Metrodorus

Using hard data (and lots of cloud computing) to examine betting strategies and gambling myths. Signup for updates

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Finishing up the work on the full post with adjustments for the different rulesets for probably the worlds simplest blackjack counting system, should be ready in a day or two. Let me know if there are specific unusual ruleset combinations you would like me to run the analysis on!

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

How can a casual blackjack player, who sees card counting as too difficult, make money at the table? This thread gives the world's simplest counting system. For every four or five played add one to total, for every ace played take one away. Don't bother with a count conversion.

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

For H17 might make sense to count tens rather than aces as will have more impact. Obviously feel free to adjust the betting strategy, feel that adjusting by win/loss and the count is an underrated way of getting money on the table without heat

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Have been asked to take a look at simpler blackjack counting system for the casual player, will be taking a look over the next few days and posting if I find anything useful.

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

We think the top three casino games for casual or novice gamblers (based on house edge, SD and 'fun') are:
1. Craps
2. Baccarat
3. Blackjack

Do you agree? What have we missed? Read our analysis here https://t.co/vmt2za6zGu

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Would you like us to take a look at another complex gambling question for you? Reply or DM us!

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

We were asked whether you can beat a Vegas casino at blackjack, playing basic strategy and varying bets in a combination of win/loss of previous hand and the count, with max bet variation of 12 to 1

The answer is yes! Click below for details...

https://t.co/0zRwxF093Y

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Reminds us a little bit of the strategy outlined by Ian Anderson in Burning the Tables, although he increased his win rate by making the high count play variations all the time (as he would have the most money on the table at high counts), rather than playing basic strategy

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

@EasyBlackjack But rarely a good idea to do so...

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

@MrChrisGray 100%, its a camouflage vs return trade off

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

We were asked whether you can beat a Vegas casino at blackjack in the long run, playing basic strategy and varying bets in a combination of win/loss of previous hand and the count, with max bet variation of 12 to 1. Will publish results in a few hours, any guesses?

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

@BlackjackForum Let us know if there's anything else you'd be interested in!

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

What should we look at next?

Side bets, betting systems etc, any games you think are exploitable? Reply below, we will analyse the most popular suggestion!

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Just published counting system for Vegas version of the baccarat lucky 6 side bet. Over twice the return of the Asian version! 3.18 bets per shoe and an average edge of 5.96%

https://t.co/VL9uSBr1B1

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Just doing some quick work on a counting system for the Vegas version (given most of you seem to be American on here 😀), should be ready in a day or two, and much more potential, given house edge of only 11.7% vs 16.7% for the Asian version (although lower betting limits)

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

As promised here is the first known counting system for the lucky 6 baccarat side bet

https://t.co/lj66iDjXsZ

Let me know what you would like to see next!

[Metrodorus @Metrodorus4]

Relatively small rare opportunity (1.23 bets per shoe, 5.55% edge) but in Macau lack of heat, acceptability of Wonging and incredibly high max bets (have seen $10k on normal tables, not sweating) make it interesting. Apparently Vegas even has a version with higher payouts?