NotMscott

23 | wanna be options trader…| $QQQ | Free stock with the link! Sign up for Robinhood

[NotMscott @MScottTrading]

2024 done and in the books. First green year since I started trading! Had a some big wins and big losses. But green is green ✅. Not looking for huge wins in 25’ just consistency! Made back 4k the last two months off base hits with a 1k account!

[NotMscott @MScottTrading]

@TJTheWheelDeal Bought sofi in the Roth today, see where we at in 10 years

[Timeless Sports @timelesssports_]

Deion Sanders on Draft Day in 1989. The Giants told him to do a written test & he asked them what pick they had.

Giants: “10th pick.”

Deion: “I’ll be gone before then. I ain’t got time for this.” & walked out

[Dez Bryant @DezBryant]

The internet is not a safe place.🤣

[Alex Stein #99 @alexstein99]

I agree with President Trump 100% on this one

[Poe's Law, Esq: Poe's Lawyer @dyingscribe]

HE KNEW

[Andra @AndraMaguran]

💥💥💥 Are you kidding me?! Is this a joke?! The military woman pictured here is literally the exact same person as the DoorDash grandma from a few days ago.

[. @edgeville]

upthrust after distribution

[Barstool Sports @barstoolsports]

SHANE LOWRY HOLE IN ONE AT THE MASTERS

[Joe Pompliano @JoePompliano]

Rory McIlroy commissioned this pencil drawing after last year's Masters Tournament.

The artist (@KeeganHall) provided context on Reddit:

• Spent 6+ months working on it
• Estimates 600-800+ total hours
• Worked on it 6-7 days each week
• Uses a Pentel Graphgear mechanical pencil

Hall says this piece was incredibly challenging because so much detail went into such a small area. For context, the original is smaller than 30x22, so each face in the crowd is essentially a quarter of the size of a fingernail.

This is the second piece he has done for Rory.

[Tone Digs @ToneDigz]

I-right wiggle 34 switchblade. For the state championship. I love all y’all baby, I love all y’all.

[NotMscott @MScottTrading]

@Biggestbird33 Did exact same thing down 65%

[NotMscott @MScottTrading]

@JPATrades I did buy the calls before 4 lol

[NotMscott @MScottTrading]

@JPATrades So add calls for Monday, then Puts for turnaround Tuesday. Then have an early weekend?

[I_Am_The_Algo @I_Am_The_Algo]

Do not quit

I repeat do not quit

[George Noble @gnoble79]

Private credit returns 11.5% on loans that yield 9.5%.

Nobody asks how.

I'll tell you how:

Leverage.

They take a portfolio of loans yielding 9.5%, lever it 2x, and the gross return doubles to 19%. Subtract financing costs and fees, hand the client 11.5%, and show them a chart with a line so smooth it would make Madoff jealous.

That's the product Wall Street has been selling to pensions, endowments, insurance companies, and now your 401(k).

They even gave it a nice name. "Private credit."

There's a better name for it: volatility laundering.

The returns aren't smooth because the risk is low. They're smooth because nobody is marking anything to market. The same people making the loans are the ones deciding what they're worth.

When everything's going up, that's a feature. When it turns? It's a trapdoor.

And we're watching the trapdoor open right now.

Funds are gating redemptions across the industry. Loans are going from 100 cents on the dollar to zero in a single quarter. The biggest asset managers on earth are telling investors: "Sorry, you can't have your money back."

And none of this should surprise anyone who's been paying attention. Every cycle produces the SAME SCHEME wearing a different outfit.

Junk bonds in the 80s. Mortgage-backed securities in 2007. Both sold the identical promise - equity-like returns with bond-like stability. Both ended the same way.

Private credit is the 2020s version. Bigger numbers. Fancier packaging. Same math.

The leverage is the tell. Any time someone shows you returns that look too good for the underlying asset, there's leverage hiding somewhere in the structure. And leverage doesn't create returns...

It amplifies outcomes - in both directions.

What pisses me off is that the people running this know exactly what they're doing.

The risk disclosures are 400 pages long. The gates are buried in footnotes. It's not technically illegal. But doing something because you can get away with it - not because it's right - is a special kind of rotten.

After 2008, NOBODY went to jail. Banks paid fines that amounted to rounding errors on their balance sheets. The message was clear: heads you win, tails the taxpayer covers it.

So of course they did it again. Why wouldn't they?

And here's where the realist in me takes over from the idealist:

They're not going to let this blow up cleanly. They NEVER do...

The playbook is extend, pretend, and print. Special vehicles. Special accommodations. More liquidity injected into a system that's already drowning in it.

Every time they paper over a crisis, they confirm the only trade that matters.

Gold pulled back hard this week - from $5,000 to around $4,575. Every shakeout over the past two years has been a buying opportunity.

The structural case (debasement, central bank accumulation, collapsing confidence in sovereign debt) hasn't weakened. It's accelerated.

The worse private credit gets, the more they'll have to print. And the more they print, the HIGHER gold goes.

It's not complicated. It's just math that most people don't want to accept.

[NotMscott @MScottTrading]

3Bar Rev Strat on 2pm hourly

[Daily Loud @DailyLoud]

BREAKING: Department of War releases video showing a U.S. submarine sinking an Iranian warship in the Indian Ocean.

It marks the first sinking of an enemy ship by torpedo since World War II.

[Benjamin @Benjamin_SMC]

Peter Tuchman says the the Power of 3 100% works,

In his words 9:30 creating false moves is 100% true and is a valid factor in trading.

Accumulation manipulation and distribution coupled with time based movement isn’t just an ICT concept. But it’s universally known.