Narcissists:
Unrealistic sense of superiority
Cannot accept when reality doesn’t match their delusions of grandeur; responds with denial, projection, gaslighting, and/or blame-shifting
Carry a profound sense of entitlement, believing that rules and laws don’t apply to them
@DavidPollackUSA This is also how they are projecting that Bass won’t get to 50% and avoid runoff. The % of votes she’d need from remaining to get there is virtually impossible, based on current vote counts.
Again, it’s a news organization so it’s unofficial
@DavidPollackUSA You only need to finish top 2 to advance to general, so Pratt is not further ahead than Bass. Bass is up 12% on 3rd place, while Pratt is 7% up
Based on votes counted and where votes are remaining, news stations are projecting that Bass won’t be overtaken by both Pratt and Raman
@DavidPollackUSA Bass is +5% and +12% vs Pratt / Raman and would need those both to flip to -8% and -20% not to advance, which is virtually impossible
Good to note that this is a news org projection, not an official designation
@MWpatriot01 That’s true, it’s not nearly the biggest reason it takes longer
It’s bc they allow longer for mail-in ballots to show up, and they give more time for voters to cure ballots for things like signature match
@Fair_and_Biased CA voting got to ~50% mail-in back in ‘10 & rose to 60% by ‘16…so, no
All in-person vote would skew the same, bc the largest counties take the longest to count & they skew democrat. You could condense the timeframe, but it’d be the same pattern w/the same idiots crying fraud
@Daniel5_27@thevillagerabbi Using a student-t distribution would assume there’s nothing systemically different about the remaining votes compared to the known ones, but thats not true. The remaining votes skew more heavily Democrat bc of the counties that remaining votes come from.
@realsidjain@thevillagerabbi Bass’ vote total wouldn’t stay at 35%, tho. She’d get some of those add’l dem votes, too.
If Raman continues getting 40% of the votes among the 2 of them, it would have to be more like 43%/28%/16%
@BrittRooted Because the gap is so large that the winner is known before counting all the votes (which still take weeks to count).
If the only thing that mattered in this governor primary is who got the most votes, it would also be called already (tho still takes weeks to finish counting)
@Cip3of4@Polymarket Most votes to come are from counties skewing D
If remaining 40% splits 80/20 (D/R) & she continues getting 40% of D vote that’s 32%-20% vs Pratt. 12% of 40% is ~5%, leaving her 3% short
She needs ~17.5% spread in last 40%. E.g., If split was 84/16 or if she got 47% D vote
@Cip3of4@Polymarket Ok, I just realized that a lot of folks are more reacting to odds on Pratt vs Raman and concerned more with who will advance. Headline should’ve clued me in
@damintoell If you spent the last 10 yrs being told this guy was a mentally ill, incompetent moron; & not only did you dismiss it, but you believed people saying it were unhinged morons…you prob have to come up w/shit like this bc the idea that you were the unhinged moron is too painful
@SpencerHakimian He says this because he is a narcissist and cannot accept bad realities
His supporters believe him bc he’s making their bigotry policy and that has overridden their ability to process reality and they instead accept his version of reality even when it is irrational
@IamSean90 Counting was never complete on election night, but the remaining ballots were a small % and therefore the winner was often already known regardless of those ballots
It’s the increase in mail-in ballots, along with the time to cure those ballots that have driven the increase
@Alicia_Smith19 Ofc there are ways to fix it, but it’s a tradeoff. FL prioritizes speed; CA prioritizes voter access
FL requires mail-ins to arrive by election day; in CA they have to be postmarked by election day
CA gives you weeks to cure a signature mismatch; FL gives you 2 days
Etc