductor #Artificial Intelligence #Nvidia #HBM #Mag7 #FOMC #PLTR #Stock Market

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $VSAT — Buy ​​Watchlist

Possible rebound after pullback to the uptrend line 📈

Price: $72.4

🔥 Resistance: $76 – $80

🎯 Target Price: $86 → $93 (Previous high $93.03)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $68 – $71

🛡️ Support: $66 – $68

Price is near the Bollinger Band middle line ($73.11), and the trend line remains intact. The MACD indicator is weak (DIF -0.79 / DEA -0.64 / MACD -0.31). A buy on pullback to the $68-$71 range is recommended; a break above $80 with increased volume could test the previous high.

#VSAT #NASDAQ #Satellite #Telecommunications #Space #FOMC #Earnings #Defense #StockMarket #Trading

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $PLBY — Watchlist (High Risk)

Near the lower trendline of the descending channel 📉

Price: $1.02 (+1.12%)

🔥 Resistance: $1.15 – $1.30

🎯 Target Price: $1.50 → $1.80 (Previous High $2.75)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $0.98 – $1.02

🛡️ Support: $0.98 (Lower Trendline of Channel / Phase Low)

Price is below the Bollinger Band Midpoint (1.09), close to the lower trendline of the descending channel. MACD is nearly flat (DIF -0.05 / DEA -0.04 / MACD -0.01). Low-priced stocks are highly volatile; only light positions are suitable until there is a significant volume rebound above $1.15.

#PLBY #NASDAQ #Consumer #Retail #PennyStock #FOMC #Earnings #Speculative #StockMarket #Trading

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$RIOT

After finding support yesterday, it rebounded, and profits have been realized. Currently, it's up over 6% +💵💵💵💵💵

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $RIOT — Buy ​​Watchlist

Pullback to Horizontal Support Level 📉

Price: $19

🔥 Resistance: $21.90 – $23.50

�� Target Price: $26.00 → $30.00 (Previous High $30.32)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $18.10 – $18.50

🛡️ Support: $18.10 – $18.50

The price has broken below the Bollinger Band middle line (21.94) and is testing the $18.1 support level. The MACD indicator is weakening (DIF 0.07 / DEA 0.45 / MACD -0.74). Focus on the support level first; only small positions are suitable until there is a significant breakout above $22 with volume.

#RIOT #NASDAQ #Bitcoin #Mining #Cryptocurrency #FOMC #Artificial Intelligence #FinancialReports #HighPerformanceComputing #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 robinhood:0x7c04e6a3368f2a1de3874f0e80d2e0a1a9915da6 — Buy ​​Watchlist

Symmetrical triangle converging at the end 📈

Price: $158.40

🔥 Resistance: $162 – $168

🎯 Target Price: $180 → $195 (Previous High $271.78)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $150 – $155

🛡️ Support: $145 – $150 (Ascending Trendline)

Price has broken above the Bollinger Band midpoint ($155.00), which lies between the descending upper band and the ascending lower band. The MACD histogram has turned positive (DIF 0.18 / DEA -0.48 / MACD +1.32). We will observe price action; a break above $168 with significant volume would confirm the uptrend.

*I recommended this stock back in April when its price was near current levels. Early followers should be familiar with it and may have already made substantial gains. Recently, technical indicators have again issued buy signals.*

📅 Earnings Reminder: The next quarter is expected to end in October 2026, with estimated earnings per share of approximately $0.65.

#GLW #NYSE #FiberOptics #Optics #ArtificialIntelligence #DataCenterPackaging #FOMC #EarningsReport #Semiconductor #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $RIOT — Buy ​​Watchlist

Pullback to Horizontal Support Level 📉

Price: $19

🔥 Resistance: $21.90 – $23.50

🎯 Target Price: $26.00 → $30.00 (Previous High $30.32)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $18.10 – $18.50

🛡️ Support: $18.10 – $18.50

The price has broken below the Bollinger Band middle line (21.94) and is testing the $18.1 support level. The MACD indicator is weakening (DIF 0.07 / DEA 0.45 / MACD -0.74). Focus on the support level first; only small positions are suitable until there is a significant breakout above $22 with volume.

#RIOT #NASDAQ #Bitcoin #Mining #Cryptocurrency #FOMC #Artificial Intelligence #FinancialReports #HighPerformanceComputing #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$SNPS

Since the publication of this article, the stock price has risen from $389 to $492, an increase of over 26% ($389 - $492 > +💵💵💵💵💵).

From a technical perspective, the stock price is still in an upward channel and has not yet ended. Given the significant gains already realized, a reduction in holdings is recommended.

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

The chart on $SNPS is getting interesting

Price is once again sitting on a major support area, while Goldman Sachs remains bullish with a $600 target

Could this be the setup for another move higher?

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$NU

This stock has risen 9% since this article was published! 💵💵💵💵💵

The key to short-term trading is timing. Relying solely on notifications from X often fails to allow for a quick response.

