Part one
Minsk 1 (September 2014) and Minsk 2 (February 2015)
- quotes from the Paper "The Military Situation In The Ukraine" (thank you @tiffin1963).
https://t.co/35Beoe0FFa
https://t.co/de8aesrMaq
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It is essential to recall here that Minsk 1 (September 2014) and Minsk 2 (February 2015) Agreements did not provide for the separation or independence of the Republics, but their autonomy within the framework of Ukraine.
Human rights were invented by masons and liberals. Why should we be surprised when they apply them only to those who share their ideology or to those whom they want? If you are not liberal you have no rights. If you are suspected to be illiberal, you can expect nothing -- no rights, no freedom of speech, no respect. Who is human and who is not decide those who rule. Now days liberals rule. The only way to re-acquire our suspended rights is to make them to stop to rule. No revolution, no chances to justice.
ANALYSIS FALL OF AVDIIVKA, EVENING FEB 17 2024
The fall of Avdiivka came faster than many, including myself, thought possible. Especially the fall of Khimik/9 Kvarter and the Chemical/Coke plant was a surprise. I had thought that UkrAF would try to keep the way of retreat out of Avdiivka, through Khimik, open for a week and try to hold on to the line Coke plant-Lastochkyne-Severne as long as possible, but it didn't happen.
The reason is very simple. UkrAF gave the order to immediately evacuate the entire city. Even though many Ukrainian soldiers thereby was abandoned. Those soldiers were told to surrender to save their lives. We don't know exactly numbers, but somewhere 500-2000 Ukrainian soldiers were abandoned and lost when fighting ended.
I understand the rationale behind this decision, even if its a sign of the desperation of UkrAF. But the abandonment of the Coke plant is an enigma to me. They needed the factory as a linchpin in their defence. Without the factory there will be a large hole in the Ukrainian defenceline. That nullifies much of the positive effects UkrAF got from the hasty abandonment of Avdiivka.
UkrAF relied on the Coke factory and has only limited defences behind it. This gives RuAF a good opportunity to continue their offensive behind the factory and also tear up Ukrainian defences to the North from behind. It's hard to say when Ukrainian forces will be able to stabilise the frontline, at least temporarily, but RuAF will probably be able to establish a buffer zone in 1-2 weeks that totally eliminate the remaining salient (map 2). That's 15-20 km North to South and around 10 km in depth.
Why did UkrAF abandon the coke plant? They must have known about the consequences, since they are professionals. Probably due to a lack of fighting spirit in the troops locally and the fear that 4000 more Ukrainian soldiers would be encircled and ultimately lost.
When we look at the bigger picture we must also answer the question of why UkrAF withdraw and abandoned not only Avdiivka, but probably the entire Avdiivka salient? It can't have been an easy decision since Ukrainian forces have defended this area steadfastly for 10 years and it was considered one of the best fortified positions in the world.
The answer must be that UkrAF realised that the forces defending Avdiivka and the salient wasn't enough, but that they couldn't send any more reinforcements. They took the wise decision to retreat and save as many soldiers as possible for the continued defence of the Donetsk (former Avdiivka) front. The Ukrainians are battered but are still able to put up a decent fight at that frontline.
Why couldn't Ukraine send more units to Avdiivka? They have already thinned the troops at several other frontlines to a dangerously low level and they can't continue doing that. The strategic reserves are very limited. The 3rd Assault (Azov) brigade came from that strategic reserve.
There is now a growing expectation for an all out offensive from the Russian side, all along the different frontlines. The meager reserves Ukraine has, must be husbanded well for such an eventuality. There is already a strong Russian push at the Kreminna, Bakhmut and South Donetsk fronts.
Large Russian forces are amassed at the Belgorod, Kupyansk and Zaporizhia fronts. All in all at least 150 000, maybe even 200 000, soldiers with lot of equipment. An activation of these frontlines would press Ukrainian defence forces to the uttermost. No wonder Ukraine must make territorial sacrifices to keep as many units combat worthy for the coming storm.
