OprosDE 🇺🇦

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[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Bundestag Seat Projection (August):

AfD: 205 (+6)
CDU/CSU: 149 (-9)
Grüne: 104 (+3)
SPD: 90 (=)
Linke: 81 (=)

316 seats needed for a majority.

(Changes with Jul)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 29% (-1)
CDU/CSU: 18% (-1)
Grüne: 14% (=)
SPD: 13% (=)
Linke: 11% (+1)
FDP: 4% (=)
BSW: 4% (+1)

via @insaresearch, 12-16 Oct

(Changes with 9 Oct)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Baden-Württemberg State Election Voting Intention:

Grüne: 30% (=)
CDU: 23% (-7)
AfD: 23% (+4)
SPD: 7% (+1)
Linke: 6% (+2)
FDP: 4% (=)

via @infratestdimap, 13 Oct

(Changes with 2026 Election)

#ltwbw

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Brandenburg State Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 40% (+6)
SPD: 20% (-4)
CDU: 9% (-5)
Linke: 9% (+2)
BSW: 7% (-1)
Grüne: 7% (+2)

via @insaresearch, 9 Oct

(Changes with 20 Mar)

#ltwbb

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 30% (-0.5)
CDU/CSU: 18.5% (+1)
Grüne: 14% (-0.5)
SPD: 13.5% (-1)
Linke: 10% (-0.5)
FDP: 4.5% (=)
BSW: 3.5% (=)

via @insaresearch, 9-12 Oct

(Changes with 5 Oct)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 26% (=)
CDU/CSU: 19% (=)
Grüne: 17% (=)
SPD: 14% (=)
Linke: 12% (+1)
FDP: 4% (=)

via Forsa, 6-12 Oct

(Changes with 5 Oct)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Bundestag Seat Projection (August):

AfD: 204 (-1)
CDU/CSU: 139 (-10)
Grüne: 108 (+4)
SPD: 100 (+10)
Linke: 78 (-3)

316 seats needed for a majority.

(Changes with Jul)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Polling Tracker (August):

AfD: 28.2% (+0.1)
CDU/CSU: 19.9% (-0.9)
Grüne: 14.8% (+0.5)
SPD: 13.0% (+0.9)
Linke: 10.9% (-0.7)
FDP: 4.2% (-0.3)
BSW: 3.4% (+0.3)

(Changes with Jul)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 30% (=)
CDU/CSU: 19% (+1)
Grüne: 14% (=)
SPD: 13% (-1)
Linke: 10% (=)
FDP: 4% (=)
BSW: 3% (-1)

via @insaresearch, 5-9 Oct

(Changes with 2 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 28% (+1)
CDU/CSU: 20% (-1)
Grüne: 15% (=)
Linke: 12% (-1)
SPD: 13% (+1)
FDP: 4% (-1)
BSW: 3% (=)

via @IpsosGermany, 30 Sep-4 Oct

(Changes with 31 Aug)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 28% (=)
CDU/CSU: 21% (=)
Grüne: 15% (+1)
SPD: 13% (=)
Linke: 12% (=)
FDP: 3% (=)

via FGW, 5-7 Oct

(Changes with 24 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next Hamburg State Election Voting Intention:

SPD: 29% (-5)
Grüne: 18% (-1)
Linke: 15% (+4)
AfD: 14% (+6)
CDU: 12% (-8)
FDP: 3% (+1)
BSW: 3% (+1)
Volt: 2% (-1)

via Trend Research, 30 Sep

(Changes with 2025 Election)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 30.5% (+1)
CDU/CSU: 17.5% (-1.5)
Grüne: 14.5% (=)
SPD: 14.5% (=)
Linke: 10.5% (+0.5)
FDP: 4.5% (+0.5)
BSW: 3.5% (=)

via @insaresearch, 2-5 Oct

(Changes with 28 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 26% (=)
CDU/CSU: 19% (=)
Grüne: 17% (+1)
SPD: 14% (=)
Linke: 11% (-1)
FDP: 4% (=)

via Forsa, 29 Sep-5 Oct

(Changes with 28 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 30% (+1)
CDU/CSU: 18% (-1)
Grüne: 14% (-1)
SPD: 14% (+1)
Linke: 10% (=)
FDP: 4% (=)
BSW: 4% (+1)

via @insaresearch, 28 Sep-2 Oct

(Changes with 25 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 27% (=)
CDU/CSU: 20% (-1)
Grüne: 16% (+1)
SPD: 13% (=)
Linke: 11% (-1)
FDP: 4% (=)

via @infratestdimap, 28-30 Sep

(Changes with 2 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 29.5% (=)
CDU/CSU: 19% (-0.5)
Grüne: 14.5% (+1)
SPD: 14.5% (+1)
Linke: 10% (-0.5)
FDP: 4% (-0.5)
BSW: 3.5% (=)

via @insaresearch, 25-28 Sep

(Changes with 21 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 26% (-1)
CDU/CSU: 19% (-1)
Grüne: 16% (-1)
SPD: 14% (+2)
Linke: 12% (=)
FDP: 4% (=)
BSW: 3% (=)

via Forsa, 22-28 Sep

(Changes with 22 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 29% (=)
CDU/CSU: 19% (-1)
Grüne: 15% (+1)
SPD: 14% (+1)
Linke: 10% (-1)
FDP: 4% (-1)
BSW: 3% (=)

via @insaresearch, 21-25 Sep

(Changes with 18 Sep)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

North Rhine-Westphalia State Election Voting Intention:

CDU: 29% (-9)
AfD: 22% (+6)
Grüne: 18% (+5)
SPD: 14% (-3)
Linke: 8% (+1)
FDP: 3% (=)

via Forsa, 23 Sep

(Changes with Jul 25)

[OprosDE 🇺🇦 @OprosDE]

Next German Federal Election Voting Intention:

AfD: 28% (+1)
CDU/CSU: 21% (-1)
Grüne: 14% (=)
SPD: 13% (+1)
Linke: 12% (=)
FDP: 3% (-1)

via FGW, 22-24 Sep

(Changes with 19 Aug)