OSZ

Your 24/7 source for breaking news and insider insights

Tracking the latest political polls and Elections in one place

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CBS Unveils New Senate ratings

🔴 Republicans: 48
🔵 Democrats: 47
🟡 Tossup: 5

Swing states:
Michigan: 🟡 Tossup
Maine: 🟡 Tossup
Texas: 🟡 Tossup
Alaska: 🟡 Tossup
Ohio: 🟡 Tossup

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Florida In Person Early Voting non cumulative Day 1 to Day 3

Day 1: 🔴 Republicans +0.4
Day 2: 🔴 Republicans +4.2
Day 3: 🔴 Republicans +8.1

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 3 Florida In Person Early Vote update

🔴 Republican: 82,037 (44.3%)
🔵 Democrat: 67,064 (36.3%)
🟡 Other: 35,895 (19.4%)

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

The Democratic Governors Association is sending $1 million to boost Jolly’s bid for governor, but Donalds remains the favorite

Florida governor race odds per Kalshi
🔴 Byron Donalds: 78%
🔵 David Jolly: 22%

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

2026 Texas Senate

🔴 Ken Paxton: 49%
🔵 James Talarico: 49%

Fox News (Beacon/Shaw) | 10/15-10/19

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Florida’s 25th congressional district

🔴 Scott Singer: 49%
🔵 Jared Moskowitz (inc): 42%

This would be a 🔵 D -> 🔴 R Flip

National Research Inc poll | 10/12-10/15

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: Republicans outperform senate polls in Trump states by an average of 4.1 points

If that pattern continues:
Ohio: 🔵 Dem +4 -> 🔴 GOP +0.1
Michigan: 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Alaska: 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Texas: 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Iowa: 🔵 Dem +1 -> 🔴 GOP +3

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

CNN: Republicans outperform senate polls in Trump states by an average of 4.1 points

If that pattern continues:
Ohio: 🔵 Dem +4 -> 🔴 GOP +0.1
Michigan: 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Alaska: 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Texas: 🔵 Dem +3 -> 🔴 GOP +1
Iowa: 🔵 Dem +1 -> 🔴 GOP +3

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Full Poll: 🔵 Dem +7

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

2026 Generic ballot Among Hispanics

🔴 Republicans: 52%
🔵 Democrats: 48%

ActiVote poll | 10/15-10/21

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

2026 Generic ballot Among Hispanics

🔴 Republicans: 52%
🔵 Democrats: 48%

ActiVote poll | 10/15-10/21

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

2026 Florida Governor

🔴 Byron Donalds: 49%
🔵 David Jolly: 40%

Co/efficient poll | 10/18-10/20

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Michigan share of early votes in Republican counties have increased compared to the same time in 2024 Per @petebray

2024:
🔵 52.6%
🔴 47.4%

2026:
🔵 51.9% (-0.7)
🔴 48.1% (+0.7)

[Commentary AOC Odds Tracker @AOCtracker]

Zohran Mamdani says Abdul El-Sayed's “victory is of critical importance to our city."

This comes as AOC has transformed $1 million to El-Sayed's campaign, Progressives are uniting!

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Florida’s 25th congressional district

🔴 Scott Singer: 49%
🔵 Jared Moskowitz (inc): 42%

This would be a 🔵 D -> 🔴 R Flip

National Research Inc poll | 10/12-10/15

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 3 Florida In Person Early Vote update

🔴 Republican: 53,242 (46.1%)
🔵 Democrat: 39,863 (34.5%)
🟡 Other: 22,499 (19.5%)

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

If the polling patterns of GOP Overperformance from 2018-2024 continue, Republicans will hold the senate

🔴 Republicans: 52
🔵 Democrats: 48

Michigan: 🔴 Republican Flip
Texas: 🔴 Republican Hold
Alaska: 🔴 Republican Hold
Ohio: 🔴 Republican Hold

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Day 5 In Person Early voting Clark County, Nevada update

🔴 Republican: 837 (43.3%)
🔵 Democrat: 663 (34.3%)
🟡 Other: 434 (22.4%)