Ferni

Researcher & Contributor @Polymarket maxi @zscdao

[mahera @mahera777]

Polymarket whale just loaded $200k into the MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale market

He bought NO between 20c and 50c earlier today

For the last 6 hours, he’s only been accumulating more

Nearly risk-free yield at 99.6c NO

[me_cool_off @me_cool_off]

This trader turned $786 into $21,564 with just 2 bets on a single weather market!

Account: https://t.co/eZ7PfMiU5j

On the market "Highest temperature in Seoul on May 31" he bought:
> Yes 27°C at 3¢ for $511
> No 28°C at 3¢ for $275

27°C resolved as Yes.

Net profit +$20,776!

Total PnL in less than 2 weeks: nearly +$30,000.

In low-liquidity weather markets, he buys:
> Yes on undervalued outcomes
> No on overvalued outcomes

In just 12 days, this strategy delivered impressive results.

He doesn’t hold positions until resolution and usually sells during sharp probability swings.

Low liquidity + high volatility = huge opportunities.

[zerosupercycle @zscdao]

zerosupercycle DAO is a co-host in tomorrow’s X Space by @PositionsFi

See you there on June 2 at 4:30 PM UTC

[Alex @de1lymoon]

automatedAItradingbot turned $39 → $5,753 on a London temperature bet at 0.7¢ NO

$88,555 P&L. 3,010 trades. Biggest single win: $30,409

He doesn't trade weather. He trades the gap between forecasts and markets

How it works:

Most weather bots scan one side: YES on cheap tails when the forecast looks high

begin right now using → https://t.co/JRJtIU233C

His scans both. When the forecast says a bucket is more likely than the order book priced, the bot fires YES. When the forecast says it's less likely, the bot fires NO at the cheapest tick

The math is symmetrical. The mispricing is what matters, not the direction

His winning trades show both sides:

$39 → $5,753 (London 64-65°F NO at 0.7¢, +14,408%)
$197 → $7,342 (London 63-64°F YES at 2.6¢, +3,616%)
$882 → $14,078 (Hong Kong 15°C YES at 6.3¢, +1,494%)

Every market: weather. Every entry:

based on what ECMWF, NOAA, and HKO say vs what Polymarket has priced

He's not betting on temperature. He's betting on the gap between three free forecast services and one slow order book

[me_cool_off @me_cool_off]

This trader made +$48,000 in just 1 day on 5-minute markets!

Only 52 trades in 10 hours!

Account: https://t.co/jP07hg3EIM

Best trades:
$8,698 -> $17,686
$1,469 -> $9,183
$7,221 -> $14,442

He didn’t enter every market in a row or hunt for inefficiencies.

He simply waited for the right moment and entered confidently with large size.

This trader only recently started trading on Bitcoin Up/Down markets and is already performing at a very high professional level.

One day. Nearly +$50,000!

Insane.

[StacyOnChain @stacyonchain]

Building Polymarket up/down bot is not that hard

if you use the right direction and FREE github repos.

GitHub: https://t.co/uDEegGFpoe​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

btc-polymarket-bot - a Python arbitrage bot for Polymarket’s BTC
Up/Down 15-minute markets.

Logic: Dual-leg arbitrage (Jeremy Whittaker strategy)

Buy both UP + DOWN when combined price < $1.00 -> guaranteed profit regardless of outcome.

Like, bookmark + follow
It helps a lot

[gavelsv.patron @gavelsvtw]

Someone just lost $248,000 on the Eurovision market

He went all in on Finland to win

Net result -$248,000 in a day

It is the biggest loss among all Eurovision traders

[Ferni @polyfander]

@preachercalls @zscdao @Polymarket 0-0

[Ferni @polyfander]

@tomatofroots @KGeN_IO TGE is a milestone not finish

[Ferni @polyfander]

@redius_eth @PerleLabs Community driven growth done right

[Ferni @polyfander]

@0xTynar @PerleLabs @solana Solana actually fits this use case

[Ferni @polyfander]

@vikking0909 @higgsfield_ai This actually feels production ready

[Ferni @polyfander]

Norway remains the clear favorite for most golds at the 2026 Olympics 65%, but momentum is shifting. The USA is climbing to 23% as depth in snowboarding, skating, hockey, and alpine events grows. @Polymarket shows Norway leading but the gap is tightening

https://t.co/8t5pcK1NPA

[Ferni @polyfander]

@mistrxbet @Polymarket go Seahawks

[mistrxbet @mistrxbet]

Seahawks vs Patriots: Seattle rely on elite defense, pressure, and physical run game. Patriots answer with disciplined offense and playoff experience. @Polymarket leans Seahawks, but New England’s structure keeps it close. Expect defense-first game

https://t.co/dNvfWd83g6

[linie @linie_oo]

vibecoding machine for all of your arbitrage bots is getting an update

or doesn't, since the odds are just absurd

there was an error within Anthropic's cloud storage with leaked log file - claude-sonnet-5@20260203

there's no claude 5 yet and 20260203 looking like a date made people extremely excited

no release happened that date (February 3), but Anthropic API outage did

they just failed to deploy it, and surely they fix the causes and try again, right?

but here's the thing: a model can exist in infrastructure logs long before it's polished, safety-cleared or publicly available

of cource they're testing it before launching and this log is just a proof of it

the odds for February 14 peaked at 88% just because of this one log file and Super Ball starting this week

but Super Ball thing do not give that high chances of releasing, since their Feb 4 focus was 100% on the "ad-free" pledge

no major announcements or even mentions of new models were made

that's why there're no really big wallets in this market - shady stuff is happening here with those odds

i'm not saying it's not coming 100%, but just that odds are suspiciously high for such small things

btw that's a great ad from claude lol

[Maidez @0xMaidez]

I made $287 betting on Cloudflare going down.. after it already happened

It was one of the risk-free deals:

&gt; official Cloudflare site showed a critical incident
&gt; i opened Polymarket and aped at 63%
&gt; 20 minutes later the crowd woke up and pushed the odds to 100%

I love it.

[Movez @0xMovez]

40M$ arbitrage opportunity explained by Polymarket Quant

This is the best 30-minute read on how Polymarket actually works

It explains how bots using the "Frank-Wolfe algorithm" are extracting millions $ monthly just by using math

If you want to go deeper than just "YES + NO < $1" thinking, you should read it.

[PMTraderAdam @PMTraderAdam]

In the past week I have made $1,600 from @Polymarket

This is more than the salary from my regular job!!

[VALIX @RetroValix]

This guy made $1,600,000 on Polymarket using software, buying markets for $5

His trading bot makes 224 trades per hour or 3.73 trades per minute. He builds size in the 47-52¢ range, waits for a micro move in price and sells

His strategy is simple:

> Enters positions only with limit orders
> Average trade size is $5-10
> Scalps liquid sports markets using the “coinflip” method

Here is the link to this guy’s account:
https://t.co/7RqEucRNp1

You can copy trade smart money through the mobile app:
https://t.co/jMUgXhfXIf

This app was developed by @ratio_dot_you