@Marshall_LR I'm looking into getting my dad an antique pocket watch. I dont know anything about watches though. Do you have any advice on where to find good info and/or good places to buy antique watches?
@EtaiKurtzman1 I don't know if this is the right forum to admit to cheating, but I'm usually already thinking about my sealed build while I register the pool
@jupiterbrandos Taking this more seriously than I should, we can test this right? We can look at the effect of Elo differential on winrate in paper with eloproject, and your model predicts that effect would be significantly smaller on Arena, right?
@jupiterbrandos@Sierkovitz@NumotTheNummy If I operated a hyperfeomettic calculator correctly, about 3.6 times in every ten thousand. So like, fairly unlucky dude, sounds like that game wasn't there for you to win
@Ajelenbogen@PietartTCG You could claim that it's impossible, even in principle, for a human to randomize a deck.
If my opponent riffle shuffles a lot with cuts sprinkled in, neither player knows where cards are. If they pile shuffle 14 times I suspect theyre cheating and also we're already in turns
@loosepassive I don't know much about Poker, Dorian Finney-Smith, or sports betting. It seems those things also require you to have an eagerness to register Steam Vents?
@loosepassive@MTG_Scribe Yeah its not hugely plus EV, and depends a lot on how cheap you go. If you fly, stay in alone in a good hotel, eat nice meals every night, etc. youre probably a little minus EV I guess.
@loosepassive@MTG_Scribe For approximately every American player I mean. Obviously minus EV for people flying in from overseas. The rest of your point still stands
@loosepassive@MTG_Scribe American PTs are plus EV for ~every player who can qualify. $500 minimum prize (not that hard to win more), booster packs you can easily move for $100, a quiver thing you can easily move for like $80, a promo worth a couple hundred, a secret lair worth a random amount of money.