@dangambardello agreed, one green weekend isnt confirmation. the data's constructive though, flow flipped, spot buying, fear still extreme at 22. price ahead of sentiment. but until $63k reclaims and holds, it's a bounce with potential not a turn. patience is right
https://t.co/VDx3ClBAsS
The flow flipped now price is following π
BTC +7.9% off the $58,189 low. Spot buying back, shorts squeezed, ETF inflows returning for the first time in weeks
here's the tell, fear is STILL 22. Extreme.
Price recovering faster than sentiment is historically where the best risk/reward sits. The crowd hasn't caught up the data already turned
The line
β’ Reclaim $63K β $65.5β66K opens
β’ Lose momentum into the weekend β just a bounce, not a turn
Real turn or just a bounce ?
fair, fake bottoms are how cycles trap people. but the flow flipped first this time, ETF inflows back, shorts squeezed, spot buying. doesnt confirm THE bottom, but it's more than the last dead-cat bounces had. reclaim $63k or it's your fake-bottom scenario
https://t.co/VQvTsV2YpK
The flow flipped now price is following π
BTC +7.9% off the $58,189 low. Spot buying back, shorts squeezed, ETF inflows returning for the first time in weeks
here's the tell, fear is STILL 22. Extreme.
Price recovering faster than sentiment is historically where the best risk/reward sits. The crowd hasn't caught up the data already turned
The line
β’ Reclaim $63K β $65.5β66K opens
β’ Lose momentum into the weekend β just a bounce, not a turn
Real turn or just a bounce ?
@coinbureau this crossover is the capitulation signal on-chain, and 2018/2022 both based here before recovering. pair it with ETF inflows returning + spot buying stepping in. sellers exhausted, buyers quietly back. fear at 22 hasnt caught up to the data yet
https://t.co/VDx3ClBAsS
The flow flipped now price is following π
BTC +7.9% off the $58,189 low. Spot buying back, shorts squeezed, ETF inflows returning for the first time in weeks
here's the tell, fear is STILL 22. Extreme.
Price recovering faster than sentiment is historically where the best risk/reward sits. The crowd hasn't caught up the data already turned
The line
β’ Reclaim $63K β $65.5β66K opens
β’ Lose momentum into the weekend β just a bounce, not a turn
Real turn or just a bounce ?
@coinbureau the +6% while fear's still pinned at 22 is the part worth watching. price recovering faster than sentiment is usually where the turn hides, crowd's still scared while flows already flipped. more than a bounce IF $63k reclaims. that's the line
https://t.co/VDx3ClBAsS
The flow flipped now price is following π
BTC +7.9% off the $58,189 low. Spot buying back, shorts squeezed, ETF inflows returning for the first time in weeks
here's the tell, fear is STILL 22. Extreme.
Price recovering faster than sentiment is historically where the best risk/reward sits. The crowd hasn't caught up the data already turned
The line
β’ Reclaim $63K β $65.5β66K opens
β’ Lose momentum into the weekend β just a bounce, not a turn
Real turn or just a bounce ?
The flow flipped now price is following π
BTC +7.9% off the $58,189 low. Spot buying back, shorts squeezed, ETF inflows returning for the first time in weeks
here's the tell, fear is STILL 22. Extreme.
Price recovering faster than sentiment is historically where the best risk/reward sits. The crowd hasn't caught up the data already turned
The line
β’ Reclaim $63K β $65.5β66K opens
β’ Lose momentum into the weekend β just a bounce, not a turn
Real turn or just a bounce ?
@coinbureau liquidity turning supportive into a market thats already capitulating is the combo worth watching. SOPR at 0.98 = sellers exhausting, MVRV fair value. fresh liquidity meeting an oversold fearful market is how relief rallies start
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@martypartymusic the extended support test lines up with the on-chain read, SOPR at 0.98 capitulation, MVRV fair value, fear at 19. wyckoff spring territory if it holds. the longer it tests without breaking, the more it looks like accumulation not distribution
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@mignoletkr strong take and the buy-side data is real. but SOPR at 0.98 shows sellers ARE capitulating even if buyers arent stepping up yet. thats the sequence, exhaustion first, absorption second. no accumulation yet doesnt mean no base, it means not confirmed
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@Cointelegraph $8.4B in outflows IS the capitulation, not a reason to panic more. on-chain confirms it, SOPR at 0.98 = coins moving at a loss, MVRV at fair value. capitulation-driven fear shows up late in a move, not early. santiment's read tracks
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@AdamBLiv data backs the zone. MVRV fair value + SOPR at 0.98 = capitulation, coins changing hands at a loss. historically where cost-basis buyers show up. doesnt call the exact low, but it's where the math stops being expensive
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@CryptoKaleo cant rule it out, the range is coiled either way. but the internals lean the other side, SOPR at 0.98 is capitulation not distribution, MVRV fair value. exhausted sellers usually break up. the candle's a coin flip til it confirms
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@insomniacxbt the absorbed-selling read lines up with the on-chain. SOPR at 0.98 = active capitulation, MVRV at fair value. that plus your weekly divergence is how bases get built. 60k holding while everyone's numb is the tell
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@ZeroHedge_ fair skepticism, but the data isn't "bottom confirmed" either, it's capitulation in progress. SOPR 0.9794 = coins moving at a loss, MVRV fair value, fear at 19. the ingredient list for a low, not proof of one
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
@astronomer_zero this. 8 days of compression + volatility now expanding = the coil loading. on-chain agrees, SOPR at 0.98 is active capitulation and MVRV's at fair value. sellers exhausting into the range. the break usually resolves the way the flush was leaning against
https://t.co/pKgsyJXpAG
we called $59,396 the floor for weeks. friday it broke β wick to $58,189, fresh cycle low.
not gonna pretend it didn't. that's the whole point.
but same day, btc clawed back above $60k. sellers got the level, couldn't hold it.
new map: reclaim $62,457 = relief. lose $58,189 = the line's gone for real.
data, not hopium. relief or lower? π $BTC