📍UPDATE AUGUST 2026 📍
• Long since 2024:
$PNG.V
$ALM
$AMZN
$PWR
• Long since 2025:
$ARS.CN
$RLMD
• Long since 2026:
$HMR.V
$SIVE
$BRN.AX
$NVEC
$INIO
$ERII
$NBIS
It’s really hard to say. I think Trump will try everything to score points ahead of the midterms. On the other hand, when it comes to Iran, far too many influential players are pushing for escalation. And Trump simply isn't a diplomat. A full-blown conflict could erupt at any moment. In any case, I remain bullish - I’m just not wired to be a bear. Nevertheless, I think it’s good that you’re no longer trading on margin. That was the right decision imo...✌🏻
OH. MY. GOODNESS.
CITADEL HAS BOUGHT A MAJORITY OF THE PUBLIC ASSETS FROM LEOPOLD'S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS FUND.
So...Citadel scares everyone on Tuesday about a surprise rate hike during FOMC that WE ALL KNEW was not going to happen...
On Wednesday, the entire market freaks out about the rate hike which causes the selling to compound on itself creating 50-70% drawdowns across the board in high beta semicondcutor names...
Which means Leopold who we now know had $45B of assets and was 400% LEVERED ends up being the sacrifice as he gets liquidated at what theoretically could be the bottom due to not having the margin requirements to keep solvent...
AND THE PERSON WHO CAUSED THE SELLOFF WITH THE RATE HIKE FEARS ENDS UP COMING IN TO BUY HIS ASSETS FOR 40 TO 50 CENTS ON THE DOLLAR.
By the way, Leopold is getting married this weekend. I think he wanted to make sure he wasn't getting margin called during his wedding.
A vet on wall street in Ken Griffin takes out the young new kid.
ABSOLUTE. CINEMA.
🟢 INNIO / $INIO released its first quarterly results as a publicly listed company and simultaneously announced a major data center order.:
• Equipment order intake: $2.3 billion (+316% year-over-year) – strong growth across data centers, power solutions, and compression.
• Equipment order backlog: Record $6.6 billion (+279% YoY). This provides visibility at least into 2030.
• Revenue: $937.7 million (+42% YoY).
• Equipment: $569.3 million (+61%)
• Services: $368.4 million (+21%)
• Adjusted EBITDA: $172.3 million (+20% YoY).
• Net result: Loss of $16.9 million – mainly due to one-time IPO and public market readiness costs of $81.2 million (profit in the prior-year period).
Full-year 2026 guidance: Revenue of $3.8–3.9 billion (prior year approx. $2.6 billion), Adjusted EBITDA of $720–740 million.
At the same time, $INIO won one of the largest orders in its history.:
Approximately 1.1 gigawatts of gas engine capacity for a (unnamed) major developer and operator of mega-scale data center campuses in the United States.
More than 200 Jenbacher J624 engines.
Behind-the-meter as prime power (i.e., not just backup, but primary supply).
Phased deliveries over several years → long-term revenue visibility.
The order was booked as equipment order intake in Q2.
The Jenbacher J624 engines are considered particularly well suited for demanding AI data center load profiles (high power density, good load following, containerizable, quick to deploy).
Other major deals in recent months included a framework agreement with Rehlko for 1.25 GW and earlier large VoltaGrid orders (including 1.5 GW).
I am long $INIO!
🥁
On May 11, 2026 (just two days ago), @INNIO_Group officially filed its registration statement for the IPO with the SEC!
Stock Exchange: NASDAQ
Ticker Symbol: INIO
Planned Volume: Estimates suggest a range of $1.0 to $1.5 billion.
Target Valuation: Owner Advent International is aiming for a valuation of up to $15 billion.
• Why $INIO Is Exciting?
$INIO is no longer a classic "old economy" engine manufacturer. They are strategically positioning themselves as an enabler for AI hunger & data centers!
AI data centers consume massive amounts of electricity and since the power grid often cannot grow fast enough, decentralized solutions are needed. $INIO provides exactly this on-site power with its Jenbacher and Waukesha engines to handle peak loads and serve as a backup.
• The Joker 🃏 And Bottleneck Part
Their engines can start with natural gas and also be converted to run on 100% hydrogen (H2)!
$INIO basically offers a bridge technology that won’t become obsolete when the natural gas era ends.
A main part of the business model consists of maintenance and digital services (the myplant platform), which ensures stable, recurring revenue - a stark contrast to the cyclical nature of new machine sales.
⚠️ The "Buts"
The IPO documents highlight a few points for consideration...
Q1 Figures: For the first quarter of 2026, a net loss of $7.2 million was reported (on $668.6 million in revenue). The previous year was still profitable. Growth is currently costing money.
Valuation: A P/E ratio based on a $15 billion valuation would be aggressive, and the market still has to prove it's willing to value industrial hardware like a tech company.
• My Take On $INIO 🔎
It feels like a classic pick-and-shovel bet on the energy transition and the AI boom. They build the infrastructure necessary for the rest of the world to become green and digital. Since they are based in Tirol (Austria), we are looking at a local heavyweight with global impact. It will be fascinating to see if the US market embraces Austrian engineering as enthusiastically as recent industrial IPOs.
Worth to keep a closer look 👀.
https://t.co/0GmrujiQxF
🟢 INNIO / $INIO released its first quarterly results as a publicly listed company and simultaneously announced a major data center order.:
• Equipment order intake: $2.3 billion (+316% year-over-year) – strong growth across data centers, power solutions, and compression.
• Equipment order backlog: Record $6.6 billion (+279% YoY). This provides visibility at least into 2030.
• Revenue: $937.7 million (+42% YoY).
• Equipment: $569.3 million (+61%)
• Services: $368.4 million (+21%)
• Adjusted EBITDA: $172.3 million (+20% YoY).
• Net result: Loss of $16.9 million – mainly due to one-time IPO and public market readiness costs of $81.2 million (profit in the prior-year period).
Full-year 2026 guidance: Revenue of $3.8–3.9 billion (prior year approx. $2.6 billion), Adjusted EBITDA of $720–740 million.
At the same time, $INIO won one of the largest orders in its history.:
Approximately 1.1 gigawatts of gas engine capacity for a (unnamed) major developer and operator of mega-scale data center campuses in the United States.
More than 200 Jenbacher J624 engines.
Behind-the-meter as prime power (i.e., not just backup, but primary supply).
Phased deliveries over several years → long-term revenue visibility.
The order was booked as equipment order intake in Q2.
The Jenbacher J624 engines are considered particularly well suited for demanding AI data center load profiles (high power density, good load following, containerizable, quick to deploy).
Other major deals in recent months included a framework agreement with Rehlko for 1.25 GW and earlier large VoltaGrid orders (including 1.5 GW).
I am long $INIO!
🤔 I can only think of Norbit, but I wouldn't compare it too much with Kraken. Norbit is essentially a safe & proven business model, whereas Kraken is more of a bet on future market share gains within - to some extent - the same ecosystem, but with a very different risk-reward profile.
• Norbit: profitable, diversified, dividend-paying, more conservatively valued, niche player with limited market share in the sonar segment...
• Kraken: pure-play ocean tech/robotics company, growth-driven, no dividend, following the Covelya acquisition the focus has shifted more toward scaling rather than realized profitability.