Mike C

You decide your own level of involvement

[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

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[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

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[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

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[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

Michael Burry has said he’s expecting a prolonged market-wide selloff that’s worse than 2000, which lasted 31 months.

“I think when the market goes down, it's not like in two thousand where there was this other bunch of stocks that were being ignored and they'll come up even if the Nasdaq crashes. Now I think the whole thing's just going to come down," he said.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

The trade war has officially begun, here’s our take on it:

1. New tariffs of 25% on Mexico, 25% on Canada, and 10% on China are now live. We must first put this into perspective

2. Mexico and Canada’s exports to the U.S. account for approximately 78% and 77% of their total annual exports, respectively

3. U.S. exports to Mexico and Canada account for approximately 16% and 17% of total U.S. annual exports, respectively

4. U.S. exports to Mexico and Canada are ~$320 billion and ~$360 billion respectively, which is less than 2.5% of U.S. GDP

5. On the other hand, these exports represent 20%–30% of Canada and Mexico’s GDP. This trade war is clearly lopsided

6. The real wildcard here is how China will respond to the additional 10% tariff. We expect higher prices for consumers soon

7. This comes at a particularly important time as DeepSeek has disrupted AI, and the U.S. is probing potential illegal chip purchases in China

8. The combination of a trade war and potential new chip bans could significantly weigh on technology stocks

9. U.S. officials are being careful with their comments regarding chip bans and the DeepSeek situation for a reason

10. If these tariffs persist for more than a year, we expect U.S. economic output to decline by an average of ~2% per year through 2026

11. Unless oil prices drop by 80% to ~$15 per barrel, it is unlikely that lower energy prices will offset the effects of tariffs and existing inflation

12. Higher interest rates are here to stay through at least Q3 2025

13. President Trump’s threat to impose 100% tariffs on BRICS countries (which could include more than 30 nations) poses an even greater risk

14. The average U.S. tariff rate is set to rise to ~22% under President Trump—more than 5 times the average over the last 30 years

As an investor, you CANNOT change the market. You can only react to CHANGES in the market.

The coming volatility will be a tradable opportunity.

[Jesse Cohen @JesseCohenInv]

A History of Bubbles.

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

GET READY FOR ONE OF THE CRAZIEST WEEKS OF THE QUARTER IN THE STOCK MARKET

- Tesla's $TSLA 10/10 event
- Nvidia $NVDA AI Summit
- EARNINGS SEASON IS BACK

Here's a full catalyst watch to help you get prepared 🧵⬇️

[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

@cobraalerts Add

[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

@EdwardAlerts Trade

[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

@OptionsBuffett Trade

[Andrew Lokenauth @FluentInFinance]

BREAKING: Warren Buffett just updated his investment portfolio.

He has $280 Billion invested in these 41 stocks:

[Dom Lucre | Breaker of Narratives @dom_lucre]

🔥🚨DEVELOPING:: Hollywood actor Vince Vaughn explained why he believes good R-Rated comedies aren’t being made anymore and he pretty much blames it on woke culture and the fear of people losing their job Vaughn did close by saying he believes edgy and truthful comedy is returning very soon.

[Patrick Bet-David @patrickbetdavid]

Brace for impact.

Tomorrow opening of the market will reveal a ton.

Few strange events taking place causing concern amongst investors.

1. Rumors of an underground bunker in Jerusalem where senior leaders can remain for an extended period during a war has been prepared by the Shin Bet security service and is fully operational, the Walla news site reported on Sunday, amid fear of attacks on Israel from Hezbollah and Iran.

The bunker, reportedly built almost 20 years ago, can sustain hits from a range of existing weaponry, has command and control capabilities, and is connected to the Defense Ministry headquarters in Tel Aviv, the report said.

2. Japan stock market, the Nikkei 225 is set to post its largest 2 day drop in history.

Larger than black Monday crash of 1987.

3. Bitcoin is down 22% the last week. (10% just today)

Ethereum is down 31% for the week. (21% for the day)

4. Some trends showing the increase purchase of military stocks under way.

This isn’t fully verified but you can see some patterns.

5. Talks about Fed reserve considering lowering rates half a point next month to stabilize the massive potential stock market loss in August.

6. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway dumps $75.5 billion worth of stock and halves Apple stake.

They’re now sitting on a record cash pile of $276.9 billion. 

What does all of this mean?

1. Nothing

2. Shits about to hit the fan

3. A possible WWIII is eminent and America may be forced to get involved with Iran/Israel if 🇮🇷 attacks

4. The overdue Recession is finally here

5. Global recession after all the printing of 💰 is here

Either way, I follow a basic rule.

I lean 51% on future looking bright and 49% on “Only the paranoid survive”.

God is good!

[Evan @StockMKTNewz]

Where inflation is and where it isn’t

[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

@FanDuelCasino Hit

[Mike C @MikeChartreau]

@cobraalerts 1k

[Ian Carroll @IanCarrollShow]

In case you’re wondering why the whole internet is talking about $GME today.

Can’t stop
Won’t stop
#GameStop