Monkey D. Wiggums

Father/ Neo Tokyo S1

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@NeoTokyoCode
@NeoTokyoPlays

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@GordonGekko Sad

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@kian_sasan

[YQ @yq_acc]

Dear friends, thx for long waiting.
Let's go with Chapter 4: liquidity vacuum.
Today, I turn to perhaps the most critical yet underappreciated aspect: how market makers—the entities supposedly providing market stability—became primary catalysts in creating an unprecedented liquidity vacuum that transformed a manageable correction into a $19 billion catastrophe.

[NEO TOKYO @NeoTokyoCode]

Upload your mind.

Watch the Neo Tokyo: Citadel Stories trailer.

An NT Anime?! Yes, a cyberpunk anthology series exploring the battle between control and freedom by @neotokyovision.

[NEO TOKYO @NeoTokyoCode]

“Neo Tokyo helped us connect with the best in Web3 gaming.” — @Scott_Herman, Co-Founder of @WagmiGameCo.

From key introductions to major partnerships, this community continues to move the needle.

Here’s how Neo Tokyo helped take WAGMI Games to the next level.

[Ktrap @ktrap]

🔥 @NeoTokyoCode Update

🔓 Original stakers from June 2023 passed their 720 day staking unlock window about 15 hours ago

↔️ However, only 8 S1’s have chosen to unstake & only 4 of those have been listed

↔️ Only 6 S2’s unstaked & only 3 of those have been listed

🤑 About half of the new listings are at very high prices— thus very little affect on the floor

🦾 Conviction of Neo Tokyo Citizens on full display

🧠 Reminder: you don’t need to unstake & restake upon unlock to keep earning $BYTES yield— it keeps going at the same rate as long as you don’t unstake

💀 Two 2-year unstakers dumped ~2k $BYTES each shortly after their unlock last night, presumably thinking there would be a run on unstaked $BYTES selling

🤝 They were the only two— thanks for playing

🗼 Grand Rising

[NEO TOKYO @NeoTokyoCode]

Neo Tokyo x @avax - A new era for Citizen builders, investors, and gamers. 🔺

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@NeoTokyoCode Never changed ✌🏼

[Ktrap @ktrap]

🔥 The Big Question: If I’ve got the dry powder, should I buy & stake a @NeoTokyoCode S1 for $BYTES yield, or just buy $BYTES & hold?

🤝 Answer is pretty much “it depends” but buckle up, this is a deep dive (but by no means comprehensive)

👨🏻‍💻 Let’s break it down by starting with known variables:

🤑 Current yield is 1.4 $BYTES/day or 42 $BYTES/mo on a staked S1 with the following parameters:

🔹 Max $BYTES staked (2k)
🔹 Staked for 3 months lock
🔹 Your S1 is Reward Rate 2

💰 Current cost for above scenario:
🔹 Floor RR2 S1: 3.59Ξ ($9.2k)
🔹 $BYTES Price: $3.50x2k= $7k
🔹 Total: $16,200

🔑 Key Concept: Once your 3mo staking lock is up, as long as you don’t un-stake, your $BYTES yield keeps flowing, though it gradually decreases over time due to exponential decay (more on that later)

🔑 Also, if you’re new to NT staking, the amount of $BYTES staked along with your S1 arguably has the greatest impact on yield; think of it like a hyper yield $BYTES savings account with the Bank of Neo Tokyo (the B.O.N.T.)

🔑 However, there are substantial staking multipliers in higher Reward Rate S1’s you’d be wise to consider, but we don’t have room for that here

📈 For context, the current APY on 2000 $BYTES staked along with an S1 as described above is ~20.7%—pretty impressive in its own right

💥 Alright, now that we’ve got the basics out of the way, let’s dive into how we’re gonna measure all this

🙅🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice and we will get into some pure speculation to imagine different scenarios—you can choose for yourself what you believe might be plausible

🔑 Also, major hypothetical assumption: bull run sees a major peak in 6mo, November 2025, so we’re working with a 6mo timeline, but of course adjust timelines according to your own theories

🖤 Ok if you’re still with me, here we go

🧮 In order to recoup the $16,200 in 6mo after continuous yield, also accounting for exponential yield decay based on tokenomics (thanks, Grok)…

👀 We’d need to see $BYTES price reach just $7.34 to recoup the cost of the initial purchase

