Odoros Center for Peace and Security Research, a non-partisan, non-profit, independent think tank aiming to contribute to #peace and #statebuilding in #Somalia
ODOROS CENTER has finally released the Policy Brief on Hobyo Peace Conference and its implications on Galmudug statebuilding process
https://t.co/R93q7298PZ
The majority of respondents to this poll (67%) contend that the Somali National Army has the greatest potential to defeat AS. 21% of the votes go to Ma'awisley/local militias. FMS forces received least votes.
The current squabble for IGAD leadership is not only a test to the merits upon which PM Abiy recently earned his Nobel prize, but also dangerous cross road for the only regional organisation in the Horn.
@OdorosC Executive Director @kenyapeacenow and former Speaker of Kenya Parliament @FarahMaalimM have an in-depth discussion on the trans-boundary security in the region
https://t.co/NjP8Cqz48i
FORMER S.West and Galmudug presidents Sharif Sheikh Aden & Abdikarin Guled respectively land in #Kismayu ahead of Jubbaland President Ahmed Madobe’s inauguration this week
Albeit highly personalized, idiosyncratic type of leadership with little coherent strategy, the Abiy factor is the most critical geopolitical additive Somali politicians need to dissect
@HarunMaruf
#Ethiopia:The change in #Somali Region offers an example for the country
https://t.co/loF40ZuSds
Stability, [Mustefe] says, was the priority when he took office: “We had to balance the need for justice with the pragmatic reality that we need a special force here to keep peace.”
Ever since the adoption of Federal Charter in the Imbagathi project in 2004, the conceptual perception of statebuilding involved not only the mechanisms to build back the shattered institutions at the national level, but also those of FMS.
https://t.co/R93q7298PZ
@HarunMaruf
The conceptualization of statebuilding has been evolutionary in the Somali political psyche. Despite the only relative success stories of statebuilding–Sland & Pland- being @ a subnational level, the elite & public in the rest of Somalia viewed the concept only with national lens
Exactly one year ago, Hibaad Ali Dasar, leader of a Ma'awisley group in Hirshabelle State, was killed by AS in a fierce battle in Bur Da'ar, an area never reached by AMISOM or SNA. His mission, still alive, represents a heavy burden -perhaps heaviest- on the insurgency group.
#SPF highlights:
Dec 2019: electoral law adopted
June 2020: constitutional court and judicial service commission established; constitutional review completed
Early 2021: one-person one-vote elections
SPF closing with a balanced communiqué negotiated and agreed by all parts. It is a simple roadmap for our joint work along the next months. Together with the mutual accountability framework (MAF), a good outcome. We must not fail!
Research found that in 130 insurgencies in in the world, Govts effectively used militia against insurgency. Is it time for FGS to consider empowering Macawisley movement to counter AS since the group survived 15 years of AMISOM/Somali forces with little breakthrough for victory?