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Ape Maxi

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Interesting analysis

[Rand Group @randgroup]

Patience, the Bitcoin bottoming process it's still loading. You already know what's next

Source: @FrankAFetter

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

Enough people told me again today what a terrible investment silver is.

Maybe, if your nose is pressed against the chart. Zoom out.

The 200MA is making new all-time highs every day and is now more than 100% higher than a year ago.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

$MSTR - MICROSTRATEGY SELLS 32 BTC FOR $2.5M AT AVERAGE OF $77.135M: FILING

[Rand Group @randgroup]

$310 trillion in traditional assets. Less than 0.03% tokenized.

We're not early. We're basically pre-conception lol

[Rand Group @randgroup]

If the BTC/GOLD ratio follows the same playbook for the THIRD time, we're looking at a new Bitcoin ALL TIME HIGH somewhere between April and December 2027.

Source: @AdamBLiv

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

Friday saw one of the biggest jumps in the MOVE Index of the past year.

The MOVE Index is to government bonds what the VIX is to the S&P 500.

Next week is going to be a very interesting week for financial markets.

See also the post below.

[Rand Group @randgroup]

The biggest IPO in history is coming this summer. It's not AI. It's not crypto. It's space.

The space economy has 5 layers. This is the breakdown with all the tickers you need to know before the rest of Wall Street wakes up 👇

🔧 1. MANUFACTURING & SUPPLY

Nothing goes to orbit without someone building it. The defense primes and aerospace manufacturers design, build, and supply every satellite, rocket, and component. L3Harris builds military satellite payloads. Northrop Grumman builds rocket motors and entire spacecraft. Lockheed Martin runs the largest classified space programs on earth. Honeywell supplies avionics. Redwire is the pure play for in orbit manufacturing.

Most of these names have massive non space revenue so the thesis is diluted. Redwire ($RDW) is the purest exposure here with 2025 revenue of $335M and 2026 guidance of $450 to $500M. The rest give you space wrapped in a broader defense portfolio.

Tickers: $LHX $NOC $RTX

🚀 2. ORBITAL LAUNCH

The transportation layer. Launch costs dropped 95% in a decade and that single shift unlocked the entire modern space economy. SpaceX dominates with 60%+ market share and is filing for a $2 trillion IPO this summer. When it lists, every space stock gets repriced overnight.

Rocket Lab is the clear number two. Record $602M revenue in 2025. $2.2B backlog. Neutron medium lift rocket targeting first launch H2 2026. The $816M SDA defense satellite contract proved it's not just a launch company but a vertically integrated space platform.

Tickers: $RKLB $FLY $SPCE

🛰 3. SPACE INFRASTRUCTURE

Once you're in orbit, someone needs to build the platforms, landers, and systems that actually operate there. This is the fastest growing and most volatile segment.

Intuitive Machines is the standout. $943M backlog. 2026 revenue guidance of $900M to $1B, nearly 5x trailing. NASA lunar contracts including the $4.6B Lunar Terrain Vehicle program. BlackSky runs a real time Earth observation constellation with Gen 3 satellites at 35cm resolution and expects positive EBITDA in 2026. This layer has the most asymmetric opportunities because most names are small cap, underfollowed, and growing 50%+.

Tickers: $LUNR $BKSY $SATL

📡 4. SATELLITE SERVICES

Satellites deliver broadband, track ships, monitor crops, predict weather, and connect phones where zero cell coverage exists. This layer has the most direct path to recurring revenue because it runs on long term government and enterprise contracts.

AST SpaceMobile is building space based cellular broadband connecting directly to standard smartphones from orbit. If it scales, it's a paradigm shift. Planet Labs posted record revenue of $308M with a $900M backlog and 98% recurring contract value. KULR provides thermal management for batteries and electronics in space.

Tickers: $ASTS $PL $KULR

🤖 5. COMMUNICATIONS & OPERATIONS

The connective tissue. Every other layer depends on satellite communications networks, data relay, and in orbit logistics to function.

