Monthly TF par ye Pattern मिल गया तो समझो Paisa बनना तय है ।
Video will be out soon.....
Pattern, Thumbnail में ही छुपा हुआ है।
ढूंढो तो मानें।।
Engagement on this post will decide ki, Video कितना जल्दी आएगा ।।
@DoctorMoneyX@narendramodi@nsitharaman@narendramodi@BJP4Delhi aap thoda stock market & economy boost up per bhi Dhyan dedo nhi toh stock market without reason ke girta hi rahega.
Aur aane wale me election me 20 crore trader & investors aapko vote nhi karege.
FM ko bulao TV channel par , 50% se kam capital gain tax & 50% se km STT collection milne wala hai
80000 cr ki jagah 40000 cr .
Esse Desh ka Fiscal policy aur kharab hoga..
Itni Nafrat kyu hai madam ko stock market se aur FII se ?
US & China strong isiliye hai kyuki wo capital market ko save krte hai..
@narendramodi@nsitharaman@PiyushGoyal
📌Discover the list of companies that reported EXTREMELY HIGH GROWTH Q3FY25 numbers - Set 4
In this series of Q3FY25 results I shall post names of only those businesses that are growing at EXTREMELY HIGH RATE
Set 5 coming soon🗓️
PS: No Buy/Sell recommendation
DYODD
@AI_Feb21 Sandeep Ji, Amit ji, Ameya ji, Prince bhai you all are doing very good informative discussions on X space... Thank you all.. Keep doing such spaces... Learner like me get good insights.... Thank you once again
Why Govt never prioritize Financial of Country like USA ?
12 cr investor (Voters) from financial market are disappointed from Finance minister taxation & RBI rate cut delaying & Falling GDP & bank liquidity
I'm scared soon 100 cr Voters will hate govt as 12 cr investors has families too
Fir ladli yojna ho ya ladla yojna koi v next election me bacha nhi skta ye mai likhkar de rha hu
Wake up , jise financial ki samjh h use paise dekar vote nhi dila skte
Here is my list where I am Focusing on approx 30 stocks to buy in gradual manner ..trying to hide in the �� tent from Bear attack
(I will buy only if they fall by 5-10% more from here)
This is not a recommended list for people. This is just where I am focusing on...I May not buy a single share out of these or buy something else. so dont bank upon me
Do your own diligence before putting hard earned money
Dont cry on my timeline if any of them fails
🎪Zaggle Prepaid
🎪Marine electricals
🎪Kilburn Engg
🎪Jaykay enterprises
🎪Aeroflex
🎪Oriana Power
🎪Jash engineering
🎪Interarch
🎪Krishna Defense
🎪Ami organics
🎪Apollo Micro
🎪Josts engg
🎪Elecon Engg
🎪KRN Heat
🎪KPGEL
🎪Skipper
🎪Kaynes
🎪Epack durables
🎪Techno electric
🎪Jyoti structures
🎪Time technoplast
🎪Manorama Ind
🎪HBL engineering
🎪Genus Power
🎪HSCL
🎪E2E networks
🎪Netweb Tech
🎪NPST
🎪Sealmatic
🎪Zentech
🔢 Market Bottom Scenarios Based on PE Ratios
ScenarioPE RatioNifty50 Level
Scenario A20.021,888
Scenario B19.521,340.80
Scenario C19.020,792.60
Scenario D18.520,246.40
Scenario E18.019,708.01
💡 Conclusion and Recommendations
As of January 25, 2025, the Nifty 50 is down -12.11% from its all-time high in September 2024.
If the correction deepens to align with historical averages (25.30%), the index could approach 19,708.01, presenting a strong buying opportunity.
Long-term investors should focus on accumulating high-quality businesses with strong fundamentals during corrections.
📌 Key Takeaway: Markets are cyclical. Staying invested and capitalizing on undervaluation during corrections can significantly enhance long-term returns.
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
📊 Nifty 50 Historical Performance and Market Outlook
🔍 Key Historical Market Corrections
The Nifty50 index has experienced multiple significant corrections over the past 15 years due to various macroeconomic, global, and domestic factors. Here is a detailed breakdown of these events:
🗓️ January 2008 – October 2008: Global Financial Crisis
High: 6,357.10 (January 2008)
Low: 2,252.75 (October 2008)
Decline: -64.56%
Reason: The collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial meltdown, leading to extreme risk aversion. Equity markets worldwide, including India, suffered severe corrections.
📉 Key Insight: The 2008 crisis was a once-in-a-generation event driven by excessive leverage and a bursting housing bubble.
🗓️ November 2010 – December 2011: Policy Paralysis and Eurozone Crisis
High: 6,338.50 (November 2010)
Low: 4,531.00 (December 2011)
Decline: -28.51%
Reason: India's policy paralysis, rising inflation, and the Eurozone debt crisis resulted in a sharp fall. Foreign investors exited due to global uncertainty.
📉 Key Insight: Weak governance and global headwinds led to a lack of confidence in emerging markets.
