Yuriy Podmogaev

Quantitative researcher | Analyst | Agri & Logistics

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 21, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 20, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 19, Year: 2026
#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 18, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 17, Year: 2026
#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 16, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 15, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 14, Year: 2026
#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

The forecasting model has been upgraded. The new version shows a significant boost in Average Trend Accuracy, rising from 61.0% to 65.7%. The Median MAPE has also improved to 3.66% (down from 4.05%), and the Median MAE decreased from 9.53 to 8.47, indicating higher precision.

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 12, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 11, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 10, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 09, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 08, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 07, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 06, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 05, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

MAPE remains stable at 5.14% (full period) and 4.06% (2023–2025), while peak errors (Max MAE) have decreased, indicating greater robustness.

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

WHEAT PRICE PREDICTION
Commodity: Wheat, Basis: Milling wheat FOB Black Sea
Week: 04, Year: 2026

#agro #oat #grain #wheat #trade #export #machinelearning #russia #fob #blacksea #forecast

[Yuriy Podmogaev @podmogaev]

The forecasting model has been upgraded. The new version shows improved trend accuracy—rising from 60.8% to 61.4% over the full test period (2017–2025) and significantly from 68.1% to 71.7% in the period (2023–2025).