📜 Bird's Eye View of the Ukraine War
NATO won't survive the results of the war in Ukraine. Sure, they’ll “keep up appearances” for a while, but most now understand that siding with a rapidly declining empire is fraught with great risk and minimal gains.
https://t.co/dANyQwwFkW
On the death of Russian activist Alexei Navalny
Here is one person's opinion regarding the death of Russian activist Alexei Navalny:
"Now that you’ve heard the fake outrage from the West, let’s look at the information they withheld from you.
Navalny is a terrorist. He was caught planning a color revolution to overtake Russia with MI6.
He’s not “political opposition”. He’s a foreign intelligence asset. A spy.
Below, you can see Navalny discussing planning “mass protests, civil initiatives, propaganda, establishing contacts with elites” with British MI6 agent, James William Thomas Ford, via the funding from unnamed rich billionaires.
Navalny was the West’s frontman to takeover Russia from within. The same exact playbook they used to take over Ukraine.
Navalny was a Deep State asset, and he was treated as such. As a hostile foreign actor looking to overthrow a sovereign nation, on behalf of the West. Treason and sedition. So spare me with the West’s fake outrage and pearl-clutching, as if Putin is unfairly jailing and murdering political opponents, while the Trump witch hunt is going into its 8th year… and while Julian Assange is still being tortured in prison…
Biden and the MSM are already trying to leverage this situation to coerce Americans to send more money to Ukraine. The entire thing is a hoax, just like everything else they do."
Given that western governments and the media are consummate liars, I tend to agree with the above assessment.
Do you?
On the death of Russian activist Alexei Navalny
Here is one person's opinion regarding the death of Russian activist Alexei Navalny:
"Now that you’ve heard the fake outrage from the West, let’s look at the information they withheld from you.
Navalny is a terrorist. He was caught planning a color revolution to overtake Russia with MI6.
He’s not “political opposition”. He’s a foreign intelligence asset. A spy.
Below, you can see Navalny discussing planning “mass protests, civil initiatives, propaganda, establishing contacts with elites” with British MI6 agent, James William Thomas Ford, via the funding from unnamed rich billionaires.
Navalny was the West’s frontman to takeover Russia from within. The same exact playbook they used to take over Ukraine.
Navalny was a Deep State asset, and he was treated as such. As a hostile foreign actor looking to overthrow a sovereign nation, on behalf of the West. Treason and sedition. So spare me with the West’s fake outrage and pearl-clutching, as if Putin is unfairly jailing and murdering political opponents, while the Trump witch hunt is going into its 8th year… and while Julian Assange is still being tortured in prison…
Biden and the MSM are already trying to leverage this situation to coerce Americans to send more money to Ukraine. The entire thing is a hoax, just like everything else they do."
Given that western governments and the media are consummate liars, I tend to agree with the above assessment.
Do you?
Incredible Report from a Donetsk Citizen:
“I feel it in my bones and soul, because today, instead of the steady rumble of Avdeyevka artillery, there was silence.
There hasn't been any shelling of Donetsk today, at all.
Today, the Nazis who have bombed us for almost a decade from Avdeyevka are too busy running for their lives to target civilians or anyone else.“
"Important -
Multiple enemy resources report that the Russian army has concentrated large forces in the Zaporozhye direction.
🔴 It is reported that a shock fist has been created, which will soon be introduced into battle. It is expected that in the near future the Russian army will launch a large-scale offensive in the Zaporozhye direction
Avdeevka, it will seem like a “fairy tale” to you, watch"
So 5 minutes after Navalny dies the collective West knows Russia is responsible.
Nearly 18 months after NordStream was blown up, the West still has no idea.
How low must your IQ be to not understand what is going on.
Either you support this, or you oppose it with every fibre of your being. That's your remaining choice. If you tolerate this, then your children will be next.
Not sure if "the whole plant is taken" but:
🇷🇺The enemy’s impregnable bastion has fallen! Our fighters hoisted the Russian flag at the Avdeevsky coke plant!
▪️ The 114th brigade of the 1st Army Corps hoisted the Russian flag over the Avdeevsky coke plant, putting an end to the battle for the enemy’s “impregnable fortress.”
https://t.co/YBAXnW85dr