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MEMECOINING 101 💰
I joined meme coins around 2 months ago after seeing the attention towards the space
Here's the lessons I've learned researching the space & how I went from 4 to 6 figures in memecoins by studying 20 hours:
FIRST:
The most important thing is figure out the type of meme coin you are buying.
There's two types of meme coins:
1. Generational Wealth Memecoins (buy & HODL). I.E. $PEPE, $WIF, $BONK, $BRETT, $PAC, $MUMU
2. Quick flips (generally no more than one day HODL, most the time few hours) pretty much every other memecoin
Now how do we tell the difference between the types of memes?
Study the charts & metrics:
1. Number of holders, any coin that has a 10k+ holders is good cause the wealth is distributed and they have a lot of diamond hands, I personally look for 100k+
2. CHART: This is mainly what I look at, LOOK FOR THE CHARGING UP CHART! (Examples below) 🚀
The chart is the most important in my eyes, and is the main thing I use to find good coins.
Example 1: $WIF 🤠
Notice how $WIF refuses to breakdown here, the longer a memecoin can move sideways without breaking down the better.
Why?
This means that the community are DIAMOND HANDING MFERS and only accumulating more, no one is selling
Example 2: $POPCAT 😼
Again, you see the same pattern. Holders are diamond handing so when it hits a floor, it doesn't fall through cause there's NO ONE LEFT TO SELL. EVERYONE IS DIAMOND HANDING WHICH MEANS UP ONLY
Now a real time example of a chart charging up before the massive moon upwards!
Example 3: $MUMU 🐂
Here you see the same characteristics of charging up in REAL TIME. Notice how the chart maintains sideways price action cause holders wont sell, which means UP ONLY
The longer a meme charges up, meaning they can hold sideways price action the better, cause that means holders wont sell and the coin is accumulating more holders
Okay but how can you tell a charging up Chart vs a pure rug?
There's a few factors to consider, but before that lets give an example of a quick pump & dump so you can see the OBVIOUS difference
1. Vicious upwards and downwards movement, no price action during sideway movement
2. The chart must have price action for it to be charging up! If no price action, the best you can hope for is a revival but 99%+ of these coins are dead
Last factors to note:
1. Look at originality of the coin in terms of building & art $PAC was a great original coin for example that changed how memecoins market. $PEPE is an OG crypto meme, $MUMU is an OG crypto meme.
2. Look for the active holders & communities on twitter, especially the KOLs who post about the coin as if their life depended on it
Examples:
@blknoiz06 & @blockgraze with $WIF
@CrashiusClay69 with $BRETT
@The__Solstice with $MUMU
The more you see a big KOL non-stop post about the coin generally the better. It means they care about the coins success. Check engagement of the posts everytime these KOLs post, if there's a lot of holders you'll see LOTS of support.
If a KOL doesn't care you'll see a few posts tops and the KOL won't ever post again.
One last note:
I'm here for the generational wealth and don't have time for quick pump & dumps
But with pump & dump coins, your competing against snipers, KOLs, team, early buyers etc. all dumping on you. Unless you have insider info or are in super early you'll probably lose money
Once you find a chart charging up for generational wealth, the timing doesn't as much just buy when you can. For example, I swap all my dust, airdrops & extra cash into $MUMU as when $MUMU hits 1B the buy at 30M or 40M wont matter vs not being in the coin at all
TLDR; the longer a memecoin can maintain sideways price action the better, it means the community is diamond handing AF and price will sustain before a massive green dildo upwards.
Part of the reason there’s so much disagreement regarding where we are cyclically is because returns have been so unevenly distributed
Additionally, a lot of previous cycle signposts have been absent and/or entirely invalid
1. The conventional ‘risk curve’ trade of BTC —> ETH —> large caps —> mid caps —> shitters has been unprofitable. Barbell portfolio of BTC + memes has dominated.
2. ETH/BTC has been remarkably weak, whereas historically it has benefitted from a risk on environment. This has also spilled over into ETH L1+L2 proxy trades being suboptimal. ‘Crypto as a casino’ thesis has been captured by memecoins on SOL (vs previous cycle’s casino was NFTs on ETH).
3. Memecoins have been consistently leading and rotating from that sector has been costly, whereas memes pumping has historically been an indicator of being late in the cycle.
4. BTC hasn’t offered a series of previously ‘standard’ bull market pullbacks of 30-40%. This has created a bunch of early sellers/sidelined traders. Also led to proliferation of left-truncated cycle discourse, shorter cycle, super cycle, and other heterodox variants.
5. There are so many new tokens (amplified by memecoins) that “crypto bull market” no longer means “everything that’s listed goes up for weeks/months” - the rising tide has not lifted all boats and there are very clear winners vs losers (and they’ve broadly stayed the same, no massive rotations e.g. ETH eco/L1+L2 trade been weak relative to SOL for ages, with exceptions).
Taking all this into account, it’s entirely plausible that you have Trader A who rode BTC, SOL, and memes and feels like stuff is hot and needs to cool off, whereas Trader B has barely made any money and feels like stuff hasn’t even picked up yet, and everything in between.
We all have different portfolios, trading styles, time horizons, risk appetite, volatility tolerance, and a bunch of other stuff.
Most of crypto Twitter thinks crypto will go up and to the right over time, we just disagree about the fine print.
Be kind, chill out 🫡
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