I am stick to my last plan, Still bullish on $BTC
But if you missed last time you can buy now in the box and wait for $71K zone and stop loss below last low in 1D TF
The main 3 points that make me bullish are:
1. Spot Bitcoin #ETF inflows
After a large outflow streak in late June, U.S. spot #Bitcoin ETFs have recorded consecutive net inflows again, means institutional demand is returning.
2. Bitcoin is holding even difficult macro environment
Even with rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices, Middle East tensions, and expectations that the #Fed may stay hawkish, Bitcoin continues to trade around the $64K region instead of making new lows.
3. Next week's Fed decision
The upcoming #FOMC meeting is the biggest thing that is making me bullish. A less hawkish speech can weaken the dollar and improve liquidity expectations, which historically pumped #BTC
So now it's not mean buy directly first do your own research then buy or not.......
One mistake after multiple wins and every shit hater who even do not know basic terms of trading and crypto is doing shit comments
These are the losers who wait for other mistakes so they can bark
They forget how we called 60s bottom and t.p of 80k back and forth multiple times
I and any trader can never be 100% correct
Your shit gurus who give both side move are now yelling on others who share what they trade and one side move
Have a sense before spitting.....
Have you ever thought interest rates have nothing to do with crypto.
They do.
When rates stay high, safer assets can offer attractive returns, liquidity can become tighter, and investors may take less risk.
When rates fall, financial conditions can loosen and more capital may flow toward riskier assets, including cryptocurrency.
That’s why you shouldn’t watch $BTC alone.
Fed decisions, inflation and liquidity can change the environment BTC is trading in.
You can be right 9 times and still lose everything on the 10th.
Trading is not just about finding winners.
Risk small. Define the exit. Don’t revenge trade. Don’t average down blindly.
Survive first.
Profit comes after.
This is not the right time to buy bitcoin:native here is why...
The range it was holding from past 2,3 weeks has break down also the support zone from which we saw multi times bounce back has now been broken
Is this enough to assure that this break of support is not a trap for next leg up? The answer is no
To confirm this break down we will look at volume
Look at previous bounces when price tap them volume did not spike means there are not much seller but more buyers that is why less transactions happened and we saw a bounce
This phenomenon usually occurs in range not on trend reversals on trend reversals usually we saw spike in volume
come to the point look at candles when it broke the support a lot of activity means buyers were present alot here this time too but sellers increase this time too increase in both buyers and sellers cause huge volume spike and strength of sellers cause break of support
so if we conclude right now support has converted into resistance means we can expect downside move from here
Result of this analysis is that our $72K target is still valid that we call out when #BTC was trading at $80K
Every analysis has an invalidation without invalidation it is gambling
In current case invalidation is that price reclaim broken support in 4H TF with same volume activity and sustain above it ( It will show us that sellers absorbed and buyers are overtaking the counter now)
Plan your trades accordingly
Pakistan is finally designing its both financial and tech system in a new way
PVARA hosted the World Bank Pakistan team today to discuss digital finance and emerging technologies.
Tokenisation, AI, cybersecurity, digital infrastructure and capital markets were all on the table.
The interesting part? These are no longer just crypto conversations. They’re becoming part of the bigger economic picture.
Pakistan has an opportunity to build the right foundations early.
Now the real question is how we turn these discussions into something that actually works. 🇵🇰
Stop it. Say NO to racism.
You can criticize Arc. Question the tech, tokenomics, execution or anything else.
But seeing Indian/South Asian developers and judging a project because of their ethnicity is not analysis. It’s racism.
I don’t think there is any need to bring this into what Arc is building.
Judge the product. Not the people’s skin or nationality.
Just imagine you blink eye and loss $7.8M, Yes it is not a joke it happened today
$7.8M was stored in a multi signature wallet
The Safe itself wasn’t hacked
The owner keys weren’t cracked
Kelp wasn’t insolvent
So how did the money disappear?
A user had enabled an automation/module stack that could move funds without requiring a fresh multisig signature every time. One of those components exposed a dangerous authorization path.
An attacker found it.
In roughly 24 seconds, they deployed a worthless token, created a Uniswap v4 pool against rsETH collateral, and prepared the extraction.
Then the memepool comes into the scene
A searcher called “Yoink” copied the profitable transaction, got it into block #1, and captured roughly 2,900 rsETH worth about $7.8M before the original exploit could suceceed
That creates an even stranger situation
The attacker lost the money they were trying to steal
But the searcher that front-ran the exploit got the assets instead
And no, that doesn’t automatically make Yoink a whitehat. The funds were not returned to the victim, and Yoink later liquidated additional collateral from the same position
The bigger lesson for crypto users is much more uncomfortable:
A multisig can have strong owner security while still carrying dangerous permissions that owner grant.
Every module, router, keeper and automation contract expands the attack surface.
The blockchain may be working exactly as designed.
Your permission model can still be broken.
That’s the part people usually notice only after millions are gone.
At the moment one this is much interesting about crypto
The next big move may not start from Bitcoin itself
It can come from a decision in Washington that most traders are not looking at all
The CLARITY Act is putting crypto regulation again discuss able
This is bigger than just another political headline
For years, crypto businesses have been operating in a grey area. What counts as a security? What falls under commodities rules? Who is actually responsible for regulating these assets?
