Overs Punter

Punt almost exclusively on overs markets, mainly 2.5 goals. Tracking selections and P/L here, not advising tips. Gamble responsibly.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

I'm going to start documenting over 2.5 goals selections based on a system written to identify perceived value. Selections will be added per day, categorised as naps and value. Naps have perceived odds <= 1.50 and actual odds >= 1.50. Value <= 1.80 and >= 2.00. Data from @12Xpert

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@___1875___ @carl0496 @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog If it helps, my girlfriend often tells me she thinks I'm autistic. Primarily because of how literally I take things that I'm told. This probably fits in with that suggestion. Don't think it makes me wrong though

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog FWIW, Wonga weren't wrong for providing high interest loans. They were wrong for not doing proper affordability checks. And I say that as someone who's had compensation from them for their wrongdoing

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@paulo70249036 @poshboy7 @J7504279 @___1875___ @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Why would I want punters to lose? I am one. I just don't see the point in giving Sky shit for playing by the rules.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog If I'm being 100% completely honest with you. I wanted it to count, obviously. I checked my bet and got excited when I saw it was suspended. But I honestly felt I'd be lucky for it to pay out because I felt it was a miskicked cross. If Opta agree then it'll never change

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Personally, I find it easier to live my life not getting annoyed at people when they've done nothing wrong. I'm trying to share that view with others in the hope they might stop being so annoyed too

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Why is it so important for people to moan at Sky for doing exactly as they advertise they will?

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Yes, they could pay out anyway, as an act of good will. But like I said, they gave me good will last night. Someone said they did with the boxing last week. What's their incentive to do it every single time? That would be terrible business

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog It's not a technicality. It's not a loophole. It's black and white. The bet included 2 shots on target for Vardy. The referenced stats reported 1. Telling Sky they're wrong not to pay you out when, according to their stats, the bet hasn't won, is just complete nonsense.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog But Opta would argue that it wasn't a mistake and it was in line with their definition of what a shot on target is. I get that you don't like that. I don't either. But the decision has been made.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Where have I said anyone is wrong to be annoyed? I'm annoyed! I'm jusy not blaming Sky or moaning about it

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@___1875___ @doinkmcmahon @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog This is exactly where my issue is. They've honoured their bet and the rules they advertise that they play by. There's nothing underhand whatsoever about what Sky have done. Suggesting otherwise is just sour grapes. Question Opta, absolutely, but shouts of thieves & fraud are daft

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@carl0496 @___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog I've never suggested they can't. I've even referenced an example from last night when they paid me out when they didn't have to. My point is purely that people demanding that they have to are wrong.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@doinkmcmahon @poshboy7 @___1875___ @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog I'd get more sense back if I was.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@poshboy7 @J7504279 @___1875___ @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog So I can only advise you who provides the stats if I know their contact details? Alright mate.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@doinkmcmahon @poshboy7 @___1875___ @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Well I'm not slavering to myself, am I?

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@poshboy7 @___1875___ @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Neither.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@poshboy7 @J7504279 @___1875___ @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Ok pal. I advised that you contact them instead of Sky if you have a query, as it's them who provide the stats. I never said I had their contact details. I then merely asked what you were hoping for by contacting them and suggested that I felt it would be in vain.

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog SkyBet's rules absolve them of responsibility. It's really that simple. You agree to them when you place the bet. If you don't like it then don't place the bet. If you place the bet then feel free to moan afterwards but it's not guaranteed to get you anywhere

[Overs Punter @OversPunter]

@___1875___ @poshboy7 @J7504279 @ScottPearson10 @DaveMerchantCBC @ChrisBeddell @roblafferty8112 @SkyBet @BBCWatchdog Morally, maybe. Particularly given Sky's own commentary called it a SOT. But legally/contractually, people claiming that they have to/should pay out are well wide of the mark. They absolutely don't. If they want to do it as a gesture that's entirely up to them