MWI question... it would seem that there is a 75% chance that I end up as "Me #2" and a 25% chance that I end up as "Me #1"? If there are only 2 universes... how is it anything other than 50% that I'm in any given one of them? Where am I going wrong here? @seanmcarroll
@seanmcarroll So...
1. this problem --> "self-locating uncertainty"
2. the different universes --> "branches"
3. when facing SLU, don't think about it as "counting the branches" and assigning probabilities since the system is deterministic... just apply the "Born Rule"
Need to stew on this!
MWI question... it would seem that there is a 75% chance that I end up as "Me #2" and a 25% chance that I end up as "Me #1"? If there are only 2 universes... how is it anything other than 50% that I'm in any given one of them? Where am I going wrong here? @seanmcarroll
@realTomHa@seanmcarroll Where I struggle is this... if there are only 2 total available universes and each one is as real as the other... it seems that implies a 50%.
Otherwise, isn't the scenario this (attached)
With 2 possible outcomes only... and I can only "be" one of those 2 "Me's"... 1/2 = 50%?