Those questions matter because uncertainty makes institutions think twice before entering the market.
If the bill moves forward, it could give crypto businesses a clearer path to operate in the US.
That sounds bullish.
But here’s where I think you need to be careful.
A positive regulatory headline doesn’t automatically mean Bitcoin goes up.
We’ve seen plenty of bullish news get priced in before the actual event.
So I’m looking at two things:
1. Does the legislation actually make progress?
2. Does the spot market respond with real buying?
Because if the news is bullish but BTC keeps struggling at resistance, that tells us something.
The market might already know.
For me, the real opportunity isn’t predicting the headline.
It’s watching how price reacts after the headline.
That’s where the difference between a good story and a good trade becomes clear.
So in short even after news our marked resistance did not get break it’s means next move is downside only that can easily drop it to $70K
CT is waiting for the Fed to dump BTC tomorrow
But what if the hike isn’t even the biggest problem?
The market already expects 25 bps. That part isn’t exactly a surprise.
The real question is whether Warsh gives the market another reason to stay nervous.
Oil is above $100. Inflation is still above target. Jobs aren’t collapsing. And the Middle East situation isn’t helping anyone’s risk appetite.
That’s a pretty uncomfortable setup for crypto.
BTC has already been struggling, and a hawkish Fed could make the next few days even harder for buyers
But here’s where I think twice
If the hike comes as expected and the Fed sounds less aggressive than markets feared, we can see a little bit relief but not much
If oil cools down, that changes the whole inflation story
So I’m watching three things tomorrow:
• Fed’s dot plot
• Warsh’s press conference
• Oil and Treasury yields
ignoring macro right now because “BTC is decentralized” is not a strategy either
Let’s see what the Fed has for us.
Overall market will see downside move
At the moment one this is much interesting about crypto
The next big move may not start from Bitcoin itself
It can come from a decision in Washington that most traders are not looking at all
The CLARITY Act is putting crypto regulation again discuss able
This is bigger than just another political headline
For years, crypto businesses have been operating in a grey area. What counts as a security? What falls under commodities rules? Who is actually responsible for regulating these assets?
Those questions matter because uncertainty makes institutions think twice before entering the market.
If the bill moves forward, it could give crypto businesses a clearer path to operate in the US.
That sounds bullish.
But here’s where I think you need to be careful.
A positive regulatory headline doesn’t automatically mean Bitcoin goes up.
We’ve seen plenty of bullish news get priced in before the actual event.
So I’m looking at two things:
1. Does the legislation actually make progress?
2. Does the spot market respond with real buying?
Because if the news is bullish but BTC keeps struggling at resistance, that tells us something.
The market might already know.
For me, the real opportunity isn’t predicting the headline.
It’s watching how price reacts after the headline.
That’s where the difference between a good story and a good trade becomes clear.
So in short even after news our marked resistance did not get break it’s means next move is downside only that can easily drop it to $70K
You thought $LAPTOP was just another political memecoin. The real story is much uglier.
Hunter Biden’s $LAPTOP launched today and quickly became a liquidity exit for early holders and traders chasing the hype. The token reportedly crashed nearly 99% after launch, while market maker Wintermute sold about $2.08M worth of LAPTOP, according to on-chain monitoring
And retail got hit hard.
One trader reportedly put $200,000 into LAPTOP near $218. His position later fell to roughly $3,000. That is a brutal reminder of what happens when hype replaces risk management
What makes this more concerning is the regulatory grey zone around political memecoins. Projects can launch, attract massive attention, create enormous volatility and leave retail traders holding the bag, while accountability remains unclear.
This isn’t proof that $LAPTOP was an intentional scam. But it shows the problem with an increasingly unregulated crypto casino: when the insiders can sell and retail buys the narrative, someone eventually becomes exit liquidity.
Crypto needs innovation. It also needs rules that protect users without killing the market.
Oil is getting dangerously close to $100 again
Crude has just hit its highest level in nearly 3 months, with Brent approaching $97/barrel
And the timing couldn't be worse
U.S. inflation is already sitting around 3.4%, while gasoline prices are up 24.6% YoY.
Now add surging oil prices, disrupted Gulf shipments, and record-high U.S. diesel prices
That's another inflation headache landing directly on the Fed's desk just days before its next rate decision
If oil breaks $100 and stays there, the inflation fight could become much harder
And now everyone's watching one number
Friday's CPI report
If CPI comes in hot while oil keeps climbing, the market could get VERY interesting
I still believe bitcoin:native will take correction from here, Here is why?
Still at resistance continuously getting rejected from resistance area
From 60K-->$80K we saw ETF buying and also price increment but now ETF are buying continuously from last 2 weeks but price is in range what it suggests?
It indicates someone is selling more then strategy and ETFs collective buying so once they stop buying for 2,3 days we will see a drop and minor selling from there side can easily drop back #BTC to 71K zone
Last data was also not in BTC favor
So looking at these 3 points we can say #Bitcoin will drop from here
Instead of regretting later take action now......