As long as the parties maintain fundamentally different interpretations of the ceasefire in Lebanon, the risk of escalation will remain high.
What is increasingly clear is that each side defines the terms of the ceasefire differently, particularly regarding what actions are permitted, what constitutes a violation, and what level of military activity remains acceptable.
Under these conditions, the current ceasefire is better understood as a temporary pause in hostilities rather than a sustainable framework for stability.
Without a shared understanding of the rules governing the ceasefire, further confrontations are not a question of if, but when.
#iran
For the past 9 months, I've been investigating Andrew Tate's empire of sexual exploitation — drawing on thousands of private messages and sealed court files, as well as interviews with the Tates, their associates & more than a dozen alleged victims. Here's what I found: https://t.co/q1L65EVG1O
President Obama did not walk out of our 2012 satellite interview. He was visibly frustrated when I repeated my Benghazi question after he ducked it. And his team did try to tell us our time was up. But I kept asking questions and he didn't walk out.
A federal judge has voided President Donald Trump’s requirement of a $100,000 application fee for H-1B visas, ruling that he lacked authority to impose the new policy for a program used by companies to hire highly skilled foreign workers in specialized fields. https://t.co/7DyFBsurGA
Shorter Carr: How dare you criticize my puppets?
FCC Chair Brendan Carr Blasts Scott Pelley As “Completely Out Of Touch” After Journalist Says His ‘60 Minutes’ Firing Came As A Surprise https://t.co/otDJaCKZQW
What happens when an ammunition warehouse blows up.
Footage from Russia’s Belgorod region on the Ukrainian border this morning. All this stuff won’t kill Ukrainian civilians anymore.
BREAKING: Ken Paxton’s own lawyer just endorsed James Talarico:
“I defended Ken Paxton for years in the impeachment trial and in state criminal cases. But in my view, I think Ken has lost sight of his core mission, which is to represent the people of Texas.
And unlike Ken, I believe that you, James, believe in unity over division and that you know how to assemble not only Democrats but Independents and Republicans and we need that right now.
We need unity, we don't need any more division and that's why I'm supporting you.”
There is another possibility worth considering: Prime Minister Netanyahu may have convinced President Trump that military pressure on Iran would ultimately bring Tehran back to the negotiating table in a weaker position.
That assumption would align with Trump's well-known preference for reaching a deal rather than becoming entangled in another prolonged conflict in the Middle East.
The problem is that this assumption does not appear to reflect Iran's strategic calculus. If the administration is relying on the expectation that military pressure alone will force Tehran to abandon its core positions, it may be setting itself up for disappointment. Iran's leadership has repeatedly demonstrated that it is prepared to absorb significant costs rather than compromise on what it views as its fundamental red lines. Even after a military confrontation with Israel, Tehran is unlikely to make concessions on those core issues.
#IranWar
Ukraine has produced enough heroes in the 12 years of the ongoing war against Russia and for freedom and democracy. They are the ones that should be honored today. The more Ukrainians and Poles talk about Stepan Bandera and other deeply flawed personalities from another century, the more likely both nations will end up under Russian domination again.
🇺🇦🇵🇱
In his first interview since his controversial firing last week, former “60 Minutes” correspondent and veteran journalist Scott Pelley told The New York Times that “CBS News is on fire” and said he felt it was his responsibility to speak out following all the changes editor-in-chief Bari Weiss made at “60 Minutes.”
“I looked at my friends and colleagues in the room and realized I was the senior person. … I felt that somebody had to stand up not just for the broadcast but for the people.”
Read more: https://t.co/u0rhYZhXTg
JD Vance took time this week to explain to the British that the murder of 18-year-old student Henry Nowak was actually about immigration.
Justice Secretary David Lammy apparently rang Vance to set the record straight. “You’re wrong about this,” Lammy told him. Which must have been an uncomfortable conversation for a vice-president who has built an entire political career on being confidently incorrect about things happening in other people’s countries.
Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, England’s football squad was busy preparing for the World Cup in Kansas City, Missouri. Nine people were shot near England’s planned training facility and hotel on Troost Avenue at four in the morning. Police arrived to find a large crowd scattering. A second shooting the same evening, just miles away on Troost Avenue, left two people dead. 
The Kansas City Police were quick to reassure everyone that the incident “did not occur near a World Cup venue or anything else World Cup-related.”  Which is technically true, in the same way that a house fire next door isn’t technically in your living room.
The Americans are hosting a World Cup. They have strong opinions about immigration and British crime statistics. They would just like everyone to ignore the bit where nine people get shot near the visiting team’s hotel before breakfast.
