Michael Wallace

Futures Trader

[Ryan @DodgysDD]

I am literally SHAKING after finding this almost like someone is going to hunt me down after I hit post...

I am not sure if this is public info but bitcoin cycles are PERFECT to the exact day

ATH run from 2014-2017: 1064 days
ATL run from 2017-2018: 364 days
ATH run 2018-2021: 1064 days
ATL run 2021-2022: 364 days
ATH run 2022-2025: 1064 days

Currently based off this sequence we will continue to go down on bitcoin probably from $20,000-$40,000 and bottom out around October 5th, 2026

The chance this is completely random is less than 0.000001% there's just no way

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@MichaelPatak @matt_kohrs @Topstep I think it would be worth your while to clarify this more publicly on Twitter, every fintwit trader is posting a screenshot where topstep supposedly said DLL is now based on unrealized profits.

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@StoicTA On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@OkalaNQT On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@DodgysDD On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@Patrickwieland @MichaelPatak On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@Wepth @MichaelPatak @Topstep On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@Patrickwieland On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@thebrianstonk On TopstepTV (11 Feb), Michael Patak and the team did a live Q&A - they said the DLL has remained unchained, there is no intraday DLL.

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@I_Am_The_ICT 57th exit from twitter😴

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@BlueGuardiancom @grok I will name my son, Grok

[Afyz @XYJtrades]

How I approach Top Down Analysis:

Step 1: Which H4 candle has reversed the daily range?

(confirm with m15/m30 CISD)

1. Asia (6pm or 10pm)
2. London (2am)
3. NY (6am or 10am)

Step 2: Determine if you are trading within the H4 reversal or a subsequent H4 continuation candle.

1. If trading within the H4 reversal you need

M30 CISD preceded by SMT + key level first....

Logic: Allow the reversal to form, this confirms the wick of that H4 candle and allows you to trade intra-candle continuations with lower time frame alignments (H1/M30)

2. If trading H4 continuation you need

H1/M30 fractal with associated m5/m3 CISD

You can trade either the reversal (c2) or continuations (c3) here on the LTF.

To trade a LTF Reversal (C2 before closure) consider:

1. Into a Key Level (FVG)
2. Small Opposing run
3. Need SMT at the C1 low
4. Trading the redistributions not LRE (think propulsion block, OB off an FVG, and not the original CISD)

3. Pair this with drivers

ask…. is the driver creating the h4 reversal candle?

or

is the driver after the h4 candle has already reversed?

If we have LOD / HOD established drivers should expand away from these levels / create protected swings

if we do not have LOD/HOD established drivers can create LOD/HOD

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@SirPickle_ SMT

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@FairValueGod YES

[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@TradeifyFunding @BrettSimba @GandalfTrader A wide-screen Dell monitor

[Tradeify @Tradeify]

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[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

@thelab @alexxo @traderkane @JunoTrading @mzzmke @finessee_Fx @L2kTrades

[The Lab @thelab]

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[Michael Wallace @Michael__wlc]

Traders need to be cognizant of times when markets become highly correlated. In such situations, the risk for any given portfolio may be much greater than normal because of the higher probability of simultaneous adverse price moves in multiple positions