Polytrend

Market intelligence for @Polymarket | Zero guesswork, pure data

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[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Update:

Telegram bot working well, a quick explanation on how the signal works:
- Fresh signal: “Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?”
- Trade: YES @ $0.06 – buy YES shares at six cents
- Edge: 57.2% – model thinks true odds are approx 63.2%, so $0.57 expected profit per share
- Daily edge: 0.9% - expected return per day while pricing converges
- Confidence: High – stacked data agree strongly
- $100 at $0.06 = 1.67K shares → $950 expected upside if the edge plays out
- The plan now is to significantly improve alert quality over the next week.

No token gating for a week so anyone can join for now. Once I've fine tuned it, will be token gating it for users.

Link: https://t.co/5LDsQyKhNs

What's next:
- Fixing up paper trading dashboard to be more accurate, should be done by tonight.
- X bot is almost ready
- Fully autonomous trading agent not far behind considering paper trader finally works now.

Marketing:
- Have been in talks for a few more placements on big sites.
- Discussion with 1-2 KOLs that I actually like who won't take a quick buck and dump on buyers.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Have been playing around with the momentum strategy algo and seeing some interesting results. You can actually see some of these alerts already on the TG bot but here's an example.

An alert came today for:
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Trade: YES @ $0.15

Right now, the cheapest ask is 27c and bid is 25c. That's a 65% move up in less than a day. Chart attached too as per Polymarket.

This wasn't the only sick alert but I'm finetuning it so we get these amazing opportunities daily.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Really sorry about the lack of updates guys. As mentioned earlier, have caught the flu so last few days haven't been easy although I'm getting there now.

I have still been playing around with polymarket, looking at different strategies, doing research and testing a few things out.

Back to the coding tomorrow so I should have solid updates over the next few days.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Been under the weather for the past 2 days, hence the quiet updates.

Still pushing forward on improving our edge signals though.

I know everyone wants more marketing but market conditions are rough right now across the board. Makes sense to hold our marketing firepower until conditions
improve and our refined signals can really deliver.

People have been asking about the @Polymarket builders program. Right now, that program is only for those that are routing orders through Polymarket. We have applied and are waiting to hear back from them but I assume it will mainly be for when the autonomous trading agent is fully complete and ready. Will keep everyone updated on that.

We're building for the long game.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Have been working on making changes to the edge scanner. The change is to shift into momentum-quality filtering to find only the sharpest opportunities:

- Alerts now trigger only when odds, price & volume all trend higher
- Time-aware thresholds scale with days to resolution
- Near-expiry markets filtered for liquidity & spread quality

It should lead to better signals and less noise. Will be monitoring over next few days but essentially the model finds the edge, and the momentum confirms it's
real.

Market conditions have been poor but we're just focused on shipping and making a solid product.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Just a reminder: Anyone can use the telegram bot for about a week, while we still experiment and fine tune some more features

After that, access will be token-gated

Would love some community suggestions: How many tokens should be required to access the bot?

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Update:

Telegram bot working well, a quick explanation on how the signal works:
- Fresh signal: “Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?”
- Trade: YES @ $0.06 – buy YES shares at six cents
- Edge: 57.2% – model thinks true odds are approx 63.2%, so $0.57 expected profit per share
- Daily edge: 0.9% - expected return per day while pricing converges
- Confidence: High – stacked data agree strongly
- $100 at $0.06 = 1.67K shares → $950 expected upside if the edge plays out
- The plan now is to significantly improve alert quality over the next week.

No token gating for a week so anyone can join for now. Once I've fine tuned it, will be token gating it for users.

Link: https://t.co/5LDsQyKhNs

What's next:
- Fixing up paper trading dashboard to be more accurate, should be done by tonight.
- X bot is almost ready
- Fully autonomous trading agent not far behind considering paper trader finally works now.

Marketing:
- Have been in talks for a few more placements on big sites.
- Discussion with 1-2 KOLs that I actually like who won't take a quick buck and dump on buyers.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

We're zeroing in on what matters - making this the best @Polymarket trading tool, period.

In the works:
- Edge scanner overhaul. Right now, we chase 'cheap' YES/NO prices, but the market often keeps bleeding. We're rebuilding the signal around momentum, volume, and thesis change so alerts focus on setups that are actually breaking higher with real catalysts.

That means adding short-term price history, fundamentals (polls/onchain data), and smarter gating before anything hits Telegram.

- Arbitrage engine. The autonomous 24/7 agent will spot price gaps and lock them in automatically. That means teaching it to watch multiple outcomes at once, act the moment a spread appears, and sanity-check market rules so we can harvest low-risk opportunities once it goes live.

No feature bloat. Just relentless improvement.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

@PolymarketTrade Polyvember🫡

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Just wanted to say a big thank you to the core community for being so supportive and standing by us

We're gonna continue to work and build some cool s**t, but first, here's another buyback and lock of some $polytrend tokens to show our appreciation🫡

https://t.co/AgBSdvxAPs

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

We’ve now added AI mode to the telegram bot and it’s working pretty well

Ofc we’ll be making improvements to the messaging to make the output more like natural language

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Adding some AI features to the telegram bot. Should be live within a few hours.

Also gonna make a video to show how it works.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

@williamlegate Pretty good marketing statement

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

@williamlegate real

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

More alerts coming in during testing for the TG Bot, aiming to get it running properly soon

In the meantime, also fixing some bugs on the website related to market analysis🤝

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

How do we get Elon to use polytrend?👀

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@Polymarket What are the Polymarket odds on that?

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

Update:

Edge tickets finally showing some promise and already integrated into Telegram bot. Just making the messaging a bit more user friendly and testing it out a bit more.

Once Edge tickets are fully sorted, will be very easy to get paper trading, X bot and Telegram bot fully ready since everything is already built. And we're just testing the actual signal quality.

Autonomous trading agent again will use edge tickets as first step. Then machine learning over time to improve and make its own decisions. Again, it's built to a good level so won't take too long.

The edge tickets algorithm was the main thing and now that doesn't seem too far from completion.

Once that's ready, the real marketing starts.

[Polytrend @Poly_trendAI]

We're live on https://t.co/IK9ngti2i2

If you don't know Steelernation, it's a massive platform with a die-hard audience. It ties in directly with prediction markets.

I've always said it's important to form a solid foundation first and this is just the first 1% of marketing that we've got planned.

As our tools get better and better, we'll be using more of our contacts and getting the top @Polymarket traders to use our tools.

Dev updates coming shortly.