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 robinhood:0x408c14038a04f7bd235329e26d2bf569ee20e250 — Buy ​​Watchlist

Retracing to long-term support level 📉

Price: $12.42

🔥 Resistance: $13.20 – $14.10

🎯 Target Price: $15.20 → $16.50 (Previous High $18.98)

💡 Ideal pullback range: $11.80 – $12.00

🛡️ Support: $11.20 – $11.80

Price has broken below the Bollinger Band Midpoint (14.12) and is testing the long-term support at $11.80. The MACD is bearish (DIF -0.50 / DEA -0.27 / MACD -0.46). Watch for support first; only small positions are suitable until a significant volume breakback above $14.10 is achieved.

#NU #NYSE #Fintech #LatAm #Banks #FOMC #Mag7 #Earnings #Brazil #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 robinhood:0x408c14038a04f7bd235329e26d2bf569ee20e250 — Buy ​​Watchlist

Retracing to long-term support level 📉

Price: $12.42

🔥 Resistance: $13.20 – $14.10

🎯 Target Price: $15.20 → $16.50 (Previous High $18.98)

💡 Ideal pullback range: $11.80 – $12.00

🛡️ Support: $11.20 – $11.80

Price has broken below the Bollinger Band Midpoint (14.12) and is testing the long-term support at $11.80. The MACD is bearish (DIF -0.50 / DEA -0.27 / MACD -0.46). Watch for support first; only small positions are suitable until a significant volume breakback above $14.10 is achieved.

#NU #NYSE #Fintech #LatAm #Banks #FOMC #Mag7 #Earnings #Brazil #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$CTKB

Since the publication of this article, the stock price has risen from $5.19 to the current $5.82, an increase of over 12% ($5.90 - $5.82 > +💵💵💵💵💵).

If the stock price can break through $5.90, profits will grow further!

From a technical perspective, the upward trend is not yet over. Please hold patiently and wait for further profit expansion!

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $CTKB — Buy ​​Watchlist

Breakout from Triangle Pattern and New High 📈

Price: $5.19

🔥 Resistance: $5.30 – $5.50

🎯 Target Price: $5.80 → $6.20 (Today's High: $5.30)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $4.70 – $4.90

🛡️ Support: $4.50 – $4.74 (Midpoint/Breakout)

Price broke out of the consolidation triangle pattern, closing above the midpoint ($4.74). The MACD indicator remains bullish (DIF 0.13 / DEA 0.07 / MACD +0.10). Volume is moderate; a pullback to the $4.70–$4.90 range would be more stable; a hold above $5.30 would be a buy signal. #CTKB #Nasdaq #Biotechnology #LifeSciences #FOMC #SmallCapStocks #EarningsReports #Healthcare #StockMarket #TradingPsychology

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$CCL

Since the publication of this article, the stock price has fallen back to a buying level around $22, before rebounding strongly. The current high is $25.16, representing a gain of over 14%+ ($22 - $25.16 > +💵💵💵💵💵)

If the stock price can break through $26, profits will increase further!

It is recommended to reduce holdings and wait for further profits.

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$CCL — Buy ​​Signal

Pullback to Long-Term Downtrend Support

Price: $22.31 (-1.10%)

Resistance: $24.30 to $25.50

Upside Target: $27.50 to $30.00 (Previous High: $34.03)

Ideal Pullback Zone: $21.80–$22.20

Support: $21.50–$22.11 (Has broken below the Bollinger Band Midpoint (24.30), landing precisely on the downtrend line. First, observe the support at $22.11; heavy positions are not advisable until a significant volume rebound above $24.30 is achieved.

Earnings Reminder: Q3 earnings are expected to be released pre-market between September 17th and 28th, 2026, with expected EPS of approximately $1.35.

#CCL #NYSE #Cruise #Travel #RCL #FOMC #Mag7 #TSLA #StockMarket #Earnings

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $CAKE — Buy ​​Watchlist

Retesting Upper Resistance 📈

Price: $107

🔥 Resistance: $108 – $112

🎯 Target Price: $118 → $125 (Previous High $118.46)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $100 – $103

🛡️ Support: $94 – $97 (Lower Band)

Price has broken above the Bollinger Band midpoint (103.30) and is testing the upper band. The MACD indicator has just crossed above the midpoint (DIF 0.01 / DEA -0.41 / MACD +0.84). Volume is moderate; a pullback to the $100-$103 range could be a buying opportunity; a break above $112 with increased volume would confirm the breakout.

#cake #Nasdaq #restaurant #consumer #FOMC #Mag7 #profit #restaurant #stockmarket #trading

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $IREN — Buy ​​Watchlist

Price has pulled back above the uptrend line 📉

Price: $41.72

🔥 Resistance: $44 – $48.50

🎯 Target Price: $55 → $62 (Previous High $70.71)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $38 – $41

🛡️ Support: $33 – $36 (Uptrend Line)

Price broke below the Bollinger Band middle line (43.60) and failed to hold the $48.5 resistance level. The MACD indicator is slightly weakening (DIF 0.95 / DEA 1.08 / MACD -0.27). Trading volume is high. Focus on the trend line first; only small positions are suitable until trading volume significantly exceeds $48.5.

