Ghaith Aljayyoussi

Lecturer, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine.
PK/PD Modelling: Malaria, TB and COVID-19.

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@RLB_1 @OdedRechavi @dreradams1 Unbelievably accurate. I'm SO SORRY - that's it I'll do it all tomorrow . Promise.

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@jburnmurdoch It will be good to have a version of this graph for only those who are double / triple vaccinated over the last few months - i guess then that line would dip below the flu risk as it's mostly driven up by those not vaccinated although a minority?

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@james_doidge Why is no one talking about this though ? Can you please post links to the ICU and excess mortality data please ?

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@DrStedx Oh yes and the continuous cough resulted in an inguinal hernia for me (I bet you wanted to hear that!)

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@DrStedx Mine lasted for 12 weeks!

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@MaryTracy the money that billions of people 'lost' during the pandemic didn't just burn into thin air, it went somewhere else. Now we know where it went!

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@annavshelton How about throat only? 🤔

[Dellboy - The Original🐟 TeaBoy @Dellboy29670181]

@sajidjavid Ethel's family totally disagree.
While Johnson boozed on the 20th May party, we were arranging her funeral.
12 attendees.
Her son and family couldn't travel from the USA.
No hugging.
No touching coffin.
Anger does not cut it. We are not alone.
.@BorisJohnson #resign.

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@michaeljswalker Today's was too American centrist and not fair for Brits! Nightmare.

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@statsjamie @DanielFooksArt What's the source of this data please?

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@BristOliver With millions positive with COVID in the the last 28 days, shouldn't we be careful about interpreting these figures as many could also be 'incidental deaths' ?

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@ChrisCEOHopson @NHSProviders Great and balanced analysis! A great metric would be total number of patients in hospitals (COVID + non-COVID) and/or total ICU patients today Vs. Last year same time Vs a normal non COVID winter like 2018 . That would really help put things in perspective for us

[Paul Mainwood @PaulMainwood]

ICNARC have updated their analysis of COVID patients in critical care in England, Wales and NI. They now show boosted patients as well.
They are shown in green.
Yes, I've put them on the chart.
You have to squint.

[Adam Johannes @DrRoundglasses]

“People learn history best when they are making history.”
― C.L.R. James

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@etotheipie Ultimately, this is the kind of data that we need to follow and that will tell us really how bad Omicron is
https://t.co/eLL57lbPk0

[John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch]

6) That will most likely be felt in London first, where the number of patients in critical care beds is already running above the typical level for this time of year, and ~150 Covid patients are being admitted every day (again, yes, mostly for Covid not just with)

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@etotheipie More data on the subject: https://t.co/zLvwVkY9OT

[John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch]

NEW: situation update from Gauteng, where cases, test-positivity and admissions are all now falling (no, this is not driven by testing capacity/behaviour or by migration).

Deaths and excess deaths still rising, but based on timing of peak will not come close to Delta levels.

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@etotheipie Agreed , but re herd immunity because of previous infections in South Africa, every immunologist seems to agree that 2x vaccine is better than previous infection, so on this front at the least the UK should do much better. Next weeks should be really interesting!

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@etotheipie Love your analysis and agree it's too early to make conclusions. Would be interesting to look at the South African data though , this 'de-coupling' at least between cases and hospitalisations/deaths is dramatic in a country that's significantly less vaccinated than the UK or US.

[Ghaith Aljayyoussi @PKghaith]

@richev48 @BristOliver Hi Evan , do you care to share the source of this data. Is it really that total people in hospitals in London is actually going down? I thought this information about total hospital admissions was not available.

[Adam Johannes @DrRoundglasses]

Ah 2021...
I remember it as if it were yesterday.