Nathan Carroll

Analysis for @BNNBroncoNation @247Sports - Formerly with @PFF. Trying my best to cover sports, love Jesus and love people

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

With the new senate proposal more or less encouraging future re-alignment of CFB... I keep coming back to one model that I think are best for the good of the sport.

CFB needs a Pro/Rel model. Split the country into 5 regional sections with tiers going down to FCS.

13 teams in each conference. Play every team in your conference home and away (12 games).

Bottom team in tier 1 gets relegated. Top team in tier 2 gets promoted. Second in Tier 2 plays 12th in Tier 1 in a Pro/Rel playoff game.

16 team playoff with selections chosen by a backward-looking formula based on conference result in past playoffs. The Midwest has won 3 straight titles? They get 4 bids. The Atlantic hasn't won a game in 3 years? They get 2 bids.

This is probably the best true system to store regionality and fairness, but also extremely unrealistic given the total overhaul it would require.

(Conferences aren't perfect. Just something I cooked up in 10 minutes)

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

https://t.co/6oLyacthvP

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

🚨🚨 WE HAVE A WINNER 🚨🚨

In 2022, his final season as a Bronco, Zeke Noa had 53 tackles with just 1 missed tackle -- a 1.9% missed tackle rate. The best of any Bronco since 2014.

Barely in second place was Tyler Gray, who also had a 1.9% missed tackle rate, but had 52 tackles in 2015.

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

Trivia time...

Since 2014, who had Boise State's best tackling season in terms of lowest missed tackle rate? (Minimum 40 total tackles)...

Bonus points if you get the season

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

🚨🚨 WE HAVE A WINNER 🚨🚨

In 2022, his final season as a Bronco, Zeke Noa had 53 tackles with just 1 missed tackle -- a 1.9% missed tackle rate. The best of any Bronco since 2014.

Barely in second place was Tyler Gray, who also had a 1.9% missed tackle rate, but had 52 tackles in 2015.

[🟦🟧The Ghost of Bronco Nation @21duhon21]

@Nathan_Boise Ezekeial Noa

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@jsar240 Not Tyreque, never cleared 18% in his career

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

Moving on over to the American Athletic Conference...

ECU 10-2
UTSA 9-3
Navy 8-4
Army 8-4
USF 9-3
Memphis 8-4
Tulsa 7-5
Tulane 5-7
Temple 6-6
FAU 5-7
UAB 4-8
North Texas 3-9
Rice 2-10
Charlotte 1-11

You're probably noticing a theme here... I think NIL and conference re-alignment is drawing most of these conferences closer together at the top.

In 2017, 8 teams finished the regular season with 1 loss (or undefeated)

I imagine this year it's closer to 4 or 5.

Anyways, UTSA (10-3) takes down ECU (10-3)

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

Let's chat about the Mountain West -- one of the funnest conference races in football to me

Air Force 9-3
UNLV 9-3
New Mexico 8-4
Hawaii 7-5
North Dakota State 8-4
Nevada 5-7
Wyoming 6-6
San Jose State 5-8
Northern Illinois 3-9
UTEP 2-10

UNLV (10-3) takes down Air Force (9-4) and finally gets their first FBS conference title after coming up short the past three seasons

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@JeremyKawika In 2019, Whimpey had an 11.6% missed tackle rate. Very good, but not #1!

Yeah, not a safety. One of the highest average missed tackle rates of any position

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@DaytonRobison No and no!

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@BoiseStateNews_ Not Moa, never hit the 40 tackle minimum (or low enough MTR)

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@slicorey Trae's never shot 47% in a season, let alone 50%. He's a career 43% shooter.

He's never shot 40% from three in a season either.

What are we doing

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@DaytonRobison Had a 12.3% missed tackle rate that season -- his best year was 2014, with a 7.7% missed tackle rate

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

Josh Pate has Boise State in the playoff

[Josh Pate @JoshPateCFB]

Final CFP Prediction

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@mybrainissmart https://t.co/gGyPWPgEsv

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@2023MT2024 Leighton had a 7.1% missed tackle rate in his one season as a full-time starter. Elite number, but not good enough to be #1 on this list...

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@JeremyKawika Never hit that 40 tackle minimum unfortunately. What a pull though. Elite Boise State name

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@Zachary56262002 Had a 12.4% missed tackle rate in 2023, which is good for a safety, but not #1

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@Mike_SBN Great shout out. Had a 2.9% missed tackle rate that season, but which was slightly worse than #1 on the list (and didn't hit the 40 tackle minimum according to PFF)

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@mybrainissmart https://t.co/NKDD2cMVBm

Elite tackler, but #1 had just 1 missed tackle in this particular season

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@SEA_BRONCO In 2016 Vallejo had a MTR of 21.7% -- IIRC he was hurt that year which affected his productivity.

His best year was 2014, where he had an ELITE 5.4% missed tackle rate, but not enough to top this list.

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@Matt_Manning85 Both elite tackles at their peak, but neither are #1 here

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@SEA_BRONCO In 2016 Vallejo had a MTR of 21.7% -- IIRC he was hurt that year which affected his productivity.

His best year was 2014, where he had an ELITE 5.4% missed tackle rate, but not enough to top this list.

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@2023MT2024 Leighton had a 7.1% missed tackle rate in his one season as a full-time starter. Elite number, but not good enough to be #1 on this list...

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

@mybrainissmart Not quite -- Kaniho's best season was his COVID-senior season in 2021... finishing with a MTR of 15.2%

[Nathan Carroll @Nathan_Boise]

Name to watch here for Boise State

[Sam Kayser @KayserHoops]

VISIT NEWS: 2027 4⭐️ Jamaal McKnight will no longer visit Butler this week, he told @LeagueRDY.

The 6-foot guard will still visit UNLV in mid-September and has added a visit to Boise State for September 19th-21st.

#90 overall in the @SCNext 100.