🗓️ March 2015 – February 2016: Global Slowdown and Domestic Banking Issues
High: 9,119.20 (March 2015)
Low: 6,825.80 (February 2016)
Decline: -25.14%
Reason: Global growth concerns, China's slowdown, and rising NPAs in India's banking system caused market stress.
📉 Key Insight: Tightening global liquidity and domestic vulnerabilities impacted investor sentiment.
🗓️ August 2018 – October 2018: NBFC Crisis
High: 11,760.20 (August 2018)
Low: 10,004.55 (October 2018)
Decline: -14.92%
Reason: The IL&FS default triggered a liquidity crisis in India's non-banking financial sector (NBFCs), impacting credit availability.
📉 Key Insight: Liquidity shocks often result in market corrections, especially in credit-driven economies.
🗓️ January 2020 – March 2020: COVID-19 Pandemic
High: 12,430.50 (January 2020)
Low: 7,511.10 (March 2020)
Decline: -39.57%
Reason: The global pandemic led to nationwide lockdowns, halting economic activity. Fear of the unknown caused panic selling.
📉 Key Insight: Markets can recover quickly from unexpected events, as seen with the sharp rebound post-March 2020.
🗓️ October 2021 – June 2022: Rate Hikes and Inflation Concerns
High: 18,604.45 (October 2021)
Low: 15,183.40 (June 2022)
Decline: -18.38%
Reason: Rising inflation, geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine war), and aggressive interest rate hikes by central banks impacted global liquidity.
📉 Key Insight: Rate hikes and geopolitical risks often lead to market corrections but create opportunities for long-term investors.
🗓️ September 2024 – January 2025: Global Slowdown Concerns (Current Scenario)
High: 26,277.35 (September 2024)
Low: 22,976.85 (January 2025) (Weekly closing as of January 25, 2025)
Decline: -12.56%
Reason: Anticipation of a global economic slowdown, weak corporate earnings, and reduced foreign institutional inflows have led to a mild correction.
📉 Key Insight: Current valuations remain reasonable, and further corrections could provide attractive entry points for long-term investors.
📈 Market Reward Over the Long Term
January 2020 High: 12,430.50
January 25, 2025 Closing: 23,092.20
5-Year CAGR: 13.19%
Despite intermittent corrections, the market has rewarded long-term investors with robust compounded annual growth over five years.
📊 Average Correction Analysis
Excluding the 2008 financial crisis, the average decline across the five major corrections is 25.30%.
2010 (-28.51%)
2015 (-25.14%)
2018 (-14.92%)
2020 (-39.57%)
2021 (-18.38%)
If the Nifty50 experiences a similar correction of 25% from its recent all-time high of 26,277.35 (September 2024), the index could reach approximately 19,708.01, with a forward PE of 18, indicating undervaluation.
In this thread 🧵 I’ve just tried to visit the past trends and presented 17 Years historical data 📊 Mentioned the corrections levels and also presented the reasons for the aforesaid corrections.
I’ve tried to present market valuations at different PE Ratios. Not trying to predict anything. The market is supreme and it will only make the bottom when it thinks out to be accordingly.
I’ve tried to present Nifty 50 bottom scenarios at different PE multiples of 20X,19.5X,19X,18.5X and at 18X. In 2022 the market made its bottom at 19.71X PE. Currently, Nifty 50 PE Ratio is at 21.1X.
H’ble @narendramodi , H’ble @nsitharaman ,
Since 2015, FIIs have net sold 7.94 Lakh crore in cash, DII’s have bought 14.5 Lakh crore. Most of it is coming from Indian Middleclass via SIPs.
The above selling by FII’s is 8x of 2008 selling. Let me repeat 8x.
Take care of Middle-class.
[1] No GST on Medical & Term insurances.
[2] Private schools fees should be capped.
[3] Rationalization of Income Taxes. Up to 20 Lakh no taxes
[4] Abolish LTCG & STCG. Don’t tax dividends
There are many products/ services where GST should be minimal. More money you give to middle-class, you see more spending, more investments. The best way to reverse economy slowdown.
Imgaine what would have happened to Stock Market without SIP flow?
Today's TGL Concall Notes :-
Guidance for Fy25 =230Cr
(210 Water Infra + 20 Solar)
Guidance For Fy26 =830/930Cr
(630 Water Infra + 200-300 Solar)
Pat Margins :-
Water Infra 11-13%.
Solar Around 7%.
Soon Excepting Good Orders From Both Water Infra &Solar Epc.
Solution ~
Play the growth story with Proxies 🔥
Transmission 🗼
- PIGL
- KCEIL
- Viviana
- Transrail
- Bajel
Wires 🚡
- Delton
- Dynamic
Smart Meter ⏲️
- Salzer
- RMC
- Genus
Transformer ⚡️
- Rajesh Power
- Yash Highvoltage
- Danish Power
& many more...
🚜 Indofarm IPO
Business Model: Manufacturer of tractors & diversified into construction machinery.
The company is increasing capacity in the crane business. Action Construction Equipment (ACE) has a 60% market share.
Future Growth: New capacity set to go live by FY'27, unlocking operating leverage and margin expansion.
Read below the in-depth analysis of the company👇