Data Disrespect

We fact-check NFL hot takes with data. QB rankings every Tuesday. The numbers do not care about your team. Free newsletter:

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THE NUMBERS DO NOT CARE ABOUT YOUR TEAM

Caleb Williams threw 4 interceptions against the toughest defense in the NFL.

Adjusted for that defense, his game still graded above average.

He's no longer No. 1. Joe Burrow is.

Burrow is the only S-tier QB in football. S tier means a grade of 35 or higher, the elite level in our rankings, where 0 is league average.

Top 10 through Week 9:

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@GetUpESPN @LRiddickESPN @Hawk He is. Burrow is the only S-tier QB in our opponent-adjusted grades (+38.3). The one crack: he’s just 14th against the blitz. Every defense left on Cincinnati’s schedule should be sending extra rushers.

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@betsandreps One more thing in your favor: Minnesota's offense goes from the worst QB in football against the blitz (Murray, 33rd of 33) to Cousins at 11th. Fewer drives dying to pressure means more chances to pile up yards.

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@SleeperNFL Easy call by the numbers. Murray ranks dead last of 33 QBs against the blitz this season (-0.39 EPA per dropback). Cousins is 11th (+0.08). Every defense Minnesota sees will test that.

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@MLFootball The code worked, and the upgrade is real. Cousins ranks 11th in the NFL against the blitz this season. The QB he's replacing, Kyler Murray, ranks dead last.

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THE BEST QBs AGAINST THE BLITZ, RANKED

Brock Purdy is No. 1. Blitz him and he actually gets better.

Kyler Murray is dead last, and now benched. His replacement, Kirk Cousins? 11th.

And Joe Burrow, our No. 1 QB overall? Just 14th.

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@OnyxOdds The numbers agree. Sacks and scrambles have cost Herbert 52 expected points this year, 3rd-most in football. And the Chargers are 0-8 straight up and 0-7-1 against the spread. Vegas can't set the bar low enough.

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@EduardoVarelaTV Our numbers are kinder. Kansas City ranks 7th in our O-line rankings: 10th in pass protection and 6th in run blocking, adjusted for opponents. Grades on tape and results on the field don't always line up.

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@MatthewMKE98 Nobody throws it deep more. Love leads the NFL in deep attempts (62 throws of 20+ air yards) and deep yards (842). Per throw, though, he's 8th. The most efficient deep passer this year is Joe Burrow.

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@RookieWatxh A rare bright spot for that defense. Dallas ranked dead last in our defensive ratings through Week 8 and 29th in our D-line rankings. Downs has a lot on his plate back there.

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@BleacherReport Accident or not, his tape's been clean. Cook is top 3 in rushing success rate among backs with 80+ carries this season. Only Blake Corum and Christian McCaffrey are ahead of him.

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@TheRyenRussillo @bykevinclark @ryenarussillo The offense is legit. Caleb is 4th in our opponent-adjusted QB grades, against one of the toughest schedules in football. The opening is on defense: Chicago's D-line ranks just 18th in our rankings. That's where someone beats them.

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@PFF The play-by-play agrees. Warren is 3rd in EPA per carry among backs with 80+ carries, behind only Blake Corum and Christian McCaffrey, at 5.9 yards a carry. The Steelers' line ranks 9th in our O-line rankings, but that's still a lot of Warren.

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@nflrums Whoever starts next, the bar is on the floor. Carson Wentz graded -68.9 Monday night, the worst QB game of Week 9 in our numbers. The defense isn't the issue: Minnesota has a top-7 defensive line. The QB spot is.

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@NFL @NFLPlus Both QBs should have time tonight. The Giants rank 24th and the Commanders 30th in our defensive line rankings. Two bottom-10 fronts on a Thursday.

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@NFL @jordan3love @insidetheNFL The numbers back up the highlights. Love's +62.2 at New England was the best QB game of Week 9 in our opponent-adjusted grades. Moved him from 10th to 7th on the season.

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@tonegodspeed @WeAreMany7 Not trash, just specific. It ranks who lost key players mid-season. Teams that lost guys before Week 1 have already played 9 games without them. Philly just started its third-string QB. That's the list.

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THE MOST BANGED-UP TEAMS IN THE NFL, RANKED

The Eagles and Ravens both started their third-string QB last week.

Philly has 7 key players injured, including Jalen Hurts (out for the season) and his backup.

Meanwhile, 5 teams didn't miss a single key player: the Bengals, Falcons, Raiders, Dolphins and Saints.

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@WeAreMany7 Fair catch. Our list only counts players who started 3+ games this season and then went down. Micah hasn't played a snap in 2026, and Reed and Bako-Bewele went down early, so they're already baked into who the Packers are. Count all three and Green Bay climbs even higher.

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@JoelDehls One pushback: Cincinnati's front isn't the problem. The Bengals have the 4th-best D-line in our rankings and stuff more runs than anyone. Jacksonville is 16th. On KC you're right: 26th in our pass rush rankings.

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It's 3 of the 49ers' top receivers out right now, not 6: Evans, Deebo and Christian Kirk. Demarcus Robinson and KhaDarel Hodge are back. They still rank low because none were every-down players (Evans 54% of snaps, Deebo 58%, Kirk 1 game), and QBs count the most. We weight injured starting QBs much higher because losing one hurts the offense and the defense, which ends up on the field way more. Purdy's healthy, and they still hung 38 on Vegas.