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Cantor Fitzgerald: expect NAND tightness to continue into 4Q, with little to no capacity relief until late 2027/early 2028 at the earliest.
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$DRAM
$DISK
$ORCL: "We now expect around half of our RPO to convert into sales over the next 36 months." That is $322 billion RPO being converted to sales over the next 3 years.
Jensen says its not circular financing because they only put a little but a money in to get a lot of money back. "We put in 1 and 100 comes back in. Is that circular? If that is, let's do more of that." $NVDA
Jensen: "The revenues per gigawatt right now is about $50 billion. You can still rent Volta, 10 years old. All the Amperes in the world are all rented out." $NVDA
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"Although total DRAM wafer capacity continues to grow, most of the incremental capacity is being absorbed by HBM for AI accelerators. That leaves the commodity and LPDDR supply that robot brains depend on competing for a shrinking pool of non-HBM wafers."
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"In 2028, the scale up is going to happen, and going to drive yet another 3 to 4x of increase of demand. So we really do not see the laser supply-demand gap actually close within the next couple of years." Tight laser supply till end of 2028...
$LITE
Test equipment is projected to grow at a CAGR of +29%, significantly outpacing assembly and packaging equipment, which has a projected CAGR of +14%. $KEYS $TER $FORM