XAUUSD | Gold Trader

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[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD .. Technical Analysis

Downtrend is textbook and aggressive right now .. price trading around 4,189. Lower highs, lower lows, every bounce getting sold hard at the MA. Bears fully in control.

Headline driving the move 🇱🇧..
Iran postponed the Switzerland peace talks due to ongoing Israeli attacks on Lebanon .. deal uncertainty = safe haven confusion = gold selling off fast. 🔻

Key Levels:
Resistance: 4,144 – 4,170 .. and 4,215
Support: 4,130 .. break below = next target 4,120-4100

Bias .. Sell. Don't fight the trend. 📉
#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_SELL #IranWar‌

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

The target of 4340 has been reached. & Gold has successfully broken below yesterday's low of 4218, and will continue to decline in the medium term!
#GOLD #XAUUSD

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD — Sell 📉

- Entry: 4,254 - 4,256
- SL: 4,270
- TP1: 4,240
- TP2: 4,235
- TP3: 4,230

4250 support turned into resistance .. structure still favors downside. Manage your risk 📉

#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_SELL

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD — Sell 📉

- Entry: 4,254 - 4,256
- SL: 4,270
- TP1: 4,240
- TP2: 4,235
- TP3: 4,230

4250 support turned into resistance .. structure still favors downside. Manage your risk 📉

#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_SELL

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

Clean V-shaped rebound after gold bottomed at 4,218 on the 17th .. strong buying came in fast and price is back above the moving average. Bearish momentum broken for now.

Key level .. 4,335
Hold above it = trend continues toward 4,400 📈
Fail to hold = back into consolidation range

MA flattening and starting to curl up .. bulls slowly taking back control.

Short term bias .. Sell into resistance, buy the dips!!!

Stay sharp around 4,335. That's the line.

#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_SELL

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD .. NY Session Update📈

Today's news is very bullish for gold .. US-Iran deal progress combined with Fed signaling a weaker USD .. two major catalysts hitting at the same time.

NY Traders .. buy the pullbacks!

Key support levels to watch:

- 4,320
- 4,330
- 4,344

Let price come to you and load up at these levels. Momentum is on our side. 📈

#XAUUSD #FED #GOLD_BUY

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

U.S. AND IRAN DISCUSS MOVING UP SIGNING OF DEAL, SOURCES SAY

Donald Trump’s administration, Iran, and mediators are discussing moving up the signing of a memorandum of understanding to as early as Wednesday via remote signing, sources say. If confirmed, provisions on reopening the Strait of Hormuz could take effect sooner and the deal text may be released. Final timing remains undecided, while planned Friday talks in Switzerland are still expected to proceed.

#IranWar‌ #US_IRAN_DEAL #TRUMP

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD — Buy Limit 📈

- Entry: 4,318 - 4,320
- SL: 4,300
- TP1: 4,330
- TP2: 4,335
- TP3: 4,340 - 47
- RR: 1:2-2.5

Bias stays bullish.. buying the dip within the flag. Let price come to you.

After the massive surge from 4,074 to 4,369 between the 11th and 15th .. gold is now cooling off into a bullish flag consolidation around 4,331. Classic behavior after a big move.

EMAs are flattening out .. price chopping above and below the moving average. Market is digesting the gains before the next leg.

Key Levels:
Support: 4,315 – 4,320 .. short term
Strong Support: 4,300 – 4,305.. major floor

Bias .. Bullish .. flag pattern favors continuation to the upside once consolidation ends. Fed decision today is the catalyst to watch.
#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_BUY #XAUUSD_SIGNAL

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD .. Market Update

Gold still consolidating .. Asian session buy orders running clean and profitable. 📈

3 things driving gold right now ..

Fed shift .. rate hike expectations cooling, dollar and yields pulling back. Direct fuel for gold.

Middle East premium fading .. US-Iran deal done, Hormuz open, oil dumping. Inflation fears easing and market focus shifting back to Fed liquidity. Gold benefits.

Central bank buying .. global central banks still net buyers of gold consistently. Solid long term floor under price.

Bias stays bullish.⤴️

#XAUUSD_BUY #XAUUSD #FED

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD — Buy Limit 📈

- Entry: 4,318 - 4,320
- SL: 4,300
- TP1: 4,330
- TP2: 4,335
- TP3: 4,340 - 47
- RR: 1:2-2.5

Bias stays bullish.. buying the dip within the flag. Let price come to you.

After the massive surge from 4,074 to 4,369 between the 11th and 15th .. gold is now cooling off into a bullish flag consolidation around 4,331. Classic behavior after a big move.

EMAs are flattening out .. price chopping above and below the moving average. Market is digesting the gains before the next leg.

Key Levels:
Support: 4,315 – 4,320 .. short term
Strong Support: 4,300 – 4,305.. major floor

Bias .. Bullish .. flag pattern favors continuation to the upside once consolidation ends. Fed decision today is the catalyst to watch.
#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_BUY #XAUUSD_SIGNAL

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD .. Wednesday, 17 June , Briefing:

Gold pushing higher at 4,346 .. extending Monday's jump and not giving it back. Strong sign. 📈

Big driver is oil .. cracked to 3 month lows. Brent under 80, WTI around 77. Why? Iran allowed to sell oil immediately once the deal is signed Friday in Geneva .. more supply = cheaper oil = inflation cools = Fed eases = gold climbs. Dollar soft, yields easing .. everything pointing up.

