The catch: ~144x trailing earnings, ~50x forward.
This is priced for a lot of continued AI growth β not cheap, not a value stock.
Trillion-dollar club is now Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, AMD (+ a few others). Rare air.
NFA, DYOR.
$AMD just crossed $1 trillion market cap. π¨
Stock at $609, up huge today, joining the trillion-dollar club alongside Nvidia and Apple.
From near-bankruptcy under Lisa Su a decade ago to this.
Here's what got it here π
The AI story: Data center revenue +107% YoY last quarter, now 58% of total revenue. Helios (new AI server platform) is ramping, and management says demand for both CPUs and GPUs is outpacing supply.
Next earnings: Nov 3.
The real question: is this a multi-year NAND supply shortage (bulls' case) or a chip-cycle peak getting priced like it's permanent (bears' case)?
Nov 5 earnings β and especially the NEXT guide β will say a lot.
NFA, DYOR.
$SNDK π§΅
SanDisk has beaten earnings estimates 4 quarters straight, by an average of ~381%. Stock is up ~570%+ over the past year on an AI-driven NAND flash shortage.
Next earnings: Nov 5. Here's the full picture π
The bigger picture:
β’ Up ~570%+ over 12mo, but down ~20% month-to-date (profit-taking/rotation out of chip names)
β’ Forward PEG: 0.11 β historically cheap, or a sign of deep skepticism this growth holds
β’ Bernstein just raised PT to $3,000 from $1,700
The risk:
Nokia is reportedly retreating from most of mainland China, losing share to domestic competitors β a real structural headwind, not noise.
At P/E ~75, the AI story has to keep delivering. Little room for disappointment.
NFA, DYOR.
$NOK π§΅
Nokia just expanded its partnership with Microsoft β stock popped ~4% on the news. This isn't the sleepy phone company anymore. It's repositioning as an AI/data-center infrastructure play.
Here's what's actually happening π
Catalyst: Q2 earnings Sept 24. Consensus ~$0.04 EPS, ~$143M revenue.
Risk: P/E ~80 means a lot of growth is already priced in. Little room for disappointment.
NFA, DYOR.
$BB research thread π§΅
BlackBerry isn't a phone company anymore. It's quietly become a QNX embedded-software + government secure-comms business riding two real growth waves: automotive/industrial AI and government security spend.
Up ~100% YTD.
Let's look at the actual numbers π
The valuation reality:
β’ Price: ~$7.80
β’ Market cap: ~$4.5-6B (mid-cap)
β’ P/E: ~80 β this is priced as a growth stock, not a value play
β’ Consensus expects ~10% YoY revenue growth this quarter
β’ Analyst ratings are genuinely mixed β split between buy and hold
β οΈ One important distinction:
The VIX measures expected volatility, not market direction.
A high VIX doesn't automatically mean stocks will fall.
It means options prices reflect expectations of larger S&P 500 moves.
π Follow @MonetaCompass for more simple investing concepts.
π INVESTING 101
What is volatility?
And what does the VIX actually tell investors?
They're related, but they're not the same thing.
Let's break it down simply. π§΅π
π How do investors interpret the VIX?
Generally:
VIX β = expected volatility β
VIX β = expected volatility β
A rising VIX can indicate that investors expect larger potential market moves.
But it doesn't tell you whether the market will go up or down.