The secure chip was untouched, so authenticity checks passed.
~$86M to $93M drained from 300+ wallets (on-chain estimates).
Rule 1: buy direct. Rule 2: half price is bait.
Today's economics Nobel is the reason one sentence from the Fed can move markets.
Woodford: expectations ARE policy. Say rates are going up, and firms act before anything happens.
The twist: Fed chair Warsh says forward guidance has gone too far
Fewer hints = bigger surprises?
Brent: $105. Goldman's estimate of the fear inside it: ~$20.
Where it comes from:
β’ Hormuz flows ~30% below prewar, 9 tankers hit in a week, 2 more this weekend
β’ Isaias shut in ~63% of Gulf output
Storm premiums fade in days. War premiums don't. π§΅
The week in 5 numbers:
5.31%: US 10Y, 20-year high 63%: Gulf oil output shut in (Isaias) 46.3: Michigan sentiment Most: Fed officials see one more hike $1.1B: tokens unlocked
Tomorrow: one year since the $19B day.
Fed minutes, decoded:
MOST: another hike likely by year end MANY: higher path "prudent" SEVERAL: rates "not restrictive"
Hawkish words, patient timing ("no need for urgency").
Calendar quirk: last decision 9 Dec. Nov CPI out 10 Dec. One day too late.