The one hurdle .. Fed today
Rallying right into the decision. Calm tone = gold flies. Hawkish tone = short term pullback. Simple as that.

What to watch:
Fed decision today .. biggest event of the week
Oil .. keeps falling = keeps helping gold
Friday Geneva signing .. official stamp on the deal
Lebanon .. Israel-Iran friction still a background risk

Bottom line : trend is in our favour. Bias stays bullish but stay sharp around the Fed decision.

Trade what you see, not what you hope.

#XAUUSD #FED #fomc

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

Gold experienced a "false drop," with key support at $4300! The Fed's interest rate decision is tomorrow! Continued upward movement is expected ahead of the data release.
#XAUUSD_GOLD #FED

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD – Buy Limit📈

- Entry: 4,330 - 4,333
- SL: 4,320
- TP1: 4,345
- TP2: 4,350
- *TP3: 4,355
- TP4: 4,360
- RR: 1:3

Continuing long from current levels. Structure still bullish, momentum favors continuation and poised to challenge $4,400 today!

#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_BUY

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD — Buy Limit 📈

- Entry: 4,300-05
- SL: 4,290
- TP1: 4,315
- TP2: 4,325
- TP3: 4,330 - 4,335

Pulling back into key support level.. letting price come to us. Structure remains bullish, bias stays up into Fed Wednesday

Resistance .. 4,371
Break above this and we target 4,441 .. 4,500 next

Support Levels
- 4,300 .. first line
- 4,281 – 4,284.. key zone
- 4,240 .. strong support (yesterday's gap)

Candles clustered tight around the moving averages .. classic indecision before a big move.

Bias : BUY .. but wait for confirmation.

#XAUUSD #XAUUSD_BUY

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD .. Key Catalysts This Week

Two major forces pulling gold right now ..

Geopolitical Relief .. Bearish short term
US-Iran ceasefire done, Hormuz open, oil dumping. Good news is largely priced in already .. safe haven demand cooling off. But the silver lining .. less inflation pressure means less reason for the Fed to stay aggressive.

Fed Meeting Wednesday .. The Real Catalyst
First meeting under new chair Kevin Warsh. Rates expected to hold .. but nobody cares about that. Everyone is watching his tone and forward guidance.

Dovish Warsh = gold breaks 4,371 and we see a sharp leg up 📈
Hawkish Warsh = gold gets capped short term 📉

Bottom line .. geopolitical tailwind is fading but the Fed is the wildcard that can send gold flying. Wednesday is the one to watch.

#XAUUSD #FED

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

Gold holding its upward momentum into early Asian trading .. continuing yesterday's rebound.

US-Iran framework deal is easing inflation fears and energy supply concerns across the board. Oil down, dollar weak, yields falling .. all three working in gold's favour right now.

Safe-haven money is slowly repositioning and gold is picking up the buying pressure. 📈

#XAUUSD

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

- be Trump
- Start war with Iran
- Lose
- Declare victory
- Give Iran $24 billion and complete control of the Strait
- drop all sanctions
- Declare victory again

How does he keep getting away with this !?
#IranWar‌ #Trump #USIranWar

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

@zi_chari ✅

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD – Buy Limit📈

- Entry: 4,292 - 4,295
- SL: 4,280
- TP1: 4,305
- TP2 4,315-20
- RR: 1:2-2.5

Price pulling back into a clean demand zone after the double bottom confirmation .. support holding firm at 4,284 .. let price come to you, don't chase. Bias is bullish, structure favors continuation to the upside.

Bull-bear line .. 4335–4340
Break and hold above it = bulls take over. Bias is BUY .. chase the break or buy the dip.

Warning .. Iran deal got priced in fast. If price can't clear 4335–40 after US session opens .. expect a sharp shakeout. Don't chase blind!!

Manage your risk. ✅

#xauusd #XAUUD_signals #XAUUSD_BUY

[XAUUSD | Gold Trader @moJoukhrane]

XAUUSD Monday Briefing .. June 15:

Big weekend. The thing we've been waiting on finally happened.

What happened
US-Iran deal is done .. Trump confirmed it's complete. Naval blockade lifting, Strait of Hormuz reopening. Formal signing set for Friday in Switzerland.. agreed but not fully official yet.

Gold gapped up to 4293 (+1.8%) at the open .. dollar fell, oil dropped hard, yields lower across the board.

Why gold is bullish right now
Simple chain .. war kept oil high, oil kept inflation high, inflation kept the Fed hawkish. That's what held gold back all year. Now it all runs in reverse .. oil falls, inflation cools, Fed eases, dollar and yields drop. *All three happening at once.* That's your gap up.

What to watch this week
Oil .. keeps falling = keeps helping gold
Fed Wednesday .. new chair Warsh's first meeting .. calm tone lifts gold, hawkish tone caps it
US Retail Sales Wednesday .. weak = bullish for gold
Friday signing .. watch for any last minute wobbles

Bottom Line
The biggest headwind for gold all year is finally ending. Bias is up. The only speed bump this week is the Fed .. but the bigger picture has clearly flipped in gold's favour. ✅

#IranWar‌ #XAUUSD #US_Iran_Deal