Maybe the Fable 5 ban will be resolved and it's all a big misunderstanding, but "assume people will always disappoint you" has been a useful heuristic since 2020.
If the US maintains the export control ban on Fable/Mythos, it will likely extend it to any other frontier labs that develop similar models (OpenAI basically).
If this happens, Chinese labs are absolutely guaranteed to exceed US labs before the end of the year.
The differential factor in this outcome is that the Chinese government is more competent, especially on technical issues, so their models will still be open-source after they use them to plug all their cybersecurity holes. Essentially, they will execute their version of Project Glasswing faster and more successfully.
Today has certainly been an exciting day.
Recently, we purchased one of each Anthropic/OpenAI subscription plan and randomly ran long horizon coding tasks until we exhausted the weekly limit. It's widely believed that a $200/month plan maxes out at ~$2000/month worth of tokens (assuming API pricing). However, we found that the subscriptions are actually far more generous. (2/4)
Hyperliquid has quietly become crypto’s dominant fee engine, capturing 43% of all chain fees (~$11M weekly) as perpetual futures continue to out-monetize nearly every other onchain activity category.
H/t @cryptounfolded
Trump on Iran War:
Reporter: What extent are Americans’ financial situation motivating you to make a deal?
Trump: Not even a little bit. I don't think about Americans’ financial situation
"My wife and I were shocked to hear about the repeated attempt to assassinate Trump and his wife - There is no place for violence against anyone"
Netanyahu lectures the world about violence while his country is on trial for genocide
CNN put together a montage of Trump saying as far back as March 9 that his war against Iran "is going to be finished pretty quickly," then him saying that same thing over and over for the past six weeks
Estas imágenes no son de una película de nazis llevando a judíos a la cámara de gas. Son de esta mañana en Bala (Cisjordania), soldados israelís detienen a decenas de palestinos que podrán ser ahorcados por militares tras ser torturados, por la nueva ley.
Trump 2 years ago ran on "Kill FISA", the illegal spying that is very unpopular.
Today, Trump is urging Congress to pass FISA, which he ran against, and continues the illegal spying on Americans.