@np534 No one cares when the market is dumping. It's funny that the stock does not rise with AI names but chooses to dump with them (obviously not a good look). I am personally giving it time as the thesis is only strengthening.
$HNRG - the story is getting better. Not only do you have a fundamental inflection with LT contracts at premium pricing (not appreciated enough), ERAS NG expansion, recent turbine deal, but you also now have greater focus on the coal thematic and stock decoupling from crude prices
New long pitch releasing later this week: THE NETWORKING STOCK TO RULE THEM ALL. Relative value is extremely important when high-flying momentum is getting dumped. This stock exhibits not only that, but an inflection on growth and margins too. 2x base case, -20% bear case in <2Y
think it makes sense to have some exposure to consumer staples $CPB, $CAG, $FRPT (maybe?). Could've bottomed here with the worst scenario priced in. Should make good hedges regardless
$HNRG Huge deal. Kudos to management for making this happen. I used to hear that Hallador will never get their ERAS NG expansion plan accomplished, with one of the main reasons being a lack of turbines. Not only did they solve that issue, but did so in a way with minimal risk (they think they can sell the turbines for more than they paid in the worst case scenario where they don't go forward with the plan) while significantly shortening their time to power. Being duel fueled should be transformational for their availability of financing and for the ability to make deals with hyperscalers, while broadening the potential shareholder base.
https://t.co/kgkR64gVUB
BANG! - quick +150% yest. Still see more upside for $WOLF. Under-utilized fabs means more potential for deals. Mkt cap < asset value + the high short interest also helps. Expect rips like these on every new deal.
IMO - 1) co still has to prove margins/earnings power - they were trying to do too much with what they'd want to be in the future (shopping ecosystem? bank? advertising?), i think the latest Q made it clear that Mr. Mkt views $KLAR as a bank so at this stage profits are paramount. *Responsible* growth is very important for BNPL co's. Multiple will expand as margins show a clear path (i.e. no more misses on TMD), 2) think investors were put off by CEO's belligerent social media activity (unrelated to biz AI stuff) - he has since calmed down and focused on the biz (it seems). Also think street set the bar way too high post-IPO. Think estimates have normalized now. I can see a path to $40 in <2Y assuming no macro issues.
BANG! - quick +150% yest. Still see more upside for $WOLF. Under-utilized fabs means more potential for deals. Mkt cap < asset value + the high short interest also helps. Expect rips like these on every new deal.