M_YU

My battle is mine

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero Do you mean a sweep below 60k or 62k?

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero @IncomeSharks Do you expect another touch of the low like in your drawing?

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero Did you close the alt leverage and 10x challenge?

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero please share update on your alt challenge if there will be any

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

See how price move periods down in $BTC down no longer means that $BTC.D goes up?

Over the last days, $BTC trended down last week from 115k to 110k.

Yet $BTC.D is still sub 60%

$BTC dropped from 126k all the way to 110k, yet $BTC.D is still sitting sub 60%.

Clear transitions.

Looking forward, that is good news.

You don't feel it yet, because the payout will be swiftly, so that is why many will miss out, until it's too late.

Just like 2017.

And that is why trying to time the market on alts is not intuitive and trying to snipe it last minute is not something I recommend (nor do myself, as you know based on my open positions I shared).

Do you see how no one is bullish on alts at the moment?

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero Do you plan to also add on alt while long BTC again this time?

[百萬Eric | Day Trader @CycleStudies]

最近还会出现类似 #NMR、#PYTH 这种短期暴涨翻倍的山寨币。

如果你已经在车上，做法很简单：涨到关键压力位时，先止盈一部分，同时上调止损线，剩下的仓位就耐心交给行情。

如果你想在这时候上车，也不是不行，但一定要以EMA均线作为止损线，并提前算好仓位。

举例来说。假设你的本金 10,000 美金，单笔风险控制在 2%（即 200 美金）。

暴涨的X币当前价格 = 50 美金，EMA均线在 48.5 美金，价差正好是 3%（0.03 × 50）。

那么开仓数量 = 10,000 × 0.02 ÷ (50 × 0.03)
= 200 ÷ 1.5
≈ 133 枚 X币

也就是说，你最多可以买入 133 枚 X币，仓位价值约 6,666 美金，占总本金的 66.7%。

这样就算价格跌破均线止损3%，亏损也不会超过 200 美金。

最后，也是最重要一点，上面风险的是仓位方法，你开单时知道自己可能亏多少，而X币涨不涨，这个要看X币的庄家给不给面子～

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero Solid as usual. Just want to ask if the targets are low or mid or high timeframe, do you expect major pullback before it hits each level?

[Nick Timiraos @NickTimiraos]

Powell cautiously tees up a cut: “The balance of risks appears to be shifting.”

While labor markets remain in balance, “it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers.”

“This unusual situation suggests that downside risks to employment are rising. And if those risks materialize, they can do so quickly in the form of sharply higher layoffs and rising unemployment.”

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@PHILANGIANTs @WatcherGuru Funny. Who was shorting it when it went from 4K to 1500? They were the ones laughing back then , this was just a few months ago. Just saying.

[Crypto Currently @CryptoCurrentYT]

This metric has been contracting since November 2024.

The sentiment swings have been getting smaller and smaller.

$BTC volatility has been falling alongside it.

We are overdue for a breakout on price and sentiment. 🤝

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

根据推文画出我的形象 @grok

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero Do you see it going to fill the 92k CME gap?

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero As much as I appreciate your analysis, just want to ask do you expect a big move after tomorrow’s fomc meeting?

[Astronomer @astronomer_zero]

$BTC perps

The bump and the run ✅

Alright, successful 'shallow' pullback as we planned out.

Congrats if you caught it and made some quick money.

Shallow pullbacks are still worth catching.

Likely now heading to our main target of the silver pocket which is where we take another profit portion off our big size longs for the quarter, i.e. the ones publicly and loudly announced at 95k.

And so it's all coming together. $BTC in price discovery in Q3

With some beautiful price action.

How many bears and altcoin disbelievers are left? (And yes, I also continue to expect $BTC.D to head lower, update on that next).

See you later.

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero @tembo0o Somehow this doesn’t align with the 180k top in August

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero Sir do you have any plan on adding more to the alt bag during this period of ranging?

[M_YU @MenghanYu]

@astronomer_zero We have seen much longer consolidation period of btc together with much deeper correction on alt coin prices in this cycle. Do you believe the btc d. drop in August and the last quarter this year will be smooth or will it come with painfully long correction of the altcoin prices?

[Crypto Currently @CryptoCurrentYT]

Early signs of a GLI downtrend forming.

First time this has happened this year.

We should still have more room to rally.

But definitely something to keep an eye on. 🤝

[Andy | 点睛 @0xCPT_Capital]

eth已经到了去年十一月山寨季的价格了，而现在大部分优质山寨还是小碎步状态，说明资金没从eth外流太多，如此对比的话，eth继续拉升那么这一波的趋势会比去年十一月还要大，目前依旧处于山寨季路径中的1