🚨 BREAKING: The Iranian Parliament has just ordered the Strait of Hormuz Strait must be CLOSED. The Strait handles 20% of global daily oil shipments — its closure could send prices soaring. The step will come into effect, pending a final decision by Iran’s Supreme Council.
IF YOU ARE WONDERING WHY STOCKS JUST ALL WENT DOWN AT ONCE
WE JUST HAD A HORRIBLE BOND AUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES FOR OUR 20-YEAR TREASURIES
Because of the lack of bidders…it caused the 20-year bond yield to surge to 5.1%.
Credit market is screaming for help right now.
What is happening in Japan?
Japan's 40-year bond yield just hit its highest level in over 20 years.
Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba has called the situation “worse than Greece.”
All as Japan’s GDP is contracting again.
BREAKING: Gold prices extend gains to +5% since their May 15th low and near $3,300/oz as markets price-in uncertainty.
Gold and Bitcoin are becoming the ONLY global safe havens.
U.S. AND CHINA TO CUT TARIFFS, EASING TRADE TENSIONS
The U.S. and China agreed to sharply reduce tariffs, signaling a shift from conflict to cooperation between the world’s top economies.
Key points from Geneva talks:
🔸 Trump’s tariff on Chinese goods drops to 10% from 125%.
🔸 A separate 20% fentanyl-related tariff stays in place.
🔸 China cuts its retaliatory tariffs to 10% from 125%.
🔸 The cuts are temporary, lasting 90 days as talks continue.
Markets reacted strongly:
🔸 S&P 500 poised to recover losses since April.
🔸 Nasdaq-100 futures jumped 3.5%+.
🔸 Amazon, Apple, Tesla rose in premarket trading.
🔸 Dollar and bond yields climbed.
The trade war had stalled U.S.-China trade and hurt businesses. This deal raises hopes of avoiding the worst economic fallout.
BREAKING: China's Commerce Ministry says reports that China plans to engage with the US on trade are true.
China adds that "talks must be equitable and mutually beneficial."
🚨Is oil pricing in a global RECESSION?
Oil prices dropped ~15% since the beginning of April, to near the lowest in 4 YEARS.
Since January, oil prices have dropped by ~27%.
Oil prices have stabilized over the last 2 days, but this is a key indicator to watch.
🚨Container bookings from China to the US are COLLAPSING:
Bookings for standard 20-foot shipping containers from China to the US fell 45% Y/Y in mid-April, according to Vizion.
Next will be a trucking demand DROP leading to empty shelves, lower sales, layoffs and a RECESSION.