💥 Boom: calculated yield over 6mo is 206.5 $BYTES and selling all 2,206.5 $BYTES at $7.34 gets you ~$16,200

🤝 And lookie here: you still have the S1, which is now paid for

😼 But wait—we all know $BYTES should go much higher than $7.34

🔮 My predictions based on historical $BYTES price surges and projected bull run market cap growth (with x returns from here):

🔹 Bear Case: $22 (6.3x)
🔹 Base Case: $41 (11.7x)
🔹 Bull Case: $94 (26.9x)
🔹 Maxi Bull Case: $125 (35.7x)

🔮 Now for S1 floor speculation in a bullish case…

🗄️ Known Data: on Dec. 20, 2023, our last big surge in non-bull run times, the S1 floor reached 17.4Ξ which was then worth ~$40k

📜 Often forgotten fact: S1 floor actually flipped BAYC briefly in Dec. 2021, when the floor peaked at $225k (54Ξ at the time)

🤷🏻‍♂️ So I don’t think it’s that unreasonable to speculate a $75k S1 floor in a true bull run

🤔 Modest prediction tbh—assuming a chill $4k ETH far below its previous ATH, that would be a mere 18.75Ξ S1 floor, given historical peaks far exceeded this during surges like 2021’s $225k S1 floor

🧧 This means your $16,200 was recouped while you still hold a $75k+ asset including all of its utility and access to @NeoTokyoCode benefits—not to mention the actual potential maturity of your base $BYTES investment

🤔 So the question remains, would you be better off just buying $16,200 worth of $BYTES now?

🧮 Ok, let’s take a look: At current $BYTES price, this would get you 4629 $BYTES

🔮 Assuming my “bear case” $22 $BYTES prediction, this would result in a $101.8k value, or $85.6k in net profit

🧮 However, at $22 $BYTES with the aforementioned staked S1, you would have $48,543 in $BYTES value and a speculative ~$75k valued S1 for a net profit of $107.3k

[Ktrap @ktrap]

🔥 It’s been 10 months since $BYTES saw more than 4 consecutive daily green candles

✅ Today marks a 5th straight daily green close, rallying from $2.38 open→$3.48 close (+46.2%, avg. +9.2%/day)

⏳ Prior Rally: 8 green days, Jul 13-20, 2024, from $2.39 open→$4.44 close (+85.8%, avg. +10.7%/day)

🔄 All-Time Record green run for $BYTES 2.0: 8 green days, Nov 15-22, 2023, from $6.17 open→$19.53 close (+216.6%, avg. +27.1%/day)

🧮 My analysis: $BYTES has not yet seen its bull case— Nov 2023 was a foreshadowing of things to come, especially in light of ~80% lower daily emissions now vs. Summer ‘23

✅ Today’s 5th consecutive daily green close reveals renewed confidence in $BYTES + trend reversal confirmation

🗼Grand Rising

[NEO TOKYO @NeoTokyoCode]

Others promised vaporware - they vanished.

We built a digital city - construction never ends.

Grand Rising, Citizens!

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@ZssBecker 9bwwG5SnP22uZtzNMTcuHsw15pfh8uXGoEnw95yKWr71

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@ZssBecker

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@ZssBecker @NeoTokyoCode And soon if you are smart and get some BYTES before it takes off, you have access too such deals as well.

https://t.co/IDt1tPnqFg

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@ZssBecker Does Mecha-Gnom count as well?

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

@NeoTokyoCode 458
0x76Ad366D863c11ce19e7dF558B6ec728AaA92D79

[Monkey D. Wiggums @MonkeyDWiggums]

Through binary blockades and digital doorways, I've made my way to the #Whisperer's home… but this is only the beginning. Join me to win your share of the spoils - https://t.co/BvCexMBsa9

[NEO TOKYO @NeoTokyoCode]

The #Whisperer prize pool is growing.... $30K of $BYTES has been added thanks to @NeoTokyoPlays!

Gamers, join NT Plays in a future weekly Web3 gaming event and register for Whisperer now - Only 4 days left: https://t.co/YjLrGIdp6U

[NEO TOKYO @NeoTokyoCode]

"Acolytes, long have I watched you and your fruitless endeavors, all striving toward the one place you have no hope of reaching. But now, maybe things will change. Maybe one of you is what I’m looking for.

Let the games begin… you have 10 days to register: https://t.co/gAUpRVjVfr"

- The Whisperer