N8Rawlings

I do sports math. My banner is my year to date returns for a $100 player.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

For those of you interested in full transparency, here is my entire list and day-by-day breakdown of what I bet and what line I got it at. I am officially 60 days into making picks and the results have been $6,358.00 profit for a $100 player.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

Opening day can’t come soon enough ⚾️💯🔥

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

Who’s ready for baseball season? ⚾️ 👀

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

First and only lean of the playoffs so far

[Nathaniel Nelson Rawlings @TheNateRawlings]

Somehow the Sox are +140 tonight. I’ll spare everyone the math lecture and just say that those odds are a steal.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

For those of you interested in reading the article where I presented this theorem, just follow the link.

https://t.co/RshSJPcYP1

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

Back on 4/23 (in an article) I elaborated on my statistical approach to baseball, which was founded on a theorem I postulated that goes as follows.

(ΣNB/4)/Runs ≤ 2%
where:
NB = TB+BB+IBB+HBP

Basically, the sum of all bases divided by 4 should equal the run total for the year.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

As it stands today, here's how the numbers look...

58,253 Total Bases
13,343 Walks
1,648 HBPs
801 IBBs
=
74,045 Net Bases

74,045/4 = 18,511.25 Expected Runs

There have been 18,519 actual runs for an error of just 7.75 runs
Margin of error = 0.042%
Accuracy = 99.958%

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@EmmaRawlings23 Didn’t you also do this at Chey’s graduation?

[John Layfield @JCLayfield]

GREAT day yesterday @DannyBSports !

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@paulwney @NjTank99 #iconic

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@bdd4life @Cardinals @MLB @Yadimolina04 Honestly, I think his stuff looks fine. My guess is that he might just be tipping pitches or dealing with fatigue. Sometimes young pitchers take a bit to adjust to pitching later in the year.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@Cardinals @MLB @Yadimolina04 1st ballot #GCOAT

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@eddiescorz22 @KevinMcAlpin @Buster_ESPN @680TheFan Dude lucky he hasn't been playing against this legend or else he'd be batting like -.647

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

Jose Reyes gave up more home runs that inning than he's hit all season.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

Combined stats from those 4 starts...

19.2 IP, 33 H, 19 ER, 7 HR, 4 BB, 19 SO

Combined record of the opponents entering today is 187-223 (CLE, TOR, TB, KC)

Even more troubling is the fact he's gotten progressively worse in each successive outing. Worst 2 are both post-break.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

In his last 4 starts, Severino's ERA has gone from 1.98 to 2.94

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

In his last 4 starts, Severino's ERA has gone from 1.98 to 2.94

[FOX Business @FoxBusiness]

.@JCLayfield: "The administration's done a great job in spurring this economy, that's already long in the tooth in this bull market, to revitalization."

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@MLBastian @Indians Throwback to that time the rangers were down 3-0 entering the 4th... baseball is weird sometimes #VideoGameNumbers

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@Rockies Don't get me wrong, I had you guys picked to win tonight (and last night) but ump really blew that called strike to end it. Still feel like the W was inevitable, but wish umps/commish put as much effort into getting calls right as they did with limiting mound visits.

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@Dbacks Inexcusable, @MLB and Manfred need to focus on getting the damn zone right instead of how many mound visits are made #RoboUmps2019

[N8Rawlings @N8Rawlings]

@Dbacks Speaking of the last pitch... this was called a strike