Is AI truly thinking out of the box?
Or is it boxed thinking, to the Nth degree?
I asked 4 different AI platforms to pick a random number from 1 through 25.
Every one returned with 17.
Every. Single. One.
Someone asked Gemini, and same result.
"O pensamento dos grandes operadores não é se um preço pode ser elevado, mas se o valor da propriedade que eles propõem comprar levará investidores e especuladores, seis meses depois, a adquirir ações a preços de dez a vinte pontos acima dos preços atuais.”
Charles H. Dow
People want to be quantitative and model human behavior in markets, but the problem is that human behavior is not stable. When people interact in groups, human behavior is subject to the group as a whole.
Inside the House of Money
The English term bear, which refers to "a speculator who bets on the market falling", originated from the well-known proverb "selling the bear's skin before you catch him" (that is, committing to sell something that one does not yet own).