Iridium operates the only constellation covering 100% of Earth's surface with predictable subscription revenue. Globalstar was acquired by Amazon to support Project Kuiper, the Starlink competitor launching in 2026. Spire Global runs a nanosatellite constellation collecting weather, maritime, and aviation data for government and commercial clients.

Tickers: $IRDM $GSAT $SPIR

🎯 THE BIG PICTURE

$626 billion today. $1 trillion by 2034. $1.8 trillion by 2035. SpaceX IPO this summer is the single biggest catalyst the space sector has ever seen. A $2 trillion listing forces Wall Street to reprice every pure play in the ecosystem.

This is not 2021 SPAC hype. Real revenue. Real contracts. Real growth. 5 layers. Most investors only know the rockets. The full space economy is much bigger. And the best opportunities are in the layers nobody is watching.

[JohnNakamoto @JohnNakamoto_]

🚨 Leopold Aschenbrenner convirtió $225M en $5.5B en 12 meses.

Tiene 24 años. Ex investigador de OpenAI.

Su apuesta: puts masivas contra los gigantes de los semiconductores.

Acaba de actualizar el portafolio del Situational Awareness Fund:

1.SMH [Put] — $2.04B
2.NVDA [Put] — $1.57B
3.ORCL [Put] — $1.07B
4.AVGO [Put] — $1.01B
5.AMD [Put] — $969M
6. BE — $879M
7.SNDK — $724M
8. MU [Put] — $584M
9.CRWV — $556M
10.TSM [Put] — $535M

Nuevas entradas: puts en ASML, INTC, GLW y calls en MU, TSM y SNDK.

Salidas completas: INTC [Call] ($747M), LITE ($479M).

Cree que el rally de la IA en hardware ha ido demasiado lejos.

¿Debería @Polymarket abrir un mercado sobre si tiene $BTC y $ETH en cartera? ​​​​​​​​​​​👀

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

Silver at $85!

Every descending resistance line gets taken out.

Clear higher highs and higher lows over the past two months.

The floor has moved from $20 to $70.

Everything still looks very good for silver.

[Rand Group @randgroup]

The AI supercycle will last 15 years. We're in year 3.

Most investors are still buying Phase 1 names while the real money is already rotating into Phase 3.

I mapped the entire cycle into 4 phases with the tickers that matter at each stage:

The AI supercycle is the biggest investment theme of our generation. Bigger than mobile. Bigger than cloud. A 15 year structural shift that will reshape every sector of the global economy. Hyperscalers just committed $725 billion in capex for 2026, nearly doubling last year. Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta each spending over $100 billion individually.

This is not speculation. I've mapped the entire supercycle into four phases so you know exactly where we are and where the asymmetric opportunities sit.

🔴 Phase 1: Already Ran (2023 to 2025)

The foundation layer is complete. $AMD ran 78% in 2025, $NVDA 39%, and $INTC just posted a blowout Q1 that sent the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index above 10,000 for the first time. Chips still power every phase but the generational entries are gone and risk/reward has compressed.

- $NVDA, $AMD, $ARM, $INTC, $AVGO, $MU, $GLW
- Semiconductors, Memory & Storage,Photonics/Optics
- Foundation complete. Still growing but priced for it.

🟠 Phase 2: Peak Buildout (2025 to 2027)

The phase most investors just woke up to. $CEG acquired Calpine to become the largest U.S. private power producer at 55 GW. $GEV up over 200% in a year. $VRT co engineering cooling for NVIDIA's Rubin architecture. $GLW up 74% YTD on optical fiber demand. Nuclear SMRs are the breakout with $OKLO, $SMR, and $BWXT positioning to power data centers directly. Still upside but the obvious names have moved.

