MaxPom

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Sam Houston at Missouri State: total ticked from 49.5 to 50.5. We project 51 points, so the slight lean on Over 49.5 has basically been priced out. Passing on this one now "." No play at 50.5.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

📈 Line movers: the latest line moves changed 5 of our plays. Details below 🧵

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Missouri State opened -6.5, now down to -5. We project the Bears by 3.7, so the Sam Houston +6.5 slight lean we had has shrunk to nothing. Off the board for us — the market already did the work.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

📊 NFL Edge Model — Daily Recap

NFL record: 65-39 SU (62.5%) | 52-48 edge ATS (52.0%)
All sports: 107-45 SU (70.4%) | 71-80 edge ATS (47.0%)

Tracked 1 edge picks across 1 games.

Full results + accuracy by confidence tier:
https://t.co/5y2Sv5PyBO

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Chiefs at Broncos flipped: opened Broncos -1.5, now Chiefs -1.5. We project Chiefs by 1.6, so the slight lean we had on Chiefs +1.5 is gone. Market caught up — no play for us here Sunday 4:25 ET.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Cardinals at Cowboys: opened Cowboys -10.5, now down to -6.5. We project Cowboys by 7.2, so the Cardinals +10.5 lean we had is gone — at +6.5 there's nothing left. Off the board for us 🤷

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Colts at Jaguars moved on us: opened Jaguars -4.5, now Jaguars -7.5. We project Jacksonville by 6.4, so the slight lean on -4.5 is gone and there's nothing left here. Off the board for Sunday at 1 ET.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Cal at NC State: opened NC State -8, now down to -7. We project the Pack by 11, so that extra point flips this from a pass to a small lean on NC State -7. Noon ET kick.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

ASU at BYU moved on us: opened BYU -15, now BYU -16.5. We project BYU by about 19, so the edge is thinner than it was. BYU -16.5 goes from a solid play down to a slight lean. Still the right side, just less of it. Sat 3:30 ET.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Delaware at Western Kentucky total climbed from 56 to 58, and that extra bump gets us on board. We project 56, so Under 58 is a slight lean now. Nothing huge, but the number's finally on the right side. Tuesday 7:00 ET.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Tampa opened -4.5 and it's been bet down to -2. We project the Bucs by 5, so the move opened a door that wasn't there before. Buccaneers -2 is a slight lean now. Sunday 1 ET.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

📈 Line movers: the latest line moves changed 8 of our plays. Details below 🧵

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Sam Houston at Missouri State opened 51.5 and has been bet down to 49.5. We project 51.7, so what was a pass is now live — slight lean to the Over 49.5. Tuesday 8 ET.

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

📈 Line movers: the latest line moves changed 4 of our plays. Details below 🧵

[MaxPom @MaxPomPicks]

Delaware/WKU flipped: opened Delaware -2.5, now Western Kentucky -0.5. We project WKU by 2, so the value got squeezed. WKU +2.5 was a solid play — WKU -0.5 is just a slight lean now. Most of the juice is gone. Tue 7:00 PM ET.