Max 🌠

20 🏳️‍🌈 • unaffiliated socialist, cinephile, student, and many other things🌹🎥🌠 (he/him)

[Max 🌠 @MaxCryptic5]

reminder to everyone, please add the letterboxd! https://t.co/Te4VLoW7Zv

[Aero @ActualAero]

Probably the only thing I’m disappointed about with FF7 Revelation 😔

No disrespect to the new VA; I just really wish we kept the consistency with the main villain’s voice since Tyler Hoechlin did Remake, Rebirth & Crisis Core

Especially this one since part 3 looks to be the most important and Sephiroth-focused game too…

[Animarchy History 🇦🇺 @AnimarchyYT]

People in the comments angry at the Mayor of New York... biking though his city... speaking to his constituents? I don't know but if someone is running my local community I'd kind of expect him to be in it.

[Joe @electionsjoe]

PLATNER IS THE NUMBER 4 TOP FUNDRAISER THIS WEEK????!!!!

[浜口直樹 /FFVII REVELATION, Spring 2027 @nhamaguc]

It’s been a day since the announcement of FFVII REVELATION.
We’re truly grateful for the incredible response and passion from all of you.
Whether you’ve followed the series for years or are just starting, the remake series is finally heading toward its conclusion.
We hope you’ll share this journey with us.
More interviews are coming over the next few days.
Stay tuned for new updates.
-
FFVIIリベレーションの発表から1日が経ち、
多くの反響と皆さんの熱量が伝わってきて、改めて発表できたことを嬉しく思っています。
これまでシリーズを追いかけてくださっている方、そしてこれから触れてくださる方へ。いよいよこのリメイクシリーズは完結へと向かいます。多くの方とこの体験を共有できれば嬉しいです。
また、ここから数日にわたってメディアとのインタビューも予定されています。新たな情報にもぜひご期待ください。

#FF7R

[Nikolaj🇺🇦🇵🇸 @nikicaga]

An independence effort so serious it makes Scotland and Catalonia look like 1848

[Max 🌠 @MaxCryptic5]

@TommoFromDorset happy birthday goat

[Nikolaj🇺🇦🇵🇸 @nikicaga]

The amount of dooming over this from supposedly serious political actors was crazy

[Denims @DenimsTV]

What a crazy 24 hours man, the tentative ruling feels a little surreal. First, I just wanna say thank you to everyone who has supported me, believed in me and helped me get here, I could not have done any of this without all of you.

For those who are unfamiliar, tentative rulings are sometimes published in advance of hearings, in the interest of streamlining the hearing. The tentative ruling is the position of the court before the hearing - so the fact that the tentative ruling is to grant my motion for judgement is incredible news. The hearing was earlier today, and the judge has taken the matter under submission and an official ruling will be issued, hopefully sooner rather than later! I'm feeling very optimistic and I’ll be going over the document tomorrow on stream at 7am, see you all then :)

[Hunter📈🌈📊 @StatisticUrban]

In theory, this makes my London friend’s 11 year old kid with a posh British accent, who goes to private prep school in Manhattan, a New Yorker.

But not the 20 year old trans kid who moved from rural Nebraska seeking a more accepting life.

[@adammanross.bsky.social @adammanross]

The Progressive Democrat Aisha Wahab has a commanding lead to replace Moderate Democrat Eric Swalwell

#CA14

[Zachary Donnini @ZacharyDonnini]

CA Governor’s Race: Where things stand

At this point, I view Steve Hilton to be clearly favored.

The cleanest way to frame the race is this: if VoteHub’s current turnout estimates are right, and if late mail in every county keeps breaking the way it has so far, Steyer would win the remaining ballots by 4.2 points. This would still leave Hilton winning by 2.0 points, with a roughly 192,000-vote margin. Steyer needs to win the remaining trail by 11.1 points to catch him.

There are reasons to think the trail could keep improving for Steyer. In major counties with at least 20,000 mail ballots counted, his day-to-day improvement against Hilton has generally moved left:

Los Angeles: +13.3, +15.3, +18.7
San Diego: +13.2, +16.7
Orange: +10.0, +11.4, +8.4
San Bernardino: +5.7, +2.7
Riverside: -1.2, +4.7, +2.2
Santa Clara: +13.8, +15.0, +16.0
San Francisco: +15.2, +19.2
Solano: +9.5, +10.0, +10.2
San Mateo: +14.7, +15.2

So yes, the trail is generally getting better for Steyer. But it is not getting better fast enough in the major counties to make it easy to believe the remaining vote will be 7 points bluer than what we have seen over the last few days.