- $CEG, $GEV, $VRT, $VST, $TLN, $ANET, $GLW, $MOD, $EQIX $OKLO, $SMR, $BWXT, $NNE
- Power/Grid, Cooling, Networking, Nuclear/SMR Peak buildout.
- Nuclear SMRs are the sleeper.

🟡 Phase 3: The Positioning Window (2026 to 2028)

Where AI escapes the data center and enters the physical world. Most will be late. Tesla converting Fremont to Optimus production, $25B capex, mass production targeted H2 2026. Rocket Lab posted record $602M revenue with $1.85B backlog. $LUNR up 47% YTD with $943M in contracts. $KTOS Valkyrie drone selected for the Marine Corps. The window to position is open right now.

- $TSLA, $RKLB, $LUNR, $KTOS, $AVAV, $PATH, $ISRG $MP, $FCX, $ALB, $ASTS
- Robotics/Autonomy, Space/Defense/Drones, Rare Earths
- This is where the asymmetric risk/reward lives.

🟢 Phase 4: Final Frontier (2028+)

The endgame. Microsoft capex $190B. Alphabet $190B. Amazon $200B. Meta $145B. Google Cloud backlog past $460B. They're building the rails for AI software dominance and AGI. Quantum still early but $IONQ and D Wave are laying groundwork. The platforms that control the software layer win the entire supercycle.

- $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META, $ORCL, $IONQ
- AI Software Dominance, AGI Infrastructure Decade long thesis.
- Accumulate on weakness.

💊 Key Takeaway

- Phase 2 is confirmed ($725B hyperscaler capex)
- Phase 3 is where the smart money positions nowRobotics, space, defense, nuclear
- SMR are the 2026 to 2028 trades
- Most will rotate into these names 12 months too late

15 year supercycle. Not a trade. Phase 1 ran. Phase 2 is priced. Phase 3 is where you want to be.

[Rand Group @randgroup]

Priced in Bitcoin, every major asset on earth has been in a bear market since 2014.

No exceptions. No recoveries. Just a slow, relentless repricing.

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

Silver’s 200-day moving average has been hitting a new all-time high every day for more than a year. That is a bull market.

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

Anyone who takes the time to really study the silver table will understand why I am so bullish on silver.

[/ @MikelDLC]

Bitcoin es el activo más volátil de la historia… y el más rentable de todos los tiempos

[JohnNakamoto @JohnNakamoto_]

Rentabilidades anuales de $BTC desde sus inicios:

2010: 🟢 +385%
2011: 🟢 +1,437%
2012: 🟢 +193%
2013: 🟢 +5,463%
2014: 🔴 -57%
2015: 🟢 +34%
2016: 🟢 +123%
2017: 🟢 +1,369%
2018: 🔴 -73%
2019: 🟢 +92%
2020: 🟢 +303%
2021: 🟢 +59%
2022: 🔴 -64%
2023: 🟢 +155%
2024: 🟢 +120%
2025: 🔴 -6%
2026: ⏳

Bitcoin es el activo más volátil de la historia… y el más rentable de todos los tiempos.

[Rand Group @randgroup]

Gold did a x5 after reclaiming this trendline. Bitcoin is reclaiming the same one.

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

The white line is the 1Y silver swap minus rates. The blue line is the 1Y gold swap minus rates.

Silver should trade positive, just like gold. The fact that it does not shows how extremely tight the physical silver market really is.

[Karel Mercx @KarelMercx]

The 1-month silver lease rate is back above its 30-day average.

What stands out is how quickly the lease rate rises when silver goes up. That is a strong sign the silver bull market is not over.

[/ @MikelDLC]

#bitcoin = libertad

[JohnNakamoto @JohnNakamoto_]

Hoy hace 15 años nació Namecoin, la primera cripto basada en #Bitcoin.

Desde entonces se han lanzado más de 100 millones de monedas.

El 99% valen cero.

BTC sigue en pie.

La selección natural también existe en cripto. 😉

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

Millions of possibilities. One solution. $BTC