#IREN #Nasdaq #Bitcoin #Mining #Artificial Intelligence #HighPerformance Computing #FOMC #Mag7 #FinancialReport #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $HD — Buy ​​Watchlist

Retreating to Previous Low Support Level 📉

Price: $292.95 (-0.09%)

🔥 Resistance: $307 – $320

🎯 Target Price: $340 → $355 (Previous High $358.85)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $289 – $291

🛡️ Support: $289.10 (Blue Horizontal Line)

The price has broken below the Bollinger Band middle line (307.14) and is testing the $289 support level. First, observe whether $289 can hold; until a significant rebound in volume to $307 is observed, it is recommended to establish only small positions.

#HD #NYSE #Retail #Housing #FOMC #Mag7 #Earnings #Consumer #DowJones #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

$CTKB

Since the post, the stock price has risen by more than 10% ($5.18 - $5.75 > +💵💵💵💵💵).

If the stock price can break through $6.1, profits will increase further!

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $CTKB — Buy ​​Watchlist

Breakout from Triangle Pattern and New High 📈

Price: $5.19

🔥 Resistance: $5.30 – $5.50

🎯 Target Price: $5.80 → $6.20 (Today's High: $5.30)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $4.70 – $4.90

🛡️ Support: $4.50 – $4.74 (Midpoint/Breakout)

Price broke out of the consolidation triangle pattern, closing above the midpoint ($4.74). The MACD indicator remains bullish (DIF 0.13 / DEA 0.07 / MACD +0.10). Volume is moderate; a pullback to the $4.70–$4.90 range would be more stable; a hold above $5.30 would be a buy signal. #CTKB #Nasdaq #Biotechnology #LifeSciences #FOMC #SmallCapStocks #EarningsReports #Healthcare #StockMarket #TradingPsychology

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $RKLB — Buy ​​Watchlist

Pullback and Consolidation After Breaking Moving Average 📈

Price: $73

🔥 Resistance: $80 – $88

��� Target Price: $95 → $110 (Previous High $151)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $66 – $70

🛡️ Support: $60 – $61

Price has broken above the Bollinger Band middle line (66.33), the MACD histogram is positive, and the DIF indicator is rising (DIF 0.52 / DEA -1.03 / MACD +3.09). Buy on a pullback to the $66-$72 range; if volume breaks above $88, the target price is the previous high.

#RKLB #NASDAQ #Space #Launch #FOMC #Mag7 #TSLA #Earnings #Aerospace #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

Following Trump's rejection of peace talks with Iran, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite are likely to fall; oil prices are rising and U.S. Treasury yields are surging.

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $ORCL — Buy ​​Watchlist

High Volume Pullback to Horizontal Support Level 📉

Price: $137

🔥 Resistance: $149 – $155

🎯 Target Price: $170 → $190 (Previous High $250.25)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $133 – $136

🛡️ Support: $114.50 – $130 (Close to Blue Horizontal Line)

Price broke below the Bollinger Band middle line ($149.27), with high volume pushing the price towards the $136 support level. The MACD indicator is weakening (DIF -0.66 / DEA 0.68 / MACD -2.69). First, observe whether the $133 to $136 range can hold; until a significant volume pullback to $149 occurs, only small positions are recommended. 📅 Earnings Reminder: First quarter fiscal year 2027 results were released on September 10th; next quarter results are expected to be released between December 9th and 14th, 2026 (after the close of the U.S. stock market), with estimated earnings per share of approximately $1.57 to $1.81.

#ORCL #NYSE #Cloud #AI #NVDA #Mag7 #FOMC #Earnings #Software #StockMarket

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $ARW — Buy ​​Watchlist

Approaching the upper edge of the descending resistance in an uptrend 📈

Current Trading Price: $228

🔥 Resistance Zone: $229 – $237

🎯 Next Target Price: $245 → $260 (Previous High $237.33)

💡 Ideal Entry Point: $218 – $224

🛡️ Key Support Level: $214 – $218 (Bollinger Band Middle Line $214.07 / Uptrend Line) The price has broken above the Bollinger Band Middle Line and is testing the blue descending resistance line. The MACD indicator remains bullish (DIF 3.10 / DEA 1.77 / MACD +2.67), with neutral volume. Prioritize confirmation that the price holds above $229; it is recommended to maintain a light position until the price rises significantly above $237. #ARW #NYSE #Electronics #Distribution #Semiconductors #Artificial Intelligence #Mag7 #FOMC #Stock Market #Profits

[Matt Sevenich @MattSevenich]

🚀 $AAOI — Buy ​​Watchlist

Symmetrical triangle converging at the end 📉

Price: $103.22 (-3.53%)

🔥 Resistance: $110 – $120

🎯 Target Price: $140 → $160 (Previous High $233.67)

💡 Ideal Pullback Range: $95 – $100

🛡️ Support: $85 – $95 (Ascending Trendline)

Price is hovering around the Bollinger Bands Mid (104.57), sandwiched between the descending upper band and the ascending lower band. MACD histogram is positive (DIF -3.97 / DEA -4.88 / MACD +1.82). Watch the lower band first; a breakout requires a significant volume break above $120.

#AAOI #NASDAQ #Optics #Datacenter #AI #NVDA #HBM #Mag7 #FOMC #StockMarket