NorthPost Partners

Equities trader with 20+ years experience. Expert in swing trading strategies and risk management. Follow my trades at Not investment advice.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@JonahLupton 💯adding delta today

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

I just joined the Kalshi Perpetuals waitlist. Perpetuals are finally coming to the USA. Sign up for Kalshi with my referral link for $25 to trade on Predictions https://t.co/uOYdaB6Rrv

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

I just joined the Kalshi Perpetuals waitlist. Perpetuals are finally coming to the USA. Sign up for Kalshi with my referral link for $25 to trade on Predictions https://t.co/8GHhXNiDIh

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@doc_mcgraw Do you use? Do you like? Is the $375 annual fee worth it for this trading signal on TradingView?

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@WayneWhaley1136 Because Democrats also want to be kings. They are all the same. What makes you think they have better morals than Republicans?

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

Well said

[Intelligent Investing, LLC. @intell_invest]

$SPX $SPY $NDAQ $QQQ ethereum:0x84ca8bc7997272c7cfb4d0cd3d55cd942b3c9419 $DOW $SOXX

Given the current strong rally in the equities markets, I have observed many post with comparisons to previous similar rallies to predict what lies ahead. While we must appreciate the work of these authors, I would like to provide context from a more scientific perspective.

1.  Sample Size and Reliability:

Many backward-looking analyses show that the current rally off the March 30 low is so unique in its percentage gains that there are few historical parallels—often coming from only a handful of major bear market events. With such a small sample size (sometimes n=1), it is impossible to perform reliable statistical analysis.

Example, flipping a coin once and observing it lands heads up, doesn’t mean we can conclude that all coin tosses produce the same result.

Without a larger sample size (at least n=10), we are essentially dealing with randomness.

Furthermore, comparing a rally following a barely 10% multi-week correction to rallies following multi-year, 50%+ bear markets is not a direct comparison.

2.  Market Nature vs. Predictive Insight:

Analysis showing improved chances of positive returns over 1, 3, 6, and 12-month periods essentially confirms short-term variability and long-term trends. Any such forward-looking comparison conducted at any given time tends to yield similar results because it reflects the fundamental nature of financial markets rather than a specific predictive signal for the current environment. Try 10, 20 or 30 years out and we’ll have guaranteed positive returns.

So, while these comparison studies have limitations and are more like narrative reinforcement than rigorous prediction, they aren’t useless, as they can offer probabilistic context—just not the kind of precision many imply. The mistake isn’t using them; it’s overconfidence in them.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@BiltRewards why did you go and ruin a great thing with this new rewards program? Such a bummer

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

#pmsseatgeekrelay 2:48

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@Fitzstock2004 He's been right in the long term. But spectacularly wrong at times in the short term. Including 2022 and April of last year.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@TriggerTrades @tradingview All about the /ES and love your analysis!

[TRIGGER TRADES @TriggerTrades]

TradingView hooked me up with TWO annual plans to give away:

⭐️ 1 Ultimate (top tier)
⭐️ 1 Premium

How to enter (2 winners):

1.) Like & retweet
2.) Follow @TriggerTrades
3.) Comment your favorite instrument to trade (ES, NQ, BTC, AAPL, etc.)

Good luck!

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

$SPX, if you added some at support, good spot to lock in some profits here in case this is just a B-wave rally. I have sneaking suspicion it is, but we'll see.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

$SPX has reached first support. Not a bad idea to buy at least 1/4 here of whatever cash you had set aside to buy a dip.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

Waiting on an overall market pullback to allow names of interest to set up at better prices. The only name I'm keen on this week is $FUBO. Here is that chart as well as my $SPX analysis of a possible pullback and where renewed buying should show up.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

Sold 1/4 $IBIT. RSI 5 just hit 80 so taking chips off the table. Great day for the P&L!

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

Sold 1/4 $BIIB at 158.60. RSI 5 way above 80 so taking some profits.

https://t.co/uvG7UuqciM

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

Sold 1/4 $QUBT at 23.59. About to hit 80 on the RSI 5, which is a "take profit" level for me.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

@intell_invest The best in the biz! Thanks for always providing objective analysis.

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

$FUBO being added to the watchlist. Needs to hold 50sma and then I would need to see MACD curl up to enter. If a higher low is put in, this could run to $6+

[NorthPost Partners @NPPtrades]

Bought full position in $QUBT and $IBIT. I added to $BIIB position to make that a full position as well. All entries and notes in the spreadsheet

https://t.co/uvG7UuqciM