OSZ

Your 24/7 source for breaking news and insider insights

Tracking the latest political polls and Elections in one place

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Florida IPEV + Mail vote Update

🔵 Democrats: 925,395 (39.9%)
🔴 Republicans: 915,814 (39.5%)
🟡 Independents: 419,079 (18.1%)

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

2026 Oregon Governor

🔵 Tina Kotek (inc): 46%
🔴 Christine Drazan: 44%

The Oregonian/Research poll | 10/1

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

California 48th congressional district (Harris +3)

🔵 Marni Von Wilpert: 47%
🔴 Jim Desmond: 44%

Terrance Group | 10/17-10/20

[Commentary Rubio Tracker @RubioTracker]

Marco Rubio tells people who seek change in Cuba that now is the time to partner, discreetly, with CIA.

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

*Republicans

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Ohio Early Vote Projection

🔵 Democrats: 49% (-5)
🔴 Repablicans: 43% (+3)
🟡 Other: 8% (+2)

Votes so far: 860,568

(+/- vs 10 days ago)

[Via NBC | Per TargetSmart]

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Ohio Early Vote Projection

🔵 Democrats: 54%
🔴 Repablicans: 40%
🟡 Other: 6%

Votes so far: 228,470

(Via NBC | Per TargetSmart)

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: The GOP outperform senate polls in Trump states by an average of 4.1 points

If that counties
Ohio 🔵 Dem +4 -> 🔴 GOP +0.1
Michigan 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Alaska 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Texas 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Iowa 🔵 Dem +1 -> 🔴 GOP +3
Kansas 🟡 Tied -> 🔴 GOP +4

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Vance has become a hurricane as it churns off the coast of Mexico, Per NHC

The storm is expected to strengthen rapidly and could be a major Category 4 hurricane

[Commentary AOC Odds Tracker @AOCtracker]

AOC questions why the government struggles to fund Medicare and health care while continuing to approve trillions in military spending

AOC is fighting against the military industrial complex

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: If the polls underestimate Senate Republicans like they did from 2018 to 2024 they keep the senate

🔴 Republicans: 53
🔵 Democrats: 47

Michigan: 🔴 GOP Flip
Maine: 🔴 GOP Hold
Texas: 🔴 GOP Hold
Alaska: 🔴 GOP Hold
Ohio: 🔴 GOP Hold

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Kalshi vs. Public Weather Forecast Accuracy Across 7 Major U.S. Cities, per NEXT Predict.

🟢 Kalshi: 6
🔵 Public forecasts: 1

Cities: New York, Chicago, Miami, Austin, Philadelphia, Denver and Los Angeles.

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

2026 Texas Senate Poll

🔴 Ken Paxton: 45%
🔵 James Talarico: 45%

Rasmussen Reports | 10/20-10/21

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

https://t.co/8nRzhpbMBn

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Kalshi vs. Public Weather Forecast Accuracy Across 7 Major U.S. Cities, per NEXT Predict.

🟢 Kalshi: 6
🔵 Public forecasts: 1

Cities: New York, Chicago, Miami, Austin, Philadelphia, Denver and Los Angeles.

[Shane Gillis @Shanemgillis]

The Weathermen @Kalshi

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: If the polls underestimate Senate Republicans like they did from 2018 to 2024 they keep the senate

🔴 Republicans: 53
🔵 Democrats: 47

Michigan: 🔴 GOP Flip
Maine: 🔴 GOP Hold
Texas: 🔴 GOP Hold
Alaska: 🔴 GOP Hold
Ohio: 🔴 GOP Hold

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: The GOP outperform senate polls in Trump states by an average of 4.1 points

If that counties
Ohio 🔵 Dem +4 -> 🔴 GOP +0.1
Michigan 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Alaska 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Texas 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Iowa 🔵 Dem +1 -> 🔴 GOP +3
Kansas 🟡 Tied -> 🔴 GOP +4

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: The GOP outperform senate polls in Trump states by an average of 4.1 points

If that counties
Ohio 🔵 Dem +4 -> 🔴 GOP +0.1
Michigan 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Alaska 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Texas 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Iowa 🔵 Dem +1 -> 🔴 GOP +3
Kansas 🟡 Tied -> 🔴 GOP +4

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 7 Nevada In Person Early Vote Update Per Nevada SoS

🔴 Republicans: 2,437 (47.6%)
🔵 Democrats: 1,540 (30.1%)
🟡 Other: 1,139 (22.3%)

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 5 non cumulative Palm Beach, Florida early in person vote

🔴 Republicans: 38.8%
🔵 Democrats: 37.5%
🟡 Independents: 20.5%

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 5 non cumulative Miami-Dade, Florida early in person vote

🔴 Republicans: 40.2%
🔵 Democrats: 35.4%
🟡 Independents: 22.5%

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 5 non cumulative Miami-Dade, Florida early in person vote

🔴 Republicans: 40.2%
🔵 Democrats: 35.4%
🟡 Independents: 22.5%

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 7 In Person Early voting Clark County, Nevada update

🔴 Republican: 466 (45.0%)
🔵 Democrat: 329 (31.8%)
🟡 Other: 241 (23.3%)