Peter O'Connell, CFA

@RutgersU grad l Structured Finance l CFA Charterholder l @EY_US l All views are my own

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

*Busy szn ends*
*turns on Netflix*
Netflix:

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

My manager telling me they have a great new learning experience for me

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

Reflecting back on an epic week at #SFVegas2026!

General Petraeus & Mark Wahlberg kicked things off with serious star power 🔥 before my Market Beat: MSRs panel. Loved diving deep into the MSR market with sharp panelists.

Great convos, connections, and momentum. Onward!

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

Excited for the opportunity to represent the @EYnews Structured Finance team on the Market Beat: MSRs panel at #SFVegas2026 and dig into what’s shaping the MSR market.

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

🥶

[Truflation @truflation]

US Inflation has further dropped to 1.20% today.

Main drivers of this latest in a series of disinflationary coolings were:

- Food - mostly Eggs
- Household durables - particularly housekeeping supplies
- Alcohol & tobacco - mostly alcoholic beverages

Our number is derived by aggregating millions of real-time price data points every day to calculate a year-over-year CPI % rate. It is comparable but not identical to the survey-based official headline inflation released monthly by the BLS, which was 2.7% for December.

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@KobeissiLetter You know what’s next…₿

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@noplanBworld 🧠

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

While the world obsesses over Tesla’s Full Self-Driving & Optimus bots, don’t sleep on the core: cars & energy. Car sales stagnating? Reframe it—how many batteries can Tesla sell?

Form factors: Cybertruck, Model Y, Powerwalls, Megapacks. As AI power demands explode, our grid craves batteries at scale. Tesla’s got more demand than supply, & it’s accelerating.

Simplify: GWh produced x $/kWh = revenue. Tesla optimizes margins by packaging ’em as vehicles or storage. The battery empire is just getting started. 🚀🔋@elonmusk @Micro2Macr0

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

Back-of-the-napkin Tesla 2030 battery math 🧻
760 GWh/year
× ~$410M revenue per GWh
= ~$312B revenue
20-25% gross margins
→ $62-78B gross profit
20-25x P/E (conservative for growth stock)
→ $1.25T - $1.95T market cap
Just the battery business (cars + storage) could justify today’s ~$1.6T valuation… or more.

Old 3 TWh ambition? That’d be ~4x this.

Moonshot still possible if execution gods smile.

Oh yea and there’s that autonomy thing… 🤖 🚀 ⚡️ 🚗

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@Barchart Mostly low coupon MBS and treasuries which will all mature at par 🤷🏻‍♂️ big nothing burger 🍔

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

Are outdated securitization systems holding you back? Discover how a holistic platform can drive transparency & success. @EY_US 's latest thought leadership: https://t.co/7mnhTaCh3S

What’s your biggest challenge?

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@TheBig4Tweets

[Barchart @Barchart]

OMG!!!!!! Are we going negative? 👻😱🫂📉

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

I'm excited to attend Mortgage Servicing Rights NYC!

Join me in hearing from industry experts and making vital connections.

Save 10% on a new registration with discount code: REU2329DEL https://t.co/fnPzgxBMy1

#IMNMSR

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@TheBig4Tweets

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

“Did you submit your timesheet?”

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

What an incredible few days at @FinancialTimes ABS East in Miami! 🌴 Our @EYnews Structured Finance team had a fantastic time connecting with clients, partners, and industry leaders. We dove deep into the latest trends, shared insights on the market outlook, and explored opportunities for the year ahead. The energy and enthusiasm were palpable, and we’re truly excited about what’s to come in 2026. Thank you to everyone who stopped by to chat—let’s keep the conversation going!

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@Micro2Macr0 And capital flows from larger containers to smaller containers…next $BTC

[Peter O'Connell, CFA @peteroconnellEY]

@Micro2Macr0 And capital flows from larger containers to smaller containers…next $BTC