Dad, husband, Biophysics PhD, former NCAA OLB, inventor, entrepreneur, investor, mountain biker. Against kakistocracy.
From Brooklyn to Austin & Vancouver.
Modern Russia has become a death cult and a terror state. Even its children are being indoctrinated into a world of perpetual war. Only its total defeat in Ukraine will destroy this imperialist virus. And only then will Europe be able to build a real security structure.
Knives out. They're all corrupt AF--Bessent too. This whole thing is a shit show. The scandal goes all the way to the Oval Office. Trump knew. He didn't care--he was making money. There is no concern for national security or the country, only his bottom line.
Either Witkoff and Kushner are trolling us by proudly showing off their “Team Russia” jackets, or they don’t get how awful this looks for them. I’m not sure which is worse.
I have a major result to share.
I’ve found conclusive forensic evidence that the top 4 Chinese AI labs—DeepSeek, Moonshot, MiniMax and Ant Group—have built their newest models on NVIDIA’s most advanced Blackwell chips, which are barred from export to China.
This sounds insane, but I discovered that almost every AI model carries a hidden signature of the GPU that trained it. When a model is first set up, the starting values of its weights are laid out in a pattern that depends on the exact GPU. Each combination of GPU and seed number produces a unique pattern—a sort of fingerprint of the hardware used to create the model. Traces of that pattern survive training into the published model.
Again, this evidence isn’t based on any insider information or leaking. It’s based on a forensic analysis of the model weights released by the companies themselves.
I searched more than six trillion combinations of chip layout and seed number and matched them to open-weights models. In doing so, I found conclusive evidence that six Chinese AI models—including DeepSeek-V4-Pro, Kimi K3, and MiniMax-M3—were initialized on NVIDIA Blackwell systems. Four of the models match Grace Blackwell, the GB200 and GB300 parts in NVIDIA’s flagship liquid-cooled rack-scale systems.
I then verified these results on real hardware. Running unmodified PyTorch with the seeds I’d recovered, a Blackwell B300 reproduced DeepSeek-V4-Flash’s untouched starting weights bit for bit, and a rented GB200 reproduced Kimi K3’s to a correlation of 0.999995. A Hopper H100 reproduced none of DeepSeek-V4-Flash’s, and changing the seed by one broke the match. (DeepSeek’s seed is 953049583 by the way.) The method also was verified to match 24 known open-weights models to the hardware that developers said they used.
It is exceedingly unlikely that these results are a coincidence. Across six trillion combinations, the best accidental match should reach only about 8 sigma (i.e., eight standard deviations above what random chance would produce). The real matches range from 49 to 1,385 sigma, and even the weakest single test hits 20.
These were data-center-scale training runs. With some analysis of release schedules and model details, I estimate that the largest, Kimi K3 and DeepSeek-V4-Pro, used 2,000 to 3,000 Blackwell GPUs each. Clusters of this size cost on the order of $150 to $200 million each to buy, and across these labs alone would add up to more than half a billion dollars of export-controlled GPUs, not counting experimental compute or otherwise. It’s quite likely that we see multi-billion dollar expenditure on export-controlled GPUs.
I am highly confident in this result, and it has been independently verified by senior researchers at OpenAI and Anthropic. You can read the full report at https://t.co/YOtzND0Jqk.
There is much more I’ve identified about these models through other forms of checkpoint forensics like this, and will have more to share soon.
@BillKristol A "man" with no principles, no moral code, no self-control...A greed-addled narcissist with sick impulses and no conscience is the ABSOLUTE IDEAL TARGET for hostile foreign intelligence services.
He's been weakened by the electoral ass-whupping, but he's a wounded monster.
Racism and religious bigotry are mental disorders that we can no longer afford.
Our species needs to evolve beyond this stage of consciousness.
Now.
A side benefit:
No bigotry = No #MAGA = No more corrupt demagogues like Criminal Trump!
@BillKristol A "man" with no principles, no moral code, no self-control...A greed-addled narcissist with sick impulses and no conscience is the ABSOLUTE IDEAL TARGET for hostile foreign intelligence services.
He's been weakened by the electoral ass-whupping, but he's a wounded monster.
"The central figure in this scandal is not Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, though I suspect he’ll soon be its designated scapegoat. The central figure is Trump."
https://t.co/3HH37daKxL
Witkoff and Kushner fly to moscow, shake hands with a wanted war criminal, and return talking about progress toward peace.
The Economist reports deliberate throttling of Starshield access, hampering Ukraine’s ability to defend itself.
Meanwhile, russia persists in its ruscism, striking hospital in Kyiv, murdering two Ukrainians in broad daylight in #Odesa. Injuring many more.
Will the briefing American envoys receive include this video of a man crying over the body of his wife?
This is a malignant narcissist desperately trying to repair his self-image in the wake of a public humiliation aka “mortification.”
The midterms forced him to see himself in the eyes of others. This is his rebuttal—the equivalent of “nuh uh” to the voters.
Pathetic & dangerous.
In June of 1941, Hitler's Army began a rampage through Ukraine, razing towns, unleashing death squads, and massacring Jews by the hundreds of thousands. In one village, four Jewish brothers enlisted in the military, said goodbye to their parents, and walked off to fight the Nazis.
By the war's end in 1945, only one of the brothers, named Semyon, was still alive. He returned to find that the Nazis had torched his entire village, burning his parents to death. Semyon's family was dead, and his beloved Ukraine was in ruins. The Nazis had murdered between 1.2 and 1.6 million Ukrainian Jews.
Semyon married a fellow Ukrainian Jew who had survived the war by fleeing her city, in which the Nazis had killed 5,000 Jews. Two years later, in that same city, they had a son, Oleksandr, keeping alive the family line that the Nazis had brought a razor's width from extinction. Thirty-one years after that, Oleksandr had his own little boy.
That boy was Volodymyr Zelensky, who grew up to become the President of independent, democratic Ukraine. Today, he leads his outmanned, outgunned, ferociously defiant nation against the onslaught of Russia. As Russia dashes itself against the will of his people, Zelensky, the survivor of survivors, summons the resilience of his ancestors. He does not bend. #Zalensky #Ukraine
🔥 Talarico wants to UNITE the country:
“This moment is so much bigger than the red team or the blue team. We’re tired of being pitted against each other. It’s been 10 years of politics of bloodsport. We need a party that is a little less Washington and a little more Texas.”
Jet-powered Russian drones with Nvidia chips are now breaking into Ukrainian airspace and killing people because Starlink restrictions hinder Ukrainian air defense.