Just remember guys you cannot scale out near the top even when the $SPY $QQQ are up 10 straight days after 10 straight weeks of gains.
The trading textbooks all say you need to get smoked if the market pulls back following a run. I saw it on youtube.
You cannot optimize your trading strategy to be more effective at any given time. You cannot use all the modern day software/technology that has come about in the last year in that optimization process.
You cannot dynamically approach portfolio weightings based on the given status of the market at any given time.
You cannot adjust rules to become more profitable through time based on any given market environment.
...or can you? 🤔
Most trader's fail because they don't understand the importance of dynamically approaching their activity levels. You do not want to come into the market risking the same amount everyday, you want to let the opportunity set guide your risk-taking.
When markets are viciously trending its wise to be as risk-on as possible as you will have the greatest gains in your equity curve during those periods.
HOWEVER, where most traders fail, is unlearning the button clicking when environments change. To me, Friday's selling shows a clear change in character from that hyper-momentum to a period of consolidation.
If you have been putting on new trades daily during the span of this run, you've probably done very well for yourself. But if you continue that behavior and the market proves to be choppy the next month or two, that can wipe away all those hard fought gains from the 'easy' period. The mental pitfall from this will be much greater than what happens to your equity curve.
I am not bearish nor do I know what happens next, or when new highs are created. I do know that after Friday's selling hits the tape, traders remember what it's like to lose money. The buy-the-dip mentality proves much more difficult in the subsequent days of that drastic selling when it first hits the tape.
Some mid-day bars from @ShakePryzby1 breaking down his conviction on $DDOG 💎
Shoutout to @mark_to_mkt for always providing amazing write-ups for the team !!
In this video yesterday I talked about mixing time frames Friday in order to really size up in $TWLO because of the intraday volume that came in at support along with the ever important spots on the daily and weekly charts.
Today it's up 14% in two trading hours.
Never been a better market to mix the micro with the macro.
I think the @PinpointTrding waitlist is bigger than the community at this point I'm not even marketing 😂😂
Here is a short snippet from our weekly team call today preparing for the week ahead.
First I'm going over my trades from last week, the thought process behind all the executions and where my focus is to start this week.
In the $TWLO entry we talk about mixing the largest time frames with the smallest ones along with a myriad of other layers of probability that made it exceedingly attractive to size up in a given spot.
$DOCN on the other hand we talk about sizing differently and giving ourselves optionality depending how the market wants to start the week, what we want to see out of the action, spots we're looking to aggressively add risk but still positioned so we will not get shaken out of a quick down move if we were to open to weakness.
$DDOG we talk about sizing up in that first entry when it triggers and giving ourselves the ability to take profit into a momentum move higher, but still having enough stock to manage for the long term position trade comfortably.
Most traders out there don't look into these secondary characteristics of intraday action while mixing in the macro charts in which I feel is our biggest advantage in this market if you understand what to look for. This is where we find the real alpha.
We go over lots more in the video. In the full call we talk market expectations as well as individual member's ideas and go across all the current themes firing in the market.
We have such a huge advantage heading into the market each week in this manner, all in sync, with hundreds of eyes spread out tracking the information.
What an exciting time to be a trader! I can't get over the opportunity this market is set to provide. Hope you enjoy the video and get something out of it. 🫡
Other charts mentioned: $NAVN $INTC $QCOM $FROG $ARM $APLD $CRWV $AFRM $OSS $AAON $INFQ $MOD $AMKR $CCJ $AFRM $SEDG $IREN $AKAM $SATS $RKLB $NOK $ONDS $PLTR $SKM $AVEX $YETI $SEZL
I think one of the reasons I relate so much to @ShakePryzby1 is because the guy genuinely doesn't give a flying squirrel what anyone thinks about him.
He's not constantly flashing P&L screenshots or trying to force-feed you his service. And he's definitely not trying to fit into some trading influencer "furu" mold.
He's just unapologetically himself.
Ironically, that's exactly why people gravitate toward him (I think... or it's his looks. IDK).
But enough glazing!
A big concept I've borrowed from Shake and adapted into my own process is the idea of "layers of probability."
The more independent factors I can stack in my favor, the more conviction I have in a trade.