Our current fairway estimate does assume some continued leftward movement. Even then, Steyer wins the rest of the trail by about 6.7 points, which would still leave Hilton ahead by 1.4 points.

So how did Steyer get into this position?

He is doing well in the trail San Diego, Los Angeles County, and the Bay Area. But he is struggling almost everywhere else. The biggest weakness for Democrats, including Steyer, has been in the Central Valley and Inland Empire.

That was somewhat expected in the early vote, given that these are heavily Hispanic areas where Biden performed well in 2020 but where Democrats slipped in 2024. But the late-mail trail has also been weaker than Democrats needed, and when it has improved, much of the gain has gone to Becerra rather than Steyer.

Steyer is getting what he needed from his strongest regions, with the Bay Area and Los Angeles moving even further in his direction. But he is not getting enough from Hispanic-heavy areas, which means the big urban counties would have to shift unrealistically far left to make up the gap.

The completed or nearly completed counties are also not especially encouraging for Democrats. Republicans are at 36.3% in Solano, which is almost fully reported, compared to Trump’s 33.7% there in 2020. In Kings, Republicans are at 59.7%, compared to Trump’s 54.9% in 2020.

That is limited data, but it suggests California may not be on track to match Biden-era Democratic margins across much of the state. It is hard to see Democrats matching Biden’s numbers in places like Kern if they are running closer to Harris in Kings.

That said, primaries can produce weird turnout effects. Democrats really need the more white, liberal parts of the state, which Solano and Kings are not, to show extremely strong late Democratic turnout.

For Steyer, that means tomorrow’s numbers likely need to move meaningfully left: Los Angeles above 20, Orange closer to 15, Santa Clara around 18, and similar improvements elsewhere.

Why does Steyer still have a chance?

Because California late mail can be volatile, and the remaining vote in the biggest urban counties with more White liberals could still get substantially bluer.

Turnout isn't certain. Steyer would love some eventual turnout in blue areas to be higher than my estimates right now, but it isn't likely.

But the core issue remains: Steyer is not doing well enough in the trail outside places like San Francisco, Alameda, Santa Clara, and Los Angeles. And we have a couple completed counties coming in where it doesn't look great for Dems. He still has a path, but it is narrow, and Hilton remains clearly favored.

One note on turnout estimates: Giving it a glance, VoteHub’s current estimate is a mix of DDHQ and the AP. We are closer to DDHQ in assuming roughly 40,000–50,000 more outstanding Alameda ballots than AP, while we are closer to AP on total expected turnout, at about 9.56 million statewide.

[kira-ann @charrlysa]

What I think stands out to me about this story is he was the one who reached out, not the other way around. He heard through the grapevine that a trans fan was feeling this way, and was willing to move a mountain to do something about it.

[Ken Klippenstein @kenklippenstein]

Maine voter asked about Platner: "Probing into the minutiae of his personal relationships when you don't do that for any other candidate is ridiculous."

[Matthew @ohgoditsmatthew]

Steyer is killing it in the Bay Area. It’s gonna be doing a lot of the heavy lifting for Steyer to sneak into the top 2. He’s only 5.4% down from Hilton now.

[FINAL FANTASY VII @finalfantasyvii]

Remake. Rebirth. 𝐑𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧.

Spring 2027.

[DiscussingFilm @DiscussingFilm]

‘FINAL FANTASY VII REVELATION’ has been announced.

[Michael @Socdem_Michael]

It’s getting close to Steyover. If he puts up insane numbers over the weekend, he may still have a path. But it’s looking bleak.

[FINAL FANTASY VII @finalfantasyvii]

Final Fantasy VII Revelation, the thrilling conclusion of the FFVII Remake Series, launches simultaneously on PlayStation 5, Nintendo Switch 2, Xbox Series X|S, Epic Games Store and Steam in Spring 2027.

[Zachary Donnini @ZacharyDonnini]

Great find here by DJ: I expect drop box ballots to be better for Steyer than drop-off ballots, and today’s batch was drop-offs. That could leave room for stronger Steyer numbers in later batches, depending on the mix of remaining ballots.

[Garrett Herrin @GarrettHerrin]

While OC reports ballots remaining by method, most counties don’t. If LA County is counting drop boxes before E Day dropoffs (reverse of OC), that may explain Steyer’s strength today. But if LA is following the same method as OC, Steyer may be even stronger in the remaining vote.