Gandalv / @Microinteracti1
Trump's 0 for 4 on his midterm report card.
He promised to make the economy bigger and better, lower prices immediately, end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours, and stop endless wars. He's delivered on none of it.
ראיון שלי @radio103fm
הסוגיה המרכזית בכל הנוגע להסלמה העתידית היא האם טראמפ יהיה מוכן לעודד או לאפשר לישראל להמשיך במערכה, למרות ההבנה שאיראן צפויה להגיב לכל תקיפה ישראלית.
איראן מבקשת לשמר את משוואת ההרתעה שגיבשה, שלפיה כל פעולה ישראלית תוביל לתגובה ישירה נגד ישראל. מבחינת טהראן כניסת החות'ים למערכה הינה משמעותית ביותר והאירוע הנוכחי ממחיש את חוסר המורתעות האיראנית באופן כללי ורצונם לעצב מציאות אסטרטגית חדשה באיזור באמצעות הפעלת כוח.
@gidonucko1@attaliami
My interview @cnni@BeckyCNN:
In my view, the trajectory of escalation will largely depend on President Trump's strategic decision. If he wants to preserve the possibility of a diplomatic agreement with Iran, he will likely need to pressure Israel to halt its military campaign.
Otherwise, Iran, seeking to establish a new deterrence equation in the region, will feel compelled to respond to every Israeli strike. Such a response would not necessarily come from Iran alone, but could also involve its regional partners and proxies, raising the risk of a broader regional confrontation.
#IranWar
holy crap this is easily the best Tony Award speech of the entire night. hell yes to all of this
"This is dedicated to the beautiful tapestry of immigrant families who make this country really special. May you one day not have to audition for the empathy that should be freely given by this country that benefits from your beauty. To the queer and trans communities that always will exist, no matter what people in power try to take away from them. To the people of Palestine who deserve to live a free life – a full life – without occupation. ... If there's one thing we can learn from vampires, it's that life is short, but that's its gift. Find beauty in the ephemeral and gratitude in what is not promised."
—Ali Louis Bourzgui, winning Featured Actor in a Musical for The Lost Boys
Recently learned about Sunghyun Yoo, a Korean tailor who moved from Seoul to Naples in 2017 to learn how to become a bespoke tailor. While many East Asians take apprenticeships in Europe, often in Italy, most of them return to their home countries after their studies. Yoo decided to stay in Naples, where he has established his own workshop, which he named Sartoria Del Signore.
If you know a little about tailoring, then you can spot many of the hallmarks here of Neapolitan style: The soft shoulder line, extended front dart, high gorge, straight lapels, and slightly sweeping quarters. It's said that Vincenzo Attolini invented this style in the early 1900s when he worked as the head cutter for Rubinacci (then called London House).
Back then, traditional British tailoring tended to be more structured. A jacket was typically built with a stiff layer of haircloth, a layer of body canvas, and a fuzzy layer of felt called domette to prevent the prickly haircloth from poking through. Faced with clients who wanted lighter, more comfortable jackets for Naples's warmer clime, Attolini ripped out much of this structure — removing the domette entirely and reserving just a bit of haircloth at certain parts of the chest. The shoulder line was also minimally padded. The result is something that's not only lighter and more comfortable in the heat but also looks more relaxed and casual than its British counterpart.
Today, Neapolitan tailoring houses struggle to find apprentices. For good reason, most young people don't want to become bespoke tailors, as it takes a long time to learn the skills, and the future of this market is uncertain. Even when young people enter the tailoring industry, they are more likely to become content creators, businesspeople, marketers, or something similar. They don't want to be the people who draft patterns, cut, and sew.
Thus, it's great to see immigrants keep this craft alive. To me, it's never about the person's ethnicity, but rather their skills and mindset. Anyone can learn how to become a bespoke tailor. In Naples, there's a specific way of doing things that yields a particular silhouette. It's great to see Yoo carry this tradition forward at a time when it's at risk of disappearing.
Earlier this year, I had dinner with two bespoke tailors — one from Hong Kong, the other from Seoul. The second was studied under Antonio Pascariello, a master tailor in Naples who recently passed away. I remember asking both tailors a question about how to fit a difficult figure, and the Korean tailor gave an answer that I thought revealed a very Italian way of thinking. In this way, Italian traditions live on, regardless of the person's ethnicity.
If you're interested, you can follow Yoo on Instagram (look up sartoriadelsignore). As usual, I have no affiliation with him — this is not a paid post, as I don't do paid posts. Just some thoughts about this dying art and the role that immigrants play, even when they're from different cultures and backgrounds.