That starts with "Relative Strength + Thematic Context." I want to know where big dawg money is going. AI, Quantum, Data Centers, Nuclear, Crypto, Defense, whatever the theme is. Strong themes attract attention, capital, and institutional sponsorship.
Then I want "Timeframe Continuity" and/or a Top-Down Approach. If the weekly, daily, and intraday charts are all telling the same story, life becomes much easier. Fighting higher timeframes has never ended well for me.
Next is "Stage Analysis". Most of my biggest winners come from Stage 1 → Stage 2 transitions. For ex: $ARM, $MU, $SNDK, $DELL, $INTC, $BE, etc. The bigger the base, the bigger the potential move. Institutions need time to accumulate, and I want to be there when that pressure finally releases.
Then comes "Supply and Demand." I don't care what someone on TV says. If buyers consistently absorb supply and price refuses to go down, that tells me far more than any opinion ever could. PRICE PAYS.
After that, I'm looking for "Compression → Expansion." Tight price action is one of the biggest tells in the market for me personally... Think of a spring being compressed. The tighter the coil becomes, the more violent the move can be once energy is released.
And finally, "Inflection Points." These are the moments where the market is forced to make a decision. Major pivots, EMA reclaims, tight consolidations at highs & weekly breakout levels. I want to be involved when price is approaching an area that can change behavior.
None of these concepts by themselves are "magical."
But when multiple layers start stacking together at the same time? That's where my conviction comes from.
And conviction is what allows me to sit through volatility while everyone else is refreshing X looking for someone to tell them what to do.
Also, don't just take my words for truth... go follow and study the man yourself @ShakePryzby1 !!
Thanks for coming to my TED Talk.
- iain 🩵
Trading is a 24/7 mental performance game, not a 9-5
In our Weekly call with our members @ShakePryzby1 talks about the constant rebuilding of oneself and staying in the right mental place to execute
High-level results require high-level work regardless of what field you're in !
$QCOM gave us such a great re-entry last week and acts really well since. Has become such a wider mover since these last earnings have changed composure so much! Zoom out over to the weekly chart though - is this run just beginning?
Earnings season is all about getting positioned into stocks having major changes in their composure and ideally breaking out of major bases. $SEZL here is the perfect example.
Gapped out of the stage 1 base, consolidated a few days as we began buying against support. Now as it makes new highs, we can sit and let the stock work from here.
Repeat this process over and over again and this is how you build a portfolio filled with the strongest stocks of the quarter.
$QCOM gave us such a great re-entry last week and acts really well since. Has become such a wider mover since these last earnings have changed composure so much! Zoom out over to the weekly chart though - is this run just beginning?
I see a lot of young bucks flashing P&L on here whenever we have a hot week.
I used to be in this camp until some deep thought had me realize how much I was stunting my own trading growth in the process.
The dopamine hit you get from announcing your wins subconsciously replaces the drive needed to continuously achieve them. In this game you need to maintain that sense of raw hunger above all else.
They say there's only two days in Jail - the day you're in, and the day you're out. Trading is similar in this fashion, the only two numbers that matter are what you came with, and what you leave with. Until then, we're all just in the battle.
Was listening to Derek Sivers TED talk on keeping your goals to yourself which sparked this tweet. "Publicly announcing ambitions can give you a premature sense of identity or accomplishment, which reduces motivation to actually do the work."
Instead, I keep the focus on the Art of Trading. The physical execution. The X's and O's. The numbers are the numbers as a result of this and only this.
@OliverKell_ talks about "sustained ruthlessness," in his book. I love that so much. It speaks to the need to keep the raw hunger day in and day out.
Keep the hunger. Stop flashing the $$$. It will only lead to much more of it. Just my two cents. 🫡
@Clement_Ang17 People always want to be bearish at highs so they can look smart IF it ends up topping
I’d rather focus on the price action and keep pushing until it tells me otherwise !
Most swing traders size off a daily chart stop. That wide stop forces a small position to keep risk in check.
Shake drops to the 30-minute chart for the entry. The stop tightens, and the math allows three times the shares on the identical risk budget.
Same trade idea, same dollar risk — the only difference is where you measured your stop.
Mid-day lessons from @ShakePryzby1 for our newer members on the team 💎
Getting these insights in real time is what truly helps our traders improve
The team is well positioned in this $FROG for